Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices. </p><p><strong><em>Companies mentioned this week:</em></strong></p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saudi-aramco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27317:1" rel="noopener">Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, GlobalFoundries, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart Inc (139480 KS)</a></p>

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices. Companies mentioned this week:Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB), Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), GlobalFoundries, Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), E Mart Inc (139480 KS)

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 25 June 2021

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<div class="content-highlight"><p>According to the KRX, it plans to launch new indices which would include the top 10 stocks in KOSPI including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>. The name of this index is expected to be called <strong>KOSPI 200 Top 10.</strong> There will also be 2x levered indices based off the KOSPI 200 Top 10 index. These indices will be catered for those investors that are interested in the highest market cap companies within KOSPI 200.</p></div><p>Currently, the top 10 constitutents of the KOSPI 200 Top 10 Index will be expected to be composed of the following:</p><ol>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-mobis-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6089:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS)</a> </li>
</ol>

According to the KRX, it plans to launch new indices which would include the top 10 stocks in KOSPI including Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). The name of this index is expected to be called KOSPI 200 Top 10. There will also be 2x levered indices based off the KOSPI 200 Top 10 index. These indices will be catered for those investors that are interested in the highest market cap companies within KOSPI 200.Currently, the top 10 constitutents of the KOSPI 200 Top 10 Index will be expected to be composed of the following:

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 

SK Hynix (000660 KS) 

LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) 

Naver Corp (035420 KS) 

Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS) 

Samsung SDI (006400 KS) 

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) 

Kakao Corp (035720 KS) 

Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS) 

Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) 


KRX Plans to Launch a New Index Called 'KOSPI 200 Top 10'

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>Hyundai mobis continues to be in a harsh diversion relative to its siblings, Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor. It is at a -2.25σ on a 20-day moving average vs. Kia Corp. The 20-day sigma relative to Hyundai Motor is -1.55 now. </p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.682px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Comp 1 (Long)"}'>Comp 1 (Long)</td>
<td style="width: 115.56px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Comp 2 (Short)"}'>Comp 2 (Short)</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 117.552px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sigma on a 20-day moving average"}'>Sigma on a 20-day moving average</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 127.604px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"180-day correlation coefficient"}'>180-day correlation coefficient</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 133.659px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cointegration coefficient (180-day price Δ beta)"}'>Cointegration coefficient (180-day price Δ beta)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.682px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD."}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-1]C[1]"><strong>HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.</strong></td>
<td style="width: 115.56px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kia Corp"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-1]C[1]"><strong>Kia Corp</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 117.552px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.2518639492767143}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[8]C[-1]"><strong>-2.25</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 127.604px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7480010585761807}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=correl(index(googlefinance(R[0]C[2], "price",today()-200, today()), 0,2), index(googlefinance(R[0]C[3], "price",today()-200, today()), 0,2))'>0.75</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 133.659px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5563729124603229}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Beta!R[2]C[-3]">0.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.682px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD."}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-2]C[3]"><strong>HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.</strong></td>
<td style="width: 115.56px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Motor Co"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-2]C[3]"><strong>Hyundai Motor Co</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 117.552px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.5544482164241549}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[8]C[-1]"><strong>-1.55</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 127.604px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.929675478057548}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=correl(index(googlefinance(R[0]C[2], "price",today()-200, today()), 0,2), index(googlefinance(R[0]C[3], "price",today()-200, today()), 0,2))'>0.93</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 133.659px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7886057127133221}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Beta!R[1]C[-1]">0.79</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="width: 726.016px;">Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The current price ratio is 19.25% and 9.09% below the 180-day mean vs. Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, respectively. Mobis is currently at a 180-day low to both Kia and Hyundai Motor.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 149.466px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Comp 1 (Long)"}'>Comp 1 (Long)</td>
<td style="width: 120.391px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Comp 2 (Short)"}'>Comp 2 (Short)</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 118.372px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price ratio %Δ to 180-day mean"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>Price ratio %Δ to 180-day mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 128.398px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price ratio %Δ to 180-day high"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>Price ratio %Δ to 180-day high</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 125.43px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price ratio %Δ to 180-day low"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>Price ratio %Δ to 180-day low</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 149.466px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD."}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-16]C[0]"><strong>HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.</strong></td>
<td style="width: 120.391px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kia Corp"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-16]C[0]"><strong>Kia Corp</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 118.372px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.19253623208265946}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C6-R[0]C[4])/R[0]C[4]"><strong>-19.25%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 128.398px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.3974244135311329}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C6-R[0]C[4])/R[0]C[4]">-39.74%</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 125.43px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C6-R[0]C[4])/R[0]C[4]">0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 149.466px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD."}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-16]C[0]"><strong>HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.</strong></td>
<td style="width: 120.391px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Motor Co"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-16]C[0]"><strong>Hyundai Motor Co</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 118.372px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.09085981735173156}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C6-R[0]C[4])/R[0]C[4]"><strong>-9.09%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 128.398px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.18788573693448832}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C6-R[0]C[4])/R[0]C[4]">-18.79%</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 125.43px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C6-R[0]C[4])/R[0]C[4]">0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="width: 726.016px;">Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/209/837/original/HYUNDAI+MOBIS+CO.%2C+LTD.+vs.+Kia+Corp.png?1622273377" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="209837"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/209/838/original/HYUNDAI+MOBIS+CO.%2C+LTD.+vs.+Hyundai+Motor+Co.png?1622273387" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="209838"></figure></section>

Hyundai mobis continues to be in a harsh diversion relative to its siblings, Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor. It is at a -2.25σ on a 20-day moving average vs. Kia Corp. The 20-day sigma relative to Hyundai Motor is -1.55 now. 









Comp 1 (Long)
Comp 2 (Short)
Sigma on a 20-day moving average
180-day correlation coefficient
Cointegration coefficient (180-day price Δ beta)


HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.
Kia Corp
-2.25
0.75
0.56


HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.
Hyundai Motor Co
-1.55
0.93
0.79

Source: KRX

The current price ratio is 19.25% and 9.09% below the 180-day mean vs. Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, respectively. Mobis is currently at a 180-day low to both Kia and Hyundai Motor.









Comp 1 (Long)
Comp 2 (Short)
Price ratio %Δ to 180-day mean
Price ratio %Δ to 180-day high
Price ratio %Δ to 180-day low


HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.
Kia Corp
-19.25%
-39.74%
0.00%


HYUNDAI MOBIS CO., LTD.
Hyundai Motor Co
-9.09%
-18.79%
0.00%

Source: KRX



Korea Sector Pair: Hyundai Mobis Vs. Kia and Hyundai Motor

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<p>Short selling has finally resumed in Korea and it has been a busy couple of days on that front with foreign investors piling into stocks that have run up more than their peers over the last year and are potentially overvalued.</p><p>Long/short pairs could be implemented in Korea during the short sell ban if you had long inventory or if there were listed single stock futures on the short leg.</p><p>With short selling permitted on constituents of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>, we take a look at long/short pairs where both stocks are members of the index. These pairs belong to the same GICS sub-industry, are correlated and exhibit mean-reversion. We also use short sale data from the last couple of trading sessions to see which stocks are being targeted by short sellers.</p>

Short selling has finally resumed in Korea and it has been a busy couple of days on that front with foreign investors piling into stocks that have run up more than their peers over the last year and are potentially overvalued.Long/short pairs could be implemented in Korea during the short sell ban if you had long inventory or if there were listed single stock futures on the short leg.With short selling permitted on constituents of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX), we take a look at long/short pairs where both stocks are members of the index. These pairs belong to the same GICS sub-industry, are correlated and exhibit mean-reversion. We also use short sale data from the last couple of trading sessions to see which stocks are being targeted by short sellers.

Korea Pair Trades: High Risk/Reward Names with Short Sell Screen

<div class="content-highlight"><p>In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the ban on the short selling of shares in Korea in May. In this insight, we highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</p></div><p>Just a reminder that the ban on short selling of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 included stocks will remain in place until May 2nd and investors will be able to resume their shorting on these 350 stocks starting on May 3rd. Once this ban on short selling of stocks ends, there could be more investors that may look to add to the holdco shares and short the opco shares (especially among the pairs where the holdco shares have underperformed the opco shares in the past year). However, some of these moves have already started to take place in the past few weeks, which could reduce the overall profits on the pair trades. </p><p>Traditionally, the pair trades involving Korean holdcos and opcos have been a trading strategy that many hedge funds have employed for many years. However, the ban on short selling of stocks in Korea have prevented many of these funds from employing these pair trade strategies. Once the ban ends, you will likely see these funds becoming more active in these trading methods once again. </p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>In the section below, we separated the pair trades into two different sections. The first table involves major opcos outperforming holdcos (regular and quasi) in the past year. Of the 26 pair trade strategies mentioned in this insight, this section I involves 19 of them (73% of total). The section II (which involve holdcos outperforming the opcos in the past year) involves 7 pair trade strategies (27% of total).</p>
<p>In other words, the opcos in general have vastly outperformed the holdcos in the past year, especially due to the ban on the short selling of stocks in Korea. Because the opcos tend to be the bigger company than the holdcos in terms of market cap, many fund managers (both active and passive) have tended to just invest in the opcos and pay less attention to the holdcos.  </p>
</div><p>Also, we described the holdcos as either regular or quasi. SK Telecom and Samsung C&amp;T would be examples of "quasi" holdcos whereas Orion Holdings and Hanjin Kal would be examples of regular holdcos. </p>

In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the ban on the short selling of shares in Korea in May. In this insight, we highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.Just a reminder that the ban on short selling of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 included stocks will remain in place until May 2nd and investors will be able to resume their shorting on these 350 stocks starting on May 3rd. Once this ban on short selling of stocks ends, there could be more investors that may look to add to the holdco shares and short the opco shares (especially among the pairs where the holdco shares have underperformed the opco shares in the past year). However, some of these moves have already started to take place in the past few weeks, which could reduce the overall profits on the pair trades. Traditionally, the pair trades involving Korean holdcos and opcos have been a trading strategy that many hedge funds have employed for many years. However, the ban on short selling of stocks in Korea have prevented many of these funds from employing these pair trade strategies. Once the ban ends, you will likely see these funds becoming more active in these trading methods once again. 
In the section below, we separated the pair trades into two different sections. The first table involves major opcos outperforming holdcos (regular and quasi) in the past year. Of the 26 pair trade strategies mentioned in this insight, this section I involves 19 of them (73% of total). The section II (which involve holdcos outperforming the opcos in the past year) involves 7 pair trade strategies (27% of total).
In other words, the opcos in general have vastly outperformed the holdcos in the past year, especially due to the ban on the short selling of stocks in Korea. Because the opcos tend to be the bigger company than the holdcos in terms of market cap, many fund managers (both active and passive) have tended to just invest in the opcos and pay less attention to the holdcos.  
Also, we described the holdcos as either regular or quasi. SK Telecom and Samsung C&amp;T would be examples of "quasi" holdcos whereas Orion Holdings and Hanjin Kal would be examples of regular holdcos. 

Closing the Gap: Korean Holdcos Vs. Opcos

South Korea

Hyundai Mobis Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automotive parts and equipment, such as  automotive service components, modules, and systems. The Company also contractsenvironmental projects, including sewage treatment plant and industrial waste water treatment plant construction.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS)

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 25 June 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

KRX Plans to Launch a New Index Called 'KOSPI 200 Top 10'

According to the KRX, it plans to launch new indices which would include the top 10 stocks in KOSPI. The name of this index is expected to be...

Douglas Kim

Korea Sector Pair: Hyundai Mobis Vs. Kia and Hyundai Motor

This post examines the continued diversion in Hyundai Mobis vs. Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor and discusses why we should see a reversion at this point.

Sanghyun Park

Korea Pair Trades: High Risk/Reward Names with Short Sell Screen

With the resumption of short selling in Korea, we highlight correlated pairs from the same GICS sub-industry that are near reversion points and...

Brian Freitas

Closing the Gap: Korean Holdcos Vs. Opcos

In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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