Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough is clearly past.</li>
<li>Asustek expects to grow its server product revenue by 500% by 2027 and is also developing AI PCs that could generate a significant sales volume by 3Q24.</li>
<li>The latest results and comments not just make a coming PC up-cycle clear, but also imply that it could be stronger than previous cycles thanks to AI PCs.</li>
</ul>


Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough is clearly past.
Asustek expects to grow its server product revenue by 500% by 2027 and is also developing AI PCs that could generate a significant sales volume by 3Q24.
The latest results and comments not just make a coming PC up-cycle clear, but also imply that it could be stronger than previous cycles thanks to AI PCs.


PC Monitor: Asustek Preparing for AI PC Upgrade Wave, Volume Sales in 3Q24

<ul>
<li>Intel's latest results imply a potential bottoming of its business &amp; nascent turn-around; however the greater take-away is that the PC industry is heading into a major AI-driven up-cycle.</li>
<li>PC industry inventories are now "healthy" and Intel's Client Computing segment (PCs) showed the strongest QoQ revenue growth. Management is guiding for continued improvement next quarter.</li>
<li>Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide and Intel's new Meteor Lake chip could be a catalyst. Invest ahead of AI PCs having their "ChatGPT Moment".</li>
</ul>


Intel's latest results imply a potential bottoming of its business &amp; nascent turn-around; however the greater take-away is that the PC industry is heading into a major AI-driven up-cycle.
PC industry inventories are now "healthy" and Intel's Client Computing segment (PCs) showed the strongest QoQ revenue growth. Management is guiding for continued improvement next quarter.
Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide and Intel's new Meteor Lake chip could be a catalyst. Invest ahead of AI PCs having their "ChatGPT Moment".


Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key partnerships.</li>
<li>Semiconductor shorts have been squeezed after the global rally sparked by Nvidia's monster results; We released our latest Taiwan Shorts Monitor to identify short squeezes.</li>
<li>Earnings: Light this week for Taiwan, however PC industry leaders Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US) and Dell Technologies Inc (DELL US) will report.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key partnerships.
Semiconductor shorts have been squeezed after the global rally sparked by Nvidia's monster results; We released our latest Taiwan Shorts Monitor to identify short squeezes.
Earnings: Light this week for Taiwan, however PC industry leaders Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US) and Dell Technologies Inc (DELL US) will report.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply</li>
<li>Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades</li>
<li>Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell &amp; HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment</li>
</ul>


Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply
Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades
Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell &amp; HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment


PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

<ul>
<li>Qualcomm Eyes Bold, Friendly Intel Acquisition Amid Intel's Existential Crisis</li>
<li>Global Semi Sales Strength Continues In July. How Long Can It Last? </li>
<li>Asustek Soars, Uniquely Making Fresh 52-Week Highs Within PC Makers</li>
</ul>


Qualcomm Eyes Bold, Friendly Intel Acquisition Amid Intel's Existential Crisis
Global Semi Sales Strength Continues In July. How Long Can It Last? 
Asustek Soars, Uniquely Making Fresh 52-Week Highs Within PC Makers


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Qualcomm Eyes Bold Intel Acquisition; Global Semi Sales Strength Continues

United States

HP Inc. provides imaging and printing systems, computing systems, mobile devices, solutions, and services for business and home. The Company offers products which includes laser and inkjet printers, scanners, copiers and faxes, personal computers, workstations, storage solutions, and other computing and printing systems. HP sells its products worldwide.

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Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US)

PC Monitor: Asustek Preparing for AI PC Upgrade Wave, Volume Sales in 3Q24

Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide -- We recommend getting ahead of PC's having their "ChatGPT Moment".

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Qualcomm Eyes Bold Intel Acquisition; Global Semi Sales Strength Continues

Qualcomm considers acquiring struggling Intel, global semiconductor sales remain strong in July, Asustek achieves new highs among PC makers.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PC Monitor: Asustek Preparing for AI PC Upgrade Wave, Volume Sales in 3Q24

Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide -- We recommend getting ahead of PC's having their "ChatGPT Moment".

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

​Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Qualcomm Eyes Bold Intel Acquisition; Global Semi Sales Strength Continues

​Qualcomm considers acquiring struggling Intel, global semiconductor sales remain strong in July, Asustek achieves new highs among PC makers.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Qualcomm considers acquiring struggling Intel, global semiconductor sales remain strong in July, Asustek achieves new highs among PC makers.