Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Taiwan's defense sector is seen as undervalued, representing a missed opportunity in the global arms race.</li><li>Malaysian officials hold a meeting with Tesla, but plans for a factory in the country are considered unlikely.</li><li>Retailers are using ICT and personnel to drive growth in green energy trading, while Samsung leads the gaming monitor market.</li></ul>

Taiwan's defense sector is seen as undervalued, representing a missed opportunity in the global arms race.Malaysian officials hold a meeting with Tesla, but plans for a factory in the country are considered unlikely.Retailers are using ICT and personnel to drive growth in green energy trading, while Samsung leads the gaming monitor market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hyundai’s TSR target is 35%+ (dividends plus buybacks), up 10 percentage points from previous years. They’ve also set a new annual dividend of ₩10,000, paid evenly quarterly.</li>
<li>Hyundai's Value-Up targets may not fully meet market expectations, but the key is the timing. By aligning early with government policies, Hyundai has reduced risks and secured investment flow.</li>
<li>Hyundai plans a pref-skewed buyback, likely continuing this approach as retiring preferred shares first may boost ROE.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai’s TSR target is 35%+ (dividends plus buybacks), up 10 percentage points from previous years. They’ve also set a new annual dividend of ₩10,000, paid evenly quarterly.
Hyundai's Value-Up targets may not fully meet market expectations, but the key is the timing. By aligning early with government policies, Hyundai has reduced risks and secured investment flow.
Hyundai plans a pref-skewed buyback, likely continuing this approach as retiring preferred shares first may boost ROE.


Hyundai Motor's Value-Up Disclosure: Trading Implications from Release Timing & Pref-Skewed Buyback

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24</li>
<li>It has developed <strong>environmentally friendly collision aluminum</strong>, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL</li>
<li>Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. </li>
</ul>



Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24
It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL
Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. 


Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR in FY25. </li>
<li>There have been some increasing concerns about Hyundai Motor India paying out higher royalty to its parent Hyundai Motor and dividend to shareholders, which could lower profit.</li>
<li>According to a recent article by livemint, the expected valuation of Hyundai Motor India has fallen to about USD16 billion to USD20 billion.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR in FY25. 
There have been some increasing concerns about Hyundai Motor India paying out higher royalty to its parent Hyundai Motor and dividend to shareholders, which could lower profit.
According to a recent article by livemint, the expected valuation of Hyundai Motor India has fallen to about USD16 billion to USD20 billion.


Hyundai Motor India IPO Valuation Analysis

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD593.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD995mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsungelec (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS), Hyundaimtr (005380 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD593.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD995mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsungelec (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS), Hyundaimtr (005380 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Samsungelec, Sk Hynix, Hyundaimtr

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Aug-2024): Taiwan's defense sector missed opportunity in arms race.

Taiwan's defense sector is overlooked, Malaysia meets Tesla but factory plans may not happen, July 2024 notebook shipment update, retail green...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Hyundai Motor's Value-Up Disclosure: Trading Implications from Release Timing & Pref-Skewed Buyback

This post examines Hyundai Motor's Value-Up disclosure released today, focusing on potential trading implications, especially regarding the timing...

Sanghyun Park

Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

Dirt cheap valuation (-27% YTD) while numbers have improved. Produced an environmentally friendly aluminum with 85% less emissions compared to...

Henry Soediarko

Hyundai Motor India IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Samsungelec, Sk Hynix, Hyundaimtr

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsungelec, Sk Hynix, Hyundaimtr.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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