Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ 150's December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.</li>
<li>Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.</li>
<li>As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I'd basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ 150's December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.
Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.
As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I'd basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 42 stocks in Korea in October 2022, among which 7 are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 42 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 42 stocks, the top 3 market cap stocks include NH Investment &amp; Securities, Sungeel Hitech, and Dongwon Systems. They could be exposed to greater selling pressures in October. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 42 stocks in Korea in October 2022, among which 7 are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.
These 42 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 42 stocks, the top 3 market cap stocks include NH Investment &amp; Securities, Sungeel Hitech, and Dongwon Systems. They could be exposed to greater selling pressures in October. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 42 Companies in Korea in October 2022

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hpsp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36004:1" rel="noopener">HPSP (403870 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungeel-hitech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36028:1" rel="noopener">Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)</a> are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rsupport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14783:1" rel="noopener">Rsupport (131370 KS)</a> and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.</li>
<li>
HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
</ul>



HPSP (403870 KS) and Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS) are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.

Rsupport (131370 KS) and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.

HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.


KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).</li>
<li>Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. </li>
<li>We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.</li>
</ul>


SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).
Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. 
We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.


South Korea

HPSP Co., Ltd operates as a manufacturing company. The Company manufactures semiconductor devices, systems and others. HPSP also provides related solution services.

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HPSP (403870 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

There could be 10 changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries

KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing in December will feature 7 regular changes and 2 special entries. This post details the screening results and the resulting...

Sanghyun Park

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 42 Companies in Korea in October 2022

We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 42 stocks in Korea in October 2022, among which 7 are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

This post investigates the Early Entry candidates and the resulting exclusion names fo the KOSDA 150 rebalancing in December.

Sanghyun Park

SOCAR IPO Book Building Results

SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).

Douglas Kim

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