IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/riso-kyoiku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20848:1" rel="noopener">Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP)</a> announced a partial tender offer and third-party allotment with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hulic-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:388:1" rel="noopener">Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP)</a>, the largest shareholder. Hulic aims to make Riso Kyoiku a consolidated subsidiary.  </li>
<li>The offer is for a maximum of 39.4 million shares (23.15% post-allotment ownership ratio) at JPY320 per share, a 46.8% premium to the undisturbed price (5 April).</li>
<li>Irrevocable (from the founder and Chairman) represents a 9.26% post-allotment ownership ratio. The offer is light, but there is no minimum acceptance condition. </li>
</ul>



Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP) announced a partial tender offer and third-party allotment with Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP), the largest shareholder. Hulic aims to make Riso Kyoiku a consolidated subsidiary.  
The offer is for a maximum of 39.4 million shares (23.15% post-allotment ownership ratio) at JPY320 per share, a 46.8% premium to the undisturbed price (5 April).
Irrevocable (from the founder and Chairman) represents a 9.26% post-allotment ownership ratio. The offer is light, but there is no minimum acceptance condition. 


Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP): Hulic (3003 JP)’s Partial Tender Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Today, cram school operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/riso-kyoiku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20848:1" rel="noopener">Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP)</a> and 20% owner real estate developer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hulic-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:388:1" rel="noopener">Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP)</a> amended their Capital and Business Alliance agreement. </li>
<li>Hulic will buy 25.5% of shares out in a Partial Offer at +43.5% vs last. Then post-tender, they will buy shares at last from the company to go to 51.%</li>
<li>The founder will sell his 10%. The rest is interesting. It's a high ROE high div stock. Some own it from higher. Pro-ration is tough to estimate. But we try.</li>
</ul>


Today, cram school operator Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP) and 20% owner real estate developer Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP) amended their Capital and Business Alliance agreement. 
Hulic will buy 25.5% of shares out in a Partial Offer at +43.5% vs last. Then post-tender, they will buy shares at last from the company to go to 51.%
The founder will sell his 10%. The rest is interesting. It's a high ROE high div stock. Some own it from higher. Pro-ration is tough to estimate. But we try.


Riso Kyoiku (4714) Partial Tender (¥320/Sh) Followed by Third Party Dilution To Get Hulic to 51%

Equity Capital Markets

Nippon Express Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$260 million secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-express-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18582:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)</a> shares are down 5.3% from the undisturbed price of JPY8,039 per share (1 March).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Nippon Express shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$260 million secondary placement announcement, Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP) shares are down 5.3% from the undisturbed price of JPY8,039 per share (1 March).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Nippon Express shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-express-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18582:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 4.8 million shares (including overallotment). There are seven selling shareholders.</li>
<li>The secondary offering comes ahead of the implementation of regulatory restrictions on truck drivers' overtime in April 2024, which is widely known as the ‘2024 Problem’.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between 11 and 13 March (likely 11 March).</li>
</ul>



Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 4.8 million shares (including overallotment). There are seven selling shareholders.
The secondary offering comes ahead of the implementation of regulatory restrictions on truck drivers' overtime in April 2024, which is widely known as the ‘2024 Problem’.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between 11 and 13 March (likely 11 March).


Nippon Express (9147 JP): A US$260 Million Secondary Offering

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

Teikoku Sen-i Co., Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Teikoku, a stable disaster equipment leader, is undervalued due to excessive cash and cross-holdings.  </li>
<li>Regulatory pressure, industry trends, and potential Hulic asset sales create an opportunity to unlock hidden value.</li>
<li>Despite fair current pricing, potential share repurchases and improved capital allocation offer up to 40% upside.</li>
</ul>


Teikoku, a stable disaster equipment leader, is undervalued due to excessive cash and cross-holdings.  
Regulatory pressure, industry trends, and potential Hulic asset sales create an opportunity to unlock hidden value.
Despite fair current pricing, potential share repurchases and improved capital allocation offer up to 40% upside.


Hidden Value in Plain Sight: Teikoku's (3302) Potential Unlock

Japan

DAITO TRUST CONSTRUCTION CO., LTD. operates building construction and real estate businesses.  The Company plans and constructs apartment and commercial buildings mainly for land owners.  Daito Trust Construction provides brokerage and maintenance services as well.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings, Corp. is a holding company established through the merger of Tokyu Land Corporation, Tokyu Community Corp, and Tokyu Livable Inc. The Company manages operations for its subsidiaries.

Tokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases commercial buildings, condominiums, and houses.   The Company also develops and manages hotels, vacation houses, leisure facilities, and resort places.

Open House Co.,Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company offers services including renting, buying, selling and appraising real estate.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings, Inc. sells and leases condominiums, residential houses, and office buildings.  The Company also manages REITs, real estate development, and consulting services.

AEON Mall Co., Ltd. develops, manages, and maintains large-scale shopping malls throughout Japan. The Company develops shopping malls, rent the space, manages and maintains the shopping malls.

Relo Group Inc. provides maintenance and management services of houses for expatriates and rents out monthly apartment and housings.  The Company also provides welfare services for corporations.

Leopalace21 Corp constructs, sells, leases, and manages apartments. The Company also  operates hotels and resort business, broadband communication business and elderly care business.

HEIWA REAL ESTATE CO., LTD. develops, constructs, sells, and leases real estate properties.  The Company also provides brokerage services on residential and commercial buildings as well as maintenance services.  Heiwa Real Estate provides consulting services on real estate and develops and operates resort places and facilities.

TOSEI CORPORATION develops and sells residential properties and leases office facilities in central Tokyo.  The Company also invests in real estate and manages investment trust funds such as the Argo Fund.

Ayala Land is the largest property developer in the Philippines with a track record in developing large-scale, integrated, mixed-use, and sustainable estates. It offers a balanced and complementary mix of residential developments, shopping centers, offices, hotels and resorts, construction, property management and strategic investments.

Wingtech Technology Co.,Ltd manufactures communications equipment. The Company produces mobile phones, tablets, smart devices, and other equipment. Wingtech Technology also operates real estate development, hotel management, financing, and other businesses.

Oberoi Realty LTD., is a real estate development company operating in Mumbai, focused on premium developments. The Company's main focus is residential projects but they also have a diversified portfolio of projects covering segments of the real estate market, which target the upper end of the respective income or market segment.

Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. operates in the property development, property investment and property management businesses in China.

Phoenix Mills Ltd. is engaged, directly and through its subsidiaries and investments in the business of ownership, management, and development of large-format retail-led mixed use properties. The Company's properties include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential, and hospitality properties. Phoenix Mills owns and operates High Street Phoenix Center in Mumbai.

Sunway Bhd. is a property development and construction company. The Company's other business divisions include quarrying and building materials trading and manufacturing, hospitality, leisure, and healthcare.

Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone Development Co., Ltd. operates in land development, property management, and infrastructure facilities construction within the Lujiazui Finance and Trade Zone.  The Company also undertakes building and renovation projects.

Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone (600663 CH)

Vingroup Joint Stock Company operates as a real estate development company. The Company develops apartments, malls, hotels and resorts, health care, educational, convention center, amusement parks, and entertainment properties. Vingroup serves customers worldwide.

Hongkong Land is a major listed property investment, management and development group. 

The Group owns and manages more than 850,000 sq. m. of prime office and luxury retail property in key Asian cities, principally in Hong Kong, Singapore, Beijing and Jakarta.  The Group also has a number of high quality residential, commercial, and mixed-use projects under development in cities across Greater China and Southeast Asia.  In Singapore, its subsidiary, MCL Land, is a well-established residential developer.  

Hongkong Land Holdings Limited is incorporated in Bermuda and has a standard listing on the London Stock Exchange, with secondary listings in Bermuda and Singapore.  The Group’s assets and investments are managed from Hong Kong by Hongkong Land Limited.  Hongkong Land is a member of the Jardine Matheson Group.

Prestige Estates Projects Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company builds residential projects including apartments, villas, plotted developments and integrated townships; commercial projects including corporate office buildings and technology parks; hotels and resorts; and retail buildings.

Hulic Company, Limited. operates real estate business and marketable securities investment business.  The Company also conducts environment related businesses.

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Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP)

Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP): Hulic (3003 JP)’s Partial Tender Offer

Hulic has announced a partial offer and third-party allotment to make Riso Kyoiku a consolidated subsidiary. The offer is light, but there is no...

Arun George

Riso Kyoiku (4714) Partial Tender (¥320/Sh) Followed by Third Party Dilution To Get Hulic to 51%

Hulic and Riso Kyoiku signed a new deal. Hulic which owns 20% will buy 25.5% in a Partial Offer then another 10% in a dilutive offering to get to...

Travis Lundy

Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

Nippon Express (9147 JP): A US$260 Million Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between...

Arun George

Hidden Value in Plain Sight: Teikoku's (3302) Potential Unlock

Teikoku, a disaster equipment leader, is undervalued due to excess cash and cross-holdings. Regulatory pressure and potential asset sales could...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Riso Kyoiku (4714 JP): Hulic (3003 JP)’s Partial Tender Offer

Hulic has announced a partial offer and third-party allotment to make Riso Kyoiku a consolidated subsidiary. The offer is light, but there is no...

Arun George

Riso Kyoiku (4714) Partial Tender (¥320/Sh) Followed by Third Party Dilution To Get Hulic to 51%

Hulic and Riso Kyoiku signed a new deal. Hulic which owns 20% will buy 25.5% in a Partial Offer then another 10% in a dilutive offering to get to...

Travis Lundy

Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

Nippon Express (9147 JP): A US$260 Million Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between...

Arun George

Hidden Value in Plain Sight: Teikoku's (3302) Potential Unlock

​Teikoku, a disaster equipment leader, is undervalued due to excess cash and cross-holdings. Regulatory pressure and potential asset sales could...

Mark Chadwick

Teikoku, a disaster equipment leader, is undervalued due to excess cash and cross-holdings. Regulatory pressure and potential asset sales could...