Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>APAC offshore wind market faces regional competition as Typhoon Krathon spurs AI models to compete for accurate forecasting.</li><li>Ford Lio Ho revamps Kuga lineup in Taiwan's SUV market post-Krathon, focusing on supply chain resilience amid labor strikes and geopolitical tensions.</li><li>Hyundai Motor plans ambitious battery production strategy while DIGITIMES Research forecasts significant growth in global and Taiwan AI healthcare markets from 2023 to 2030.</li></ul>

APAC offshore wind market faces regional competition as Typhoon Krathon spurs AI models to compete for accurate forecasting.Ford Lio Ho revamps Kuga lineup in Taiwan's SUV market post-Krathon, focusing on supply chain resilience amid labor strikes and geopolitical tensions.Hyundai Motor plans ambitious battery production strategy while DIGITIMES Research forecasts significant growth in global and Taiwan AI healthcare markets from 2023 to 2030.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Oct-2024): APAC offshore wind market at crossroads.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.</li>
<li>Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.</li>
<li>Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.</li>
</ul>


A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.
Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.
Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.


Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

<ul>
<li>Hyundai’s TSR target is 35%+ (dividends plus buybacks), up 10 percentage points from previous years. They’ve also set a new annual dividend of ₩10,000, paid evenly quarterly.</li>
<li>Hyundai's Value-Up targets may not fully meet market expectations, but the key is the timing. By aligning early with government policies, Hyundai has reduced risks and secured investment flow.</li>
<li>Hyundai plans a pref-skewed buyback, likely continuing this approach as retiring preferred shares first may boost ROE.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai’s TSR target is 35%+ (dividends plus buybacks), up 10 percentage points from previous years. They’ve also set a new annual dividend of ₩10,000, paid evenly quarterly.
Hyundai's Value-Up targets may not fully meet market expectations, but the key is the timing. By aligning early with government policies, Hyundai has reduced risks and secured investment flow.
Hyundai plans a pref-skewed buyback, likely continuing this approach as retiring preferred shares first may boost ROE.


Hyundai Motor's Value-Up Disclosure: Trading Implications from Release Timing & Pref-Skewed Buyback

<ul>
<li>Samsung Elec &amp; Hyundai Motor's high proportion of preferred stocks leads to their unusually high cost of capital, making themselves prime targets for the govt's Corporate Value Up policy.</li>
<li>Policy likely focuses on aggressive share buybacks, especially preferred stock repurchase, to improve PBR. Pension funds may invest heavily in ETFs, offsetting dilution effects.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor may pursue more aggressive shareholder returns due to the India listing, possibly prioritizing preferred share repurchases as it introduces risks of value transfer controversies within Korea.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Elec &amp; Hyundai Motor's high proportion of preferred stocks leads to their unusually high cost of capital, making themselves prime targets for the govt's Corporate Value Up policy.
Policy likely focuses on aggressive share buybacks, especially preferred stock repurchase, to improve PBR. Pension funds may invest heavily in ETFs, offsetting dilution effects.
Hyundai Motor may pursue more aggressive shareholder returns due to the India listing, possibly prioritizing preferred share repurchases as it introduces risks of value transfer controversies within Korea.


Exploring Prioritized Buyback/Cancellation of Samsung Electronics & Hyundai Motor Prefs

<ul>
<li>The plan is to select 20 large-cap companies from around 30 with value-up disclosures by late August, then gradually expand the index's constituents.</li>
<li>Investors seeking both dividends and value-up benefits must buy stocks individually, as ETFs lack tax advantages, potentially triggering fund shifts from dividend ETFs to value-up stocks.</li>
<li>We can target stocks in dividend ETFs not making value-up disclosures, as they may face overhang risk during fund migration to the value-up index.</li>
</ul>


The plan is to select 20 large-cap companies from around 30 with value-up disclosures by late August, then gradually expand the index's constituents.
Investors seeking both dividends and value-up benefits must buy stocks individually, as ETFs lack tax advantages, potentially triggering fund shifts from dividend ETFs to value-up stocks.
We can target stocks in dividend ETFs not making value-up disclosures, as they may face overhang risk during fund migration to the value-up index.


Flow Developments to Watch as the Release of the Value-Up Index Approaches

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005387 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Oct-2024): APAC offshore wind market at crossroads.

APAC offshore wind market faces competition, Typhoon Krathon sparks battle among AI models. Taiwan's Ford Lio Ho ups SUV lineup, supply chain...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

A high-ranking official confirmed that tax cut incentives for the value-up program will be unveiled by the end of this month. This post...

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Motor's Value-Up Disclosure: Trading Implications from Release Timing & Pref-Skewed Buyback

This post examines Hyundai Motor's Value-Up disclosure released today, focusing on potential trading implications, especially regarding the timing...

Sanghyun Park

Exploring Prioritized Buyback/Cancellation of Samsung Electronics & Hyundai Motor Prefs

This post intends to flag the imminent likelihood of prioritized buyback and cancellation of preferred shares by Samsung Electronics and Hyundai...

Sanghyun Park

Flow Developments to Watch as the Release of the Value-Up Index Approaches

This post investigates potential flow developments that we should watch as the the release of the value-up index approaches.

Sanghyun Park

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