Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.</li>
<li>Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.</li>
</ul>


Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.
Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.
The Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) to KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.


Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

<ul>
<li>Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.</li>
</ul>


Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.
Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX has outperformed the KOSDAQ 150 Index, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The resumption of short selling in Korea will start again on 31 March. There has been a ban on short selling in Korea since November 2023.</li>
<li>We provide some short selling candidates in Korea. Their sharply increasing share prices in the past five years have resulted in much more burdensome valuations.</li>
<li>Despite their burdensome valuations and sharply higher share prices, the remains high risk of some of these stocks that could overshoot to the upside.</li>
</ul>


The resumption of short selling in Korea will start again on 31 March. There has been a ban on short selling in Korea since November 2023.
We provide some short selling candidates in Korea. Their sharply increasing share prices in the past five years have resulted in much more burdensome valuations.
Despite their burdensome valuations and sharply higher share prices, the remains high risk of some of these stocks that could overshoot to the upside.


Resumption of Short Selling in Korea on 31 March and Potential Short Selling Candidates

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Small cap Emerging Market funds have outperformed their large-cap peers over the past 10 years.</li>
<li>Yet small and midcap exposure decreased to near record levels last year, in spite of managers maintaining an overweight position versus the benchmark.</li>
<li>We screen for well owned and small/midcap stocks that are showing strong momentum among managers.</li>
</ul>


Small cap Emerging Market funds have outperformed their large-cap peers over the past 10 years.
Yet small and midcap exposure decreased to near record levels last year, in spite of managers maintaining an overweight position versus the benchmark.
We screen for well owned and small/midcap stocks that are showing strong momentum among managers.


<ul>
<li>DeepSeek has been the biggest story in the global markets in the past couple of weeks.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss how the rise of DeepSeek could impact the share prices of the major AI related companies in Korea including SK Hynix (000660 KS). </li>
<li><em><strong>The top five Korean companies that could be negatively impacted by the rise of DeepSeek include SK Hynix, Hanmi Semiconductor, SK Square, HD Hyundai Electric, and LS Electric. </strong></em></li>
</ul>


DeepSeek has been the biggest story in the global markets in the past couple of weeks.
In this insight, we discuss how the rise of DeepSeek could impact the share prices of the major AI related companies in Korea including SK Hynix (000660 KS). 
The top five Korean companies that could be negatively impacted by the rise of DeepSeek include SK Hynix, Hanmi Semiconductor, SK Square, HD Hyundai Electric, and LS Electric. 


Rise of DeepSeek - Impact on SK Hynix and Other Major Korean Stocks

South Korea

Hyundai Electric & Energy Systems (HE&E), which makes various electric equipment including transformers, switchgear, motors, low & medium voltage circuit breakers, power electronics, and power electronics & control systems.

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Hyundai Electric & Energy (267260 KS)

Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Short notional has increased as has foreign ownership of Korean equities. Stock selection will become increasingly important. The forecast index...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Selling: Off to the Races

Data indicates positioning in different types of trades ranging from index pairs to forecast index deletions and stocks with high forward PEs. Some...

Brian Freitas

Resumption of Short Selling in Korea on 31 March and Potential Short Selling Candidates

The resumption of short selling in Korea will start again on 31 March. There has been a ban on short selling in Korea since November 2023. We...

Douglas Kim

Active GEM Funds: The Small Cap Effect

Small cap Emerging Market funds have outperformed their large-cap peers over the past 10 years, Yet small and midcap exposure decreased to near...

Steven Holden

Rise of DeepSeek - Impact on SK Hynix and Other Major Korean Stocks

The top five Korean companies that could be negatively impacted by the rise of DeepSeek include SK Hynix, Hanmi Semiconductor, SK Square, HD...

Douglas Kim

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