Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Hiding spots that are coming under pressure -  Indonesia's JKSE just cracked key support that makes the USD/IDR one of the last holdouts to see a big USD move.</li>
<li>USD/IDR bull triangle breakout unfolding with risk of a big USD short squeeze.</li>
<li>USD/MYR break above 4.50 would increase odds of devaluation and a more painful USD move in Asian FX. A huge pivot level to watch.</li>
</ul>


Hiding spots that are coming under pressure -  Indonesia's JKSE just cracked key support that makes the USD/IDR one of the last holdouts to see a big USD move.
USD/IDR bull triangle breakout unfolding with risk of a big USD short squeeze.
USD/MYR break above 4.50 would increase odds of devaluation and a more painful USD move in Asian FX. A huge pivot level to watch.


Indonesia the Latest Safe Haven to Buckle with KLSE in Pursuit

Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

<ul>
<li>Financial markets are dominated by uncertainties being created by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the potential economic impact of the Fed raising rates and unwinding its balance sheet simultaneously.</li>
<li>The volatility and level of rates in EM are rising with the US but with differentiation: Asia and Central Europe are underperforming, while Latin America is outperforming.</li>
<li>The possibility of binary economic scenarios playing out as a result of the current uncertainties makes me pause for more clarity before making new trade recommendations.</li>
</ul>


Financial markets are dominated by uncertainties being created by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the potential economic impact of the Fed raising rates and unwinding its balance sheet simultaneously.
The volatility and level of rates in EM are rising with the US but with differentiation: Asia and Central Europe are underperforming, while Latin America is outperforming.
The possibility of binary economic scenarios playing out as a result of the current uncertainties makes me pause for more clarity before making new trade recommendations.


Rates in Asia Underperform Following the Fed Hike and Russia’s Invasion

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian rupiah has outperformed most EM currencies, particularly other Asian currencies, and has done so with low volatility in contrast with the rising volatility of the EM FX index.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, headwinds may be appearing with the interest-rate differential working against the currency as the Fed starts raising rates and higher inflation leading to lower real rates.</li>
<li>While the rise in commodity prices is generating trade surpluses for now, the current account may turn negative from positive with a rise in imports accompanying the economy's reopening.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian rupiah has outperformed most EM currencies, particularly other Asian currencies, and has done so with low volatility in contrast with the rising volatility of the EM FX index.
Looking ahead, headwinds may be appearing with the interest-rate differential working against the currency as the Fed starts raising rates and higher inflation leading to lower real rates.
While the rise in commodity prices is generating trade surpluses for now, the current account may turn negative from positive with a rise in imports accompanying the economy's reopening.


Indonesian Rupiah Shines in Volatile Times

Founder

Olivier Desbarres

Exacting. Excellent. Exceeding. Exemplary.

4X Global Research

4X Global Research was founded in 2017 to provide institutional and corporate clients with the substantive research, high-quality analysis and thoughtful insight on Emerging and G20 economies and financial markets they need to make informed and timely decisions and gain an edge in their investments.

<ul>
<li>Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 Feb has generated much uncertainty and financial market volatility, including in FX markets. </li>
<li>Some asset prices have moved broadly as “expected”, with Rouble, Euro and global equities down and Dollar,  gold and fossil fuel prices up. </li>
<li>But other asset prices have been range bound in past fortnight, including S&amp;P 500, Treasury yields and a number of Asian currencies, or held their own (AUD and NZD).</li>
</ul>


Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 Feb has generated much uncertainty and financial market volatility, including in FX markets. 
Some asset prices have moved broadly as “expected”, with Rouble, Euro and global equities down and Dollar,  gold and fossil fuel prices up. 
But other asset prices have been range bound in past fortnight, including S&amp;P 500, Treasury yields and a number of Asian currencies, or held their own (AUD and NZD).


<ul>
<li>In my monthly recap note, I provide a performance update of my trade recommendations in emerging markets FX and rates.</li>
<li>Of the total of 35 trade recommendations made so far, I have recommended closing 25 of which 18 were in the money.</li>
<li>I also update my views on the open trade recommendations and go over the rationale behind those that I closed recently.</li>
</ul>


In my monthly recap note, I provide a performance update of my trade recommendations in emerging markets FX and rates.
Of the total of 35 trade recommendations made so far, I have recommended closing 25 of which 18 were in the money.
I also update my views on the open trade recommendations and go over the rationale behind those that I closed recently.


Alpha Bites: Performance Summary of Trade Recommendations in FX and Rates – March 2022

Indonesia

The Indonesian rupiah is the official currency of the Republic of Indonesia. 

Price Gauge
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IDR (USDIDR CURNCY)

Indonesia the Latest Safe Haven to Buckle with KLSE in Pursuit

Hiding spots that are coming under pressure - Indonesia's JKSE just cracked key support that makes the USD/IDR one of the last holdouts to see a...

Thomas Schroeder

Rates in Asia Underperform Following the Fed Hike and Russia’s Invasion

With financial markets dominated by uncertainties created by Fed tightening and Russia's invasion, rates in Asia and Central Europe are...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Indonesian Rupiah Shines in Volatile Times

The Indonesian rupiah has outperformed most other EM currencies but headwinds may be appearing for the currency as the Fed starts raising rates and...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Market Snapshot, Theatre of War

Amidst carnage in financial markets, some assets - inc US Treasury yields, some Asian and high-yielding EM currencies, AUD & NZD and even S&P 500 -...

Olivier Desbarres

Alpha Bites: Performance Summary of Trade Recommendations in FX and Rates – March 2022

I provide a performance update of all my trade recommendations along with discussing the open trades. I have closed 25 of the 35 trades recommended...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)