Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.
We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). </li>
<li>Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. </li>
<li>Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). 
Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. 
Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hotel Shilla is a key beneficiary of the end of the zero COVID policy in China and the end of the mask mandate in Korea. </li>
<li>In the past several weeks, there has been a major shift on the highly stringent zero COVID policies in China which should have a positive impact on Hotel Shilla. </li>
<li>In the next several quarters, we believe that there is a good chance that the company's results exceed the consensus expectations, driven by millions of tourists from China to Korea. </li>
</ul>


Hotel Shilla is a key beneficiary of the end of the zero COVID policy in China and the end of the mask mandate in Korea. 
In the past several weeks, there has been a major shift on the highly stringent zero COVID policies in China which should have a positive impact on Hotel Shilla. 
In the next several quarters, we believe that there is a good chance that the company's results exceed the consensus expectations, driven by millions of tourists from China to Korea. 


Hotel Shilla: A Key Beneficiary of End of Zero COVID Policy in China & End of Mask Mandate in Korea

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>To MID migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iljin-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Iljin Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL (180640 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1904:1" rel="noopener">OCI (010060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29693:1" rel="noopener">SOCAR (403550 KS)</a>
</li>
<li>To LARGE migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-shilla-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:107:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3867:1" rel="noopener">GS Retail (007070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cs-wind-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4883:1" rel="noopener">CS Wind (112610 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International (047050 KS)</a> </li>
<li>This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.</li>
</ul>


To MID migrants: Amorepacific Group (002790 KS), E Mart (139480 KS), Iljin Materials (020150 KS), Hanjin KAL (180640 KS), OCI (010060 KS), LX Semicon (108320 KS), and SOCAR (403550 KS)

To LARGE migrants: Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), GS Retail (007070 KS), CS Wind (112610 KS), and Posco International (047050 KS) 
This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.


KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, one of the biggest news in Asia has been whether the Chinese government may be willing to change its stance on the zero COVID policies.</li>
<li>So far, the Chinese government has not proclaimed any official statement on ending the zero COVID policies. </li>
<li>Although we do not have a crystal ball on the Chinese government's COVID policies, there are increasing probabilities of a major loosening the COVID restrictions in China next year.</li>
</ul>


In the past several days, one of the biggest news in Asia has been whether the Chinese government may be willing to change its stance on the zero COVID policies.
So far, the Chinese government has not proclaimed any official statement on ending the zero COVID policies. 
Although we do not have a crystal ball on the Chinese government's COVID policies, there are increasing probabilities of a major loosening the COVID restrictions in China next year.


China's Zero COVID Policy: Confusions Remain on Exact Reopening Timeline - Impact on Korean Stocks

South Korea

Hotel Shilla Co.,Ltd operates and manages hotels in Seoul and Jeju. The Company also operates duty free shops, bakeries, restaurants, and catering and laundry service businesses.

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Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

The review period for the March rebal of the KOSPI Size Indices ends on 28 February. We see quite a lot of potential migrations. Some stocks could...

Brian Freitas

What Is NPS Buying & Selling?

In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce).

Douglas Kim

Hotel Shilla: A Key Beneficiary of End of Zero COVID Policy in China & End of Mask Mandate in Korea

Hotel Shilla is a key beneficiary of the end of the zero COVID policy in China and the end of the mask mandate in Korea.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

This post screens migrant candidates of the KOSPI Size Index Series, scheduled for rebalancing in March, as we are one-fourth into the screening...

Sanghyun Park

China's Zero COVID Policy: Confusions Remain on Exact Reopening Timeline - Impact on Korean Stocks

As a result of news of China potentially reopening its economy with reduced COVID restrictions sometime in 2023, the major reopening plays in Korea...

Douglas Kim

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