Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 24th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We estimate the total short interest to  increase by 1.4% week on week and highlight short changes in Bidu, Baba, Byd Company.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 24th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We estimate the total short interest to  increase by 1.4% week on week and highlight short changes in Bidu, Baba, Byd Company.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Bidu, Baba, Byd Company

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The bank runs in the global banking system will continue to pose downside risk to global banking stocks, including Thai banks, until the Fed and the ECB can come up with systematic solutions, and a worsening of the situation would lead to huge unrealized losses from investment in government bonds.</li><li>A temporary full-deposit guarantee is another potential way to address the banking crisis; note that the US guarantees around USD10trn out of total deposits of USD18trn, and the FDIC incurs costs of just USD100bn.</li><li>The longer the banking crisis is drawn-out, the greater the risks related to a credit crunch and the higher the chance of a global economic recession.</li></ul>

The bank runs in the global banking system will continue to pose downside risk to global banking stocks, including Thai banks, until the Fed and the ECB can come up with systematic solutions, and a worsening of the situation would lead to huge unrealized losses from investment in government bonds.A temporary full-deposit guarantee is another potential way to address the banking crisis; note that the US guarantees around USD10trn out of total deposits of USD18trn, and the FDIC incurs costs of just USD100bn.The longer the banking crisis is drawn-out, the greater the risks related to a credit crunch and the higher the chance of a global economic recession.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 17th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Gcl Tech, Link Reit, Sensetime, Trip.Com, Hsbc, Baba, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 17th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Gcl Tech, Link Reit, Sensetime, Trip.Com, Hsbc, Baba, Wuxi Apptec.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Gcl Tech, Link Reit, Sensetime, Trip.Com, Hsbc, Baba, Wuxi Apptec

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

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HSBC Holdings (HSBA LN)

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Bidu, Baba, Byd Company

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 24th and highlight short interest changes in Bidu, Baba, Byd Company.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Special Report: Bank Runs

The longer the banking crisis is drawn-out, the greater the risks related to a credit crunch and the higher the chance of a global economic recession.

Krungthai XSpring

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Gcl Tech, Link Reit, Sensetime, Trip.Com, Hsbc, Baba, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 17th and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Gcl Tech, Link...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 10th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)