HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> (CPI) thinks that power storage in China will stay on in the near term, as supply-side structural issues are further exacerbated by cyclical demand issues. That said, the reform in power tariff will be a major policy direction in the future and will lead to a more market driven power sector in China. In our view, new/renewable energy sub-segment is likely to better place in the industry and we still prefer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK)</a>.However, we think CPI is more interesting than many power conglomerates. It has the highest proportion of clean/renewable installed capacity (47.1%) when compared with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-power-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Power (836 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/datang-international-power-generation-company-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3664:1" rel="noopener">Datang International (991 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-power-intl-inc-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Power Intl (902 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huadian-power-intl-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2506:1" rel="noopener">Huadian Power Intl (1071 HK)</a>, and this has also protected its 1H21 profit. Its plan to speed up disposal of coal-fired power plants also adds justification to its valuations. Relative to new energy plays' average of 18x PER and 2.1x P/B FY21F, CPI's 11.9x and 0.9x are clearly not expensive.

China Power International (2380 HK) (CPI) thinks that power storage in China will stay on in the near term, as supply-side structural issues are further exacerbated by cyclical demand issues. That said, the reform in power tariff will be a major policy direction in the future and will lead to a more market driven power sector in China. In our view, new/renewable energy sub-segment is likely to better place in the industry and we still prefer China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK).However, we think CPI is more interesting than many power conglomerates. It has the highest proportion of clean/renewable installed capacity (47.1%) when compared with China Resources Power (836 HK), Datang International (991 HK), Huaneng Power Intl (902 HK) and Huadian Power Intl (1071 HK), and this has also protected its 1H21 profit. Its plan to speed up disposal of coal-fired power plants also adds justification to its valuations. Relative to new energy plays' average of 18x PER and 2.1x P/B FY21F, CPI's 11.9x and 0.9x are clearly not expensive. 

China Power International (2380 HK): Industry and Company Updates, Looks Relatively Inexpensive

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Vice Premier Han Zheng stressed the safe and stable supply of electricity for this winter and next spring through better planning and coordination on October 19. The Vice Premier emphasized expanding coal output and curbing coal hoarding and speculation.

Vice Premier Han Zheng stressed the safe and stable supply of electricity for this winter and next spring through better planning and coordination on October 19. The Vice Premier emphasized expanding coal output and curbing coal hoarding and speculation.

NDRC Studies Measures to Prevent Rising Coal Prices

Premier Li Keqiang emphasised ensuring stable energy supply and security and strengthening support for green development of energy sectors at the national energy committee meeting.
Premier Li stated some regions had set overly ambitious and unrealistic targets for carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, while some industries failed to make solid energy-saving efforts in high-consuming sectors to prepare for this.

Premier Li Keqiang emphasised ensuring stable energy supply and security and strengthening support for green development of energy sectors at the national energy committee meeting.
Premier Li stated some regions had set overly ambitious and unrealistic targets for carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, while some industries failed to make solid energy-saving efforts in high-consuming sectors to prepare for this.

Premier Li Keqiang Emphasises Energy Security and Stable Energy Supply

The State Council issued guideline on promoting standardized development for high-quality growth and modernization and met to address power supply shortages.The guideline also highlighted establishing carbon peak and carbon neutral standards, accelerating the energy-saving standards, setting stricter energy consumption quotas for some key products and equipment, expanding the coverage of energy consumption quota to reduce emissions.
Renewable energy operators or power operators with renewable energy capacity likely to benefit   after the State Council relaxed the ceiling on market-based power price increase from 10% to 20%. We recommend <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangdong-elec-power-dev-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25417:1" rel="noopener">Guangdong Elec Power Dev-A (000539 CH)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-power-intl-inc-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)</a> with room to increase after other constituents of his investment theme having already experienced rapid stock rises.

The State Council issued guideline on promoting standardized development for high-quality growth and modernization and met to address power supply shortages.The guideline also highlighted establishing carbon peak and carbon neutral standards, accelerating the energy-saving standards, setting stricter energy consumption quotas for some key products and equipment, expanding the coverage of energy consumption quota to reduce emissions.
Renewable energy operators or power operators with renewable energy capacity likely to benefit   after the State Council relaxed the ceiling on market-based power price increase from 10% to 20%. We recommend Guangdong Elec Power Dev-A (000539 CH), and Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK) with room to increase after other constituents of his investment theme having already experienced rapid stock rises.

State Council Issues Supportive Measures to Boost Power Supply

CBIRC issued a circular on strengthening financial support for coal-fired thermal power, coal, iron and steel and non-ferrous metals to ensure supplies and stabilise the commodity market.
China will allow coal-fired power prices to fluctuate by up to 20% from base levels, an increase on previously limits, to prevent high energy consumption, reported by Reuters, citing a meeting of the State Council.China had previously allowed coal-fired power prices to rise by 10% and fall by 15% from base levels.Local governments set on-grid power tariffs based on coal prices, prevuois  several provinces including Hunan Inner Mongolia and Ningxia have removed the 10% fluctuation limit from the local benchmark on-grid tariffs, due to a surge in coal prices.
Despite tariff hikes not being enough to offset coal price rises, the rapid extension of tariff hikes in provinces around the country should benefit major IPPs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-power-intl-inc-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/datang-international-power-generation-company-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3664:1" rel="noopener">Datang International (991 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huadian-power-intl-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2506:1" rel="noopener">Huadian Power Intl Corp H (1071 HK)</a>

CBIRC issued a circular on strengthening financial support for coal-fired thermal power, coal, iron and steel and non-ferrous metals to ensure supplies and stabilise the commodity market.
China will allow coal-fired power prices to fluctuate by up to 20% from base levels, an increase on previously limits, to prevent high energy consumption, reported by Reuters, citing a meeting of the State Council.China had previously allowed coal-fired power prices to rise by 10% and fall by 15% from base levels.Local governments set on-grid power tariffs based on coal prices, prevuois  several provinces including Hunan Inner Mongolia and Ningxia have removed the 10% fluctuation limit from the local benchmark on-grid tariffs, due to a surge in coal prices.
Despite tariff hikes not being enough to offset coal price rises, the rapid extension of tariff hikes in provinces around the country should benefit major IPPs Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)Datang International (991 HK)Huadian Power Intl Corp H (1071 HK)

CBRIC Stresses Strengthening Financing Support for Coal, Coal-Fired Power

China

Huaneng Power International, Inc. provides electricity generation services. The Company offers electricity transmission, electricity distribution, power transformation, and other related services. Huaneng Power International provides services in China.

Huaneng Power International In (600011 CH)

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Huaneng Power International In (600011 CH)

China Power International (2380 HK): Industry and Company Updates, Looks Relatively Inexpensive

China Power Intl is interesting as a new/renewable energy play among the traditional large power conglomerates in China. It has a high 47.1%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

NDRC Studies Measures to Prevent Rising Coal Prices

Vice Premier Han Zheng highlighted expanding the floating range of coal-fired electricity prices to alleviate heavy loss-making at coal-fired IPPs...

Li Tang

Premier Li Keqiang Emphasises Energy Security and Stable Energy Supply

Premier stressed rectifying one-size-fits-all approach in shutting down energy-intensive projects.This provides further signs of policymakers...

Li Tang

State Council Issues Supportive Measures to Boost Power Supply

Renewable energy operators or power operators with renewable energy capacity likely to benefiting after the State Council relaxed the ceiling on...

Li Tang

CBRIC Stresses Strengthening Financing Support for Coal, Coal-Fired Power

Despite tariff hikes not being enough to offset coal price rises, the rapid extension of tariff hikes in provinces around the country should...

Li Tang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)