Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.</li>
<li>There will be a few announcements next week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a> rebalances on Friday.</li>
<li>Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


The HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.
There will be a few announcements next week with Nikkei 225 early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the STAR50 rebalances on Friday.
Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the CSI 300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and CSI Smallcap 500 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.</li>
<li>Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.
Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The promoters of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/patanjali-foods-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12707:1" rel="noopener">Patanjali Foods (PATANJAL IN)</a> are looking to increase the firm’s public shareholding to the minimum required 25% imposed by SEBI.</li>
<li>We had discussed about this in their effective re-listing FPO last year, and the deal has been well covered by media sources as well, thus it is very well flagged.</li>
<li>While it would be a large one to digest, representing at least 62.1 days of the firm’s three month ADV, the deal will lift the remaining overhang on the stock.</li>
</ul>


The promoters of Patanjali Foods (PATANJAL IN) are looking to increase the firm’s public shareholding to the minimum required 25% imposed by SEBI.
We had discussed about this in their effective re-listing FPO last year, and the deal has been well covered by media sources as well, thus it is very well flagged.
While it would be a large one to digest, representing at least 62.1 days of the firm’s three month ADV, the deal will lift the remaining overhang on the stock.


Patanjali Foods Early FPO Look - Lifting the Overhang with a Well Flagged Deal. Re-Listing Went Well

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

ideaForge Technology  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ideaforge-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36787:1" rel="noopener">IdeaForge Technology Limited (1475641D IN)</a>'s IPO opens for subscription this week. </li>
<li>The company is said to be the market leader in manufacturing of drones, an industry that is expected to grow rapidly in the next five years.</li>
<li>However, there are several forensic takeaways that include disclosure errs relating to litigations, treatment of R&amp;D, cash generation, etc.</li>
</ul>



IdeaForge Technology Limited (1475641D IN)'s IPO opens for subscription this week. 
The company is said to be the market leader in manufacturing of drones, an industry that is expected to grow rapidly in the next five years.
However, there are several forensic takeaways that include disclosure errs relating to litigations, treatment of R&amp;D, cash generation, etc.


IdeaForge Technologies IPO- Forensic Analysis

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ideaforge-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36787:1" rel="noopener">IdeaForge Technology Limited (1475641D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. Some of its notable pre-IPO investors include Qualcomm, Infosys, Celesta Capital (VC).</li>
<li>IdeaForge develops and manufactures unmanned aerial systems (UAS) and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV).</li>
<li>The bookrunners on the deal are JM Financial and IIFL Securities.</li>
</ul>



IdeaForge Technology Limited (1475641D IN) is looking to raise around US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. Some of its notable pre-IPO investors include Qualcomm, Infosys, Celesta Capital (VC).
IdeaForge develops and manufactures unmanned aerial systems (UAS) and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV).
The bookrunners on the deal are JM Financial and IIFL Securities.


India

ideaForge Technology Limited develops and produces unmanned aircraft systems. The Company manufactures drones for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. ideaForge Technology serves customers worldwide.

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ideaForge Technology (IDEAFORG IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

We see 42 potential migrations between the size categories. The small to mid migrations have outperformed. There will be a lot of overlap between...

Brian Freitas

Patanjali Foods Early FPO Look - Lifting the Overhang with a Well Flagged Deal. Re-Listing Went Well

The promoters just launched an OFS to sell a 7% stake, with the option to sell an additional 2% in the case of oversubscription. The shares are...

Clarence Chu

IdeaForge Technologies IPO- Forensic Analysis

Drone industry looks set to grow rapidly, however, there are several forensic takeaways that include disclosure errs relating to litigations,...

Nitin Mangal

IdeaForge Pre-IPO Tearsheet

IdeaForge Technology Limited (1475641D IN) is looking to raise around US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. Some of its notable pre-IPO investors...

Clarence Chu

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