Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.</li><li>What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.</li><li>The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.</li></ul>

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note.</li><li>We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on the index and many stocks on Thursday 22nd.</li><li>However, I think I will focus on just a few things that matter most, the four essential heavy weights and, last but not least, the long-term chart of the Hang Seng Index.</li></ul>

After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note.We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on the index and many stocks on Thursday 22nd.However, I think I will focus on just a few things that matter most, the four essential heavy weights and, last but not least, the long-term chart of the Hang Seng Index.

Hang Seng Index, Tencent, HSBC, HKEX, and Alibaba

<ul>
<li>Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.</li>
<li>The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.</li>
<li>A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. </li>
</ul>


Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.
The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.
A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. 


Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

Bond market data and technology, BondEvalue

BondEvalue

Bond market data and technology

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Bond Market Data and Technology

Credit

US equities ended slightly higher with the S&amp;P up 0.7% and Nasdaq up 1%. Sectoral gains were led by Communication Services and IT, up 1.7% and 1.2% respectively. US 10Y Treasury yields were 1bp tighter at 1.55%. European markets were mixed with the DAX and CAC up 0.1% and 0.5% while FTSE ended 0.5% lower. Brazil’s Bovespa ended 1.2% lower. In the Middle East, UAE’s ADX was up 0.7% and Saudi TASI was up 0.1% on Sunday. Asian markets opened broadly mixed – Shanghai and HSI are down 0.3% and 0.1% while STI and Nikkei were up 0.2% and 0.4% respectively. US IG and HY CDS spreads were 0.6bp and 1.5bp tighter. EU Main CDS spreads were flat and Crossover CDS spreads were 0.7bp wider. Asia ex-Japan CDS spreads tightened 1bp.

6 New Deals incl. HSBC, Temasek, Wespac; Macro; Rating Changes; Talking Heads; Top Gainers and Lo...

US markets ended the day mixed with the S&amp;P down 0.2% and Nasdaq up 0.1%. Materials and Industrials, down 1.2% and 0.7% dragged the index while Utlities, Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare, were up 0.8%, 0.3% and 0.2% providing support. HSBC’s Q2 profit topped forecasts (details below). General Motors and Alibaba will be reporting earnings later this week. The CAC, FTSE and DAX were up 1%, 0.7% and 0.2%. Saudi TASI and UAE’s ADX were up 0.8% and 0.2% respectively. Brazil’s Bovespa gained 0.6%. Asia Pacific stocks opened in the red – HSI, Nikkei, Singapore’s STI and Shanghai were down 0.8%, 0.6%, 0.4% and 0.1%. US 10Y yields dipped to 4bp to 1.19%.

Ping An, Kasikornbank, Mapletree Launch Bonds; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; ...

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

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HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Hang Seng Index, Tencent, HSBC, HKEX, and Alibaba

After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note. We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.

Untying The Gordian Knot

6 New Deals incl. HSBC, Temasek, Wespac; Macro; Rating Changes; Talking Heads; Top Gainers and Lo...

US equities ended slightly higher with the S&P up 0.7% and Nasdaq up 1%. Sectoral gains were led by Communication Services and IT, up 1.7% and...

BondEvalue

Ping An, Kasikornbank, Mapletree Launch Bonds; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; ...

US markets ended the day mixed with the S&P down 0.2% and Nasdaq up 0.1%. Materials and Industrials, down 1.2% and 0.7% dragged the index while...

BondEvalue

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