Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The collapse of lending in India remains well in place in January where annual growth is running at an anemic 3.3%. This is the same as in December last year, and lower than in November. To us, it does not feel like India is anywhere near a post-demonetization boom in credit, as some are expecting. The reality is that companies will see more stress, economic growth will worsen, and banks will face greater NPLs. </p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>India – Credit growth (% ch YoY)</strong></p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/022/174/original/daniel%201.png?1488984550" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="22174"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: CEIC</div><p>What may be more of a surprise is that…</p>

The collapse of lending in India remains well in place in January where annual growth is running at an anemic 3.3%. This is the same as in December last year, and lower than in November. To us, it does not feel like India is anywhere near a post-demonetization boom in credit, as some are expecting. The reality is that companies will see more stress, economic growth will worsen, and banks will face greater NPLs. India – Credit growth (% ch YoY)Source: CEICWhat may be more of a surprise is that…

India's Lending Is Still Painfully Low in January

India

LIC Housing Finance Limited provides housing finance services to individuals for purchase, construction, repair and renovation of new or existing flats and houses. The Company also provides finance on existing property for business, personal needs and gives loans to professionals for purchase, construction of clinics, nursing homes, diagnostic centers, and office space throughout India.

Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd (IBHFL) is a Housing Finance Company (HFC). The company provides long-term housing loans to individuals and loans against homes to small business owners. IBHFL also provides Lease Rent Discounting (LRD) loans against leased out commercial premises.

Can Fin Homes Ltd provides housing finance.  The company offers long term housing loans to middle and lower income individuals or corporate bodies for construction and acquiring houses/flats.

Bank of India, through its subsidiaries, provides corporate, commercial, personal banking, retail, rural, and development banking.  The Group specializes its services towards corporate and medium businesses, in addition to upmarket retail customers.

Central Bank Of India is a full service commercial bank. The Bank's services include taking deposits, lending services, and investing. Central bank operates branches throughout India.

UCO Bank provides a full range of banking services throughout India. UCO Bank operates over 1,700 banking branches in India, as well as four branches in overseas locations.

GIC Housing Finance Limited supplies housing finance services in India.  The Group provides a variety of housing loans to both individuals and corporations.

IDFC First Bank Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers fixed deposits, debit cards, savings account, cash management, and other services. IDFC Bank serves its customers in India.

YES BANK Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers deposits, personal loans, e-banking, trade finance, corporate, and business banking services. YES BANK serves the food and agribusiness, life sciences, healthcare, biotechnology, telecommunications, media, information technology, and infrastructure development industries in India.

Punjab & Sind Bank is a commercial bank. The Bank offers its customers a wide range of banking products and services.

Essent Group Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries,  provides mortgage insurance and reinsurance coverage products and services on residential property loans for United States real estate.

MGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiary, provides private mortgage insurance coverage in the United States.  The Company's customers include thrifts, mortgage bankers and brokers, commercial banks, credit unions, and other lending institutions.  The Company also provides, through subsidiaries, underwriting and contract services related to home mortgage lending.

Radian Group Inc. provides financial guarantee insurance.  The Company's products and services enable homebuyers to purchase homes more quickly and with smaller down payments, protect lenders against loan default, and lower the costs of mortgage origination and servicing.  Radian also provides insurance and reinsurance to investors in corporate, municipal, and asset-backed securities.

Mr. Cooper Group Inc. provides financial services. The Company offers home loan services for single-family residences. Mr. Cooper Group serves clients in the United States.

TFS Financial Corporation is the holding company. The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and originates a variety of loans. Third Federal operates throughout Ohio and Florida.

New York Community Bancorp, Inc. is a multi-bank holding company. The Company, through its banking subsidiaries, offers a full range of traditional and non-traditional products and services, and originates multi-family, commercial real estate, and construction loans, primarily in the New York metropolitan area.

Walker & Dunlop Inc. provides commercial real estate financial services in the United States, with a primary focus on multifamily lending.  The Company originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products.

NMI Holdings Inc was created to build a private mortgage insurer delivering high quality customer service and strong investor results.  The Company intends to offer mortgage insurance on a national basis after receipt of the requisite approval from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

WSFS Financial Corporation provides financial services. The Company, through its principal subsidiary, Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB, operates a network of offices in New Castle County and Dover, Delaware, as well as Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery counties in Pennsylvania.

Provident Financial Services, Inc. operates as a holding company for The Provident Bank, which provides banking services to individual and corporate customers in northern and central New Jersey. It attracts deposits from the general public and businesses primarily in the areas surrounding its banking offices and uses those funds, together with funds generated from operations and borrowings, to originate commercial real estate loans, residential mortgage loans, commercial business loans, and consumer loans. It also invests in mortgage backed securities and other permissible investments. The company was founded on January 15, 2003 and is headquartered in Jersey City, NJ.

Provident Financial Services, Inc (PFS US)

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited provides financial assistance for housing and urban infrastructure development projects. The Company offers loans for housing projects, such as urban and rural housing, co-operative housing, community toilets, and slum upgradation. Housing and Urban Development Corporation operates in India.

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO IN)

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited

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India's Lending Is Still Painfully Low in January

The collapse of lending in India remains well in place in January where annual growth is running at an anemic 3.3%. This is the same as in December...

Daniel Tabbush