Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the past week, one of the biggest stories in Korea has been the Hyundai Motor Group's mega $21 billion investment in the United States.</li>
<li>There is a real concern that Hyundai Motor may need to raise external capital to fund its US investments/share buybacks/dividends in 2027/2028.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) remains one of the most undervalued global auto companies. It is trading at P/E of 4.7x in 2025 and 4.5x in 20026. </li>
</ul>


In the past week, one of the biggest stories in Korea has been the Hyundai Motor Group's mega $21 billion investment in the United States.
There is a real concern that Hyundai Motor may need to raise external capital to fund its US investments/share buybacks/dividends in 2027/2028.
Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) remains one of the most undervalued global auto companies. It is trading at P/E of 4.7x in 2025 and 4.5x in 20026. 


Hyundai Motor Group - $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea's first ATS goes live on March 4, starting with 10 tickers based on liquidity and market cap, expanding to 800 over time. First 10 revealed next week.</li>
<li>KRX vs ATS arbitrage will be key, with execution speed differences causing price dislocations, especially for KOSPI 200 stocks. Lower ATS fees may shift institutional flow, increasing arb opportunities.</li>
<li>On top of that, lack of market makers could widen bid-ask spreads, creating opportunities for spread scalpers to profit.</li>
</ul>


Korea's first ATS goes live on March 4, starting with 10 tickers based on liquidity and market cap, expanding to 800 over time. First 10 revealed next week.
KRX vs ATS arbitrage will be key, with execution speed differences causing price dislocations, especially for KOSPI 200 stocks. Lower ATS fees may shift institutional flow, increasing arb opportunities.
On top of that, lack of market makers could widen bid-ask spreads, creating opportunities for spread scalpers to profit.


Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

<ul>
<li>Major banks, Hyundai Motor, POSCO Holdings, and companies like HMM, which updated their articles, will likely set dividend record dates pre-AGM in the mid-to-late February window.</li>
<li>Track backwardation in March futures for mispricings. Companies will likely follow last year’s playbook: AGM in mid-to-late March, record date 3–4 weeks prior, announcement 2 weeks ahead.</li>
<li>Opportunity lies in the March futures basis spread between February contract and record date announcement. Watch those for potential dividend hikes and futures mispricing ahead.</li>
</ul>


Major banks, Hyundai Motor, POSCO Holdings, and companies like HMM, which updated their articles, will likely set dividend record dates pre-AGM in the mid-to-late February window.
Track backwardation in March futures for mispricings. Companies will likely follow last year’s playbook: AGM in mid-to-late March, record date 3–4 weeks prior, announcement 2 weeks ahead.
Opportunity lies in the March futures basis spread between February contract and record date announcement. Watch those for potential dividend hikes and futures mispricing ahead.


Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 4th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hd Hyundai Electric, Sk Innovation.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 4th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hd Hyundai Electric, Sk Innovation.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>June rebalance drops mid-May, goes live post-KOSPI 200 expiry. Back to 100 names—net outflow setup with more deletes than adds. ETFs rebalance into June 12 close.</li>
<li>KRX confirmed 10 special entries for June; results likely out in May with Value-Up rebalance. 12 protected names stay. Stocks over 10% weight, like Samsung and SK Hynix, remain.</li>
<li>Value-Up disclosure isn’t mandatory yet—rule starts June 2026. But compliant firms get a screening boost. Around 76 spots remain, filled via quant screen after excluding 24 protected names.</li>
</ul>


June rebalance drops mid-May, goes live post-KOSPI 200 expiry. Back to 100 names—net outflow setup with more deletes than adds. ETFs rebalance into June 12 close.
KRX confirmed 10 special entries for June; results likely out in May with Value-Up rebalance. 12 protected names stay. Stocks over 10% weight, like Samsung and SK Hynix, remain.
Value-Up disclosure isn’t mandatory yet—rule starts June 2026. But compliant firms get a screening boost. Around 76 spots remain, filled via quant screen after excluding 24 protected names.


June Value-Up Rebalance: Hype Fading, But Key Flags Remain

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)

Hyundai Motor Group - $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]

In the past week, one of the biggest stories in Korea has been the Hyundai Motor Group's mega $21 billion investment in the United States.

Douglas Kim

Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

NextTrade just unveiled its first batch of stocks for the March 4 ATS launch: Lotte Shopping, Cheil Worldwide, Kolon Ind, LG Uplus, S-Oil, Golfzon,...

Sanghyun Park

Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea

This post covers the essentials for improving the predictability of dividend record dates in Korea, providing key information for navigating...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

June Value-Up Rebalance: Hype Fading, But Key Flags Remain

This post gives a quick pulse check on the June Value-up Index rebalance—hype’s cooling off, but there are still a few key things to flag.

Sanghyun Park

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