China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Hua Hong Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hua Hong reported C1Q23 top-line, IFRS EBIT, and non-IFRS net income in-line, (15.3%), and 13.3% vs. our est., and in-line, (3.4%), and 34.9% vs. cons., respectively. </li>
<li>Hua Hong reported 1Q23 utilization rate of 103%, higher than peers, which we believe is due to (1) large EV and new energy exposure, and (2) 8” price cuts. </li>
<li>Despite near-term margin deterioration, we maintain Hua Hong’s BUY and HK$ 35 TP due to auto IC exposure and localization, implying 11x FY24 PE.</li>
</ul>


Hua Hong reported C1Q23 top-line, IFRS EBIT, and non-IFRS net income in-line, (15.3%), and 13.3% vs. our est., and in-line, (3.4%), and 34.9% vs. cons., respectively. 
Hua Hong reported 1Q23 utilization rate of 103%, higher than peers, which we believe is due to (1) large EV and new energy exposure, and (2) 8” price cuts. 
Despite near-term margin deterioration, we maintain Hua Hong’s BUY and HK$ 35 TP due to auto IC exposure and localization, implying 11x FY24 PE.


[Hua Hong (1347 HK) Earnings Review]: Capacity Ramp and High LIBOR Impact Profitability

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of US$630.8 million, up 6.1% YoY and flat sequentially.</li>
<li>Gross margin was 32.1%, up 5.2 points YoY but down 6.1 points sequentially.</li>
<li>HH is playing a blinder through the downturn and likely beyond...</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of US$630.8 million, up 6.1% YoY and flat sequentially.
Gross margin was 32.1%, up 5.2 points YoY but down 6.1 points sequentially.
HH is playing a blinder through the downturn and likely beyond...


Hua Hong Semi (1347.HK) Q1'23 Revenue US$630.8 Million, Flat QoQ, +6.1% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Cnooc, Bank Of China, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Cnooc, Bank Of China, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 12th): CNOOC, BOC, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC

<ul>
<li>We expect Hua Hong to report C1Q23 top-line, IFRS operating income, and IFRS net income in-line, 14.1% and 19.1% vs. consensus, respectively. </li>
<li>Our sample of 1Q23 A-share fabless balance sheets showed that inventory days rose, which we expect will lead to a slowdown in wafer orders beginning in 2Q23.</li>
<li>Despite near-term weakness, we are positive the longer-term benefits of (1) localization, and (2) EV demand. We maintain BUY and raise TP to HKD35.</li>
</ul>


We expect Hua Hong to report C1Q23 top-line, IFRS operating income, and IFRS net income in-line, 14.1% and 19.1% vs. consensus, respectively. 
Our sample of 1Q23 A-share fabless balance sheets showed that inventory days rose, which we expect will lead to a slowdown in wafer orders beginning in 2Q23.
Despite near-term weakness, we are positive the longer-term benefits of (1) localization, and (2) EV demand. We maintain BUY and raise TP to HKD35.


[Hua Hong (1347 HK) Target Price Change]: High IGBT Inventory Signals Pause in Top-Line Growth

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We see the future, post decoupling world to have two operating systems, one surrounding US and the other surrounding China.</li>
<li>Both US and China will develop respective partners to complete their ecosystems. We will soon have a world running on two sets of standards</li>
<li>While the western world dominates the old order and the new frontiers, China is leading in the new order of energy, drug and manufacturing.</li>
</ul>


We see the future, post decoupling world to have two operating systems, one surrounding US and the other surrounding China.
Both US and China will develop respective partners to complete their ecosystems. We will soon have a world running on two sets of standards
While the western world dominates the old order and the new frontiers, China is leading in the new order of energy, drug and manufacturing.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: All Will Have a Bright Future

China

Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd is a PV glass manufacturer. The Company also markets float glass, household glass and architectural glass.

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures discrete semiconductor devices. The Company's main products are High Voltage Diode, Silicon Rectifier Diode, Silicon Bridge Rectifier, MWO High Voltage Silicon Diode and special High Voltage Silicon Diode .

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor (002129 CH)

TongFu Microelectronics Co., Ltd. manufactures integrated chips. The Company provides assembling and testing service for memory, microprocessor, micro-controller, hybrid circuit, analog circuit, and other related services throughout China.

Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd develops, researches, tests, and sells integrated circuits.

Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd (600460 CH)

Ingenic Semiconductor Company Limited develops and sells  32-bit embedded central processing unit and supporting software platforms. The Company's main product is central processing units.

Silergy Corp designs and manufactures a broad range of high performance analog integrated circuits.  The Company's products include single output step down regulators, dual output regulators, single output step by step regulators, power management ICs, step up LED backlight regulator, AC-DC LED lighting controller, DC input LED lighting drivers, LDO regulators, and protection switch

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells crystalline silicon growth devices and its control systems. The Company's main products include fully automatic monocrystalline silicon growth furnaces, polysilicon ingot furnaces, monocrystalline silicon growth furnace control systems.

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electr (300316 CH)

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd. specializes in IC testing and packaging for the semiconductor ICs, devices and components.

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. (002185 CH)

Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor components. The Company develops, produces, and distributes fingerprint identification chips, capacitive touch controller chips, and more. Shenzhen Goodix Technology also provides technology training and hardware testing services worldwide.

Changsha Jingjia Microelectronics Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures electronic components.  The Company manufactures components for graphics processing, displays, IC products, and more.

SUMCO Corporation manufactures silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry. The Company produces silicon wafers used to produce solar batteries as well as ultra-high purity quartz used to produce vessels for silicon manufacturing process. SUMCO markets its products worldwide.

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. manufactures components for the semiconductor industry. The Company designs, manufactures and services ion implantation, dry strip, thermal processing and curing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips. Axcelis Technologies sells their products to semiconductor chip manufacturers worldwide.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

Diodes Incorporated manufactures and supplies discrete, logic, and analog semiconductor devices to consumers in the electronics, computing, industrial, communications, and automotive markets. The Company's products include diodes, transistors, MOSFETs, single gate logic, LED drivers, and USB switches.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Sino-American Silicon Products Inc. supplies silicon-based products, including silicon lapped wafer, silicon diffusion wafer, silicon ingot, silicon diffused diode chip, and automobile rectifier.  The Company sells its products worldwide.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd is a Chinese power company that produces solar grade polysilicon and operates cogeneration plants and in China.

Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK)

King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuit (IC) testing services to semiconductor manufacturers.  The Company tests the logic, memory, and burn-in functions of ICs.  King Yuan also specializes in IC reeling, packaging, and wafer grinding.

Rambus Inc. designs, develops, licenses, and markets high-speed chip-to-chip interface technology to enhance the performance and cost-effectiveness of consumer electronics, computer systems, and other electronic systems.  The Company licenses semiconductor companies to manufacture and sell memory and logic ICs incorporating Rambus interface technology.

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors on 200mm wafers for specialty applications. The Company's products are used in the consumer electronic, communication, computing and industrial, and automotive industries.

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Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)

[Hua Hong (1347 HK) Earnings Review]: Capacity Ramp and High LIBOR Impact Profitability

Despite near-term margin deterioration, we maintain Hua Hong’s BUY and HK$ 35 TP due to auto IC exposure and localization, implying 11x FY24 PE.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hua Hong Semi (1347.HK) Q1'23 Revenue US$630.8 Million, Flat QoQ, +6.1% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

Q1’23 revenues of US$630.8 million, up 6.1% YoY and flat sequentially. Gross margin 32.1%, up 5.2 points YoY but down 6.1 points QoQ. HH is playing...

William Keating

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 12th): CNOOC, BOC, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy, CCB, HKEX, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Cnooc, Bank Of China, Petrochina, China Shenhua Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Hua Hong (1347 HK) Target Price Change]: High IGBT Inventory Signals Pause in Top-Line Growth

We expect Hua Hong to report C1Q23 top-line, IFRS operating income, and IFRS net income in-line, 14.1% and 19.1% vs. consensus, respectively.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: All Will Have a Bright Future

We see the future, post decoupling world to have two operating systems, one surrounding US and the other surrounding China.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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