Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. </li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a <em>subset</em> of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of ChiNext and ChiNext 50 rebalance baskets.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. 
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of ChiNext and ChiNext 50 rebalance baskets.


Quiddity Primer for ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance Events

<ul>
<li>There could be three changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index at the close of trading on 13 December.</li>
<li>Based on the assets tracking the index, passive trackers will need to trade between 0.1-0.3x ADV in the stocks.</li>
<li>There will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-in" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31062:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) (688981 CH)</a> to cap the stock at 10% of the index weight.</li>
</ul>


There could be three changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index at the close of trading on 13 December.
Based on the assets tracking the index, passive trackers will need to trade between 0.1-0.3x ADV in the stocks.
There will be selling in Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) (688981 CH) to cap the stock at 10% of the index weight.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December

<ul>
<li>There could be one change for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwatsing-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36700:1" rel="noopener">Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/starpower-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30089:1" rel="noopener">StarPower Semiconductor (603290 CH)</a> in December. The change is right at the cusp.</li>
<li>Passive trackers are estimated to buy 0.8x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwatsing-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36700:1" rel="noopener">Hwatsing Technology</a> and sell 0.4x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/starpower-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30089:1" rel="noopener">StarPower Semiconductor</a>. There will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-in" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31062:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC)</a> due to capping.</li>
<li>Both stocks have been moving higher over the last few weeks, but the potential inclusion has been outperforming the potential deletion pretty handily.</li>
</ul>


There could be one change for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index with Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH) replacing StarPower Semiconductor (603290 CH) in December. The change is right at the cusp.
Passive trackers are estimated to buy 0.8x ADV in Hwatsing Technology and sell 0.4x ADV in StarPower Semiconductor. There will be selling in Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) due to capping.
Both stocks have been moving higher over the last few weeks, but the potential inclusion has been outperforming the potential deletion pretty handily.


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusion Outperforming

Chengdu Sino Microelectronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 constituent changes for the STAR Chip Index at the December rebalance. There will also be a couple of capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.05% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 1.6bn (US$225m). Passives need to trade between 0.6-1x ADV in the potential changes.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have underperformed the forecast deletes over the last month but there has been a marked improvement in performance in the last week. Watch out for more.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 constituent changes for the STAR Chip Index at the December rebalance. There will also be a couple of capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.05% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 1.6bn (US$225m). Passives need to trade between 0.6-1x ADV in the potential changes.
The forecast adds have underperformed the forecast deletes over the last month but there has been a marked improvement in performance in the last week. Watch out for more.


STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Potential Changes in December; US$450m Round-Trip Trade

China

Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes computer components. The Company produces high end processors, deep computing processors, accelerators, calculator chips, and other related products. Hygon Information Technology markets its products worldwide.

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

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Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Primer for ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance Events

Going forward, Quiddity Leaderboard for ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices will be published on a monthly basis to help readers track the developments...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December

There could be 3 changes in Dec with passives needing to trade 0.-0.3x ADV in the stocks. SMIC will be capped at 10% of the index weight. Some...

Brian Freitas

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusion Outperforming

Hwatsing Tech could replace StarPower Semiconductor in the index. Passive trackers will need to buy 0.8x ADV in Hwatsing and sell 0.4x ADV in...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Potential Changes in December; US$450m Round-Trip Trade

There could be 3 constituent changes in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.05% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY1.6bn. Passives need to...

Brian Freitas

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