Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>The recently-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a> could see some index inflows during the March 2025 rebal. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial (JIOFIN IN)</a> could also get involved.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
The recently-listed Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) could see some index inflows during the March 2025 rebal. Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Jio Financial (JIOFIN IN) could also get involved.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Thoughts on Hyundai Motor, Zomato, and Jiofin

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>October saw a sharp USD10.2 billion foreign outflow from Indian equities, driven by a shift to China and Hong Kong as stimulus measures and appealing valuations improved market sentiment there.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> 's IPO surged on strong investor optimism last week, while Hyundai Motor India's debut was subdued as institutional investors held back and retail investors exited.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)'s</a> IPO, set to open next week, faces headwinds from weak market sentiment, rising U.S. election uncertainty, and Zomato's USD1 billion QIP.</li>
</ul>


October saw a sharp USD10.2 billion foreign outflow from Indian equities, driven by a shift to China and Hong Kong as stimulus measures and appealing valuations improved market sentiment there.

China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) 's IPO surged on strong investor optimism last week, while Hyundai Motor India's debut was subdued as institutional investors held back and retail investors exited.

Swiggy (1255298D IN)'s IPO, set to open next week, faces headwinds from weak market sentiment, rising U.S. election uncertainty, and Zomato's USD1 billion QIP.


Weekly Consumer: Market Timing Makes a Difference. CR Beverage Pops in HK, Hyundai Slumps in India

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India </a>  is expected to close flat or slightly positive today, as low retail participation and modest expectations for gains on listing day could limit selling pressure.</li>
<li>Many retail investors skipped the IPO, influenced by 'finfluencers' who had largely advised against it based on misinterpreted valuation comparison with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a> .</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor India's meaningful discount to Maruti Suzuki on operating profit based valuation multiples suggest room for outperformance in the medium term.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India   is expected to close flat or slightly positive today, as low retail participation and modest expectations for gains on listing day could limit selling pressure.
Many retail investors skipped the IPO, influenced by 'finfluencers' who had largely advised against it based on misinterpreted valuation comparison with Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN) .
Hyundai Motor India's meaningful discount to Maruti Suzuki on operating profit based valuation multiples suggest room for outperformance in the medium term.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: Little Downside. Low Retail Interest-Myopia, Misguidance, Misinterpretation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)</a> raised INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) by selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>, valuing Hyundai India at INR 1,593bn (US$18.95bn).</li>
<li>The anchor investor book was fully subscribed. The non-institutional and retail books were undersubscribed, so institutions got more stock. And that changes the free float estimates for one global index.</li>
<li>Even with the higher float, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a> is unlikely to get Fast Entry to one global index later this month. Index inclusions should commence in February 2025.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) raised INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) by selling some of its stake in Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), valuing Hyundai India at INR 1,593bn (US$18.95bn).
The anchor investor book was fully subscribed. The non-institutional and retail books were undersubscribed, so institutions got more stock. And that changes the free float estimates for one global index.
Even with the higher float, Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) is unlikely to get Fast Entry to one global index later this month. Index inclusions should commence in February 2025.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) shares start trading on 22 October. The IPO price is 1,960 INR. </li>
<li>Although there has been some solid interest on this IPO among many institutional investors, there have been a lower interest among retail investors. </li>
<li>There has also been relatively low grey market premium. If the share price reaches in the positive upper single digits, we expect many traders to sell into this short-term rally. </li>
</ul>


Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) shares start trading on 22 October. The IPO price is 1,960 INR. 
Although there has been some solid interest on this IPO among many institutional investors, there have been a lower interest among retail investors. 
There has also been relatively low grey market premium. If the share price reaches in the positive upper single digits, we expect many traders to sell into this short-term rally. 


Hyundai Motor India: Trading Strategy on the First Day of Trading

South Korea

Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) manufactures automobiles. The Company offers new and used cars, vans, trucks, and sport utility vehicles along with financing, leasing, and maintenance services. HMIL serves customers globally.

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Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Thoughts on Hyundai Motor, Zomato, and Jiofin

There are no changes for NIFTY 50 but there could be five changes for NIFTY Next 50 according to current rankings. Only 54% of the reference period...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Weekly Consumer: Market Timing Makes a Difference. CR Beverage Pops in HK, Hyundai Slumps in India

Market sentiment continues to be weak in India with steady outflow of foreign funds. This weighed on HMIL's lack lustre listing last week and led...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Little Downside. Low Retail Interest-Myopia, Misguidance, Misinterpretation

Listing day Outlook - Retail selling pressure could be muted. Institutional investors are expected to buy on any price dips, and the stock is...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?

Hyundai India sold shares worth US$3.3bn in its IPO valuing the company at US$19bn. Grey market indicates a 3-5% higher opening today. Fast Entry...

Brian Freitas

Hyundai Motor India: Trading Strategy on the First Day of Trading

There has been low grey market premium on Hyundai Motor India IPO. If share price reaches in the positive upper single digits on 1st day of...

Douglas Kim

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