Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

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<strong>Chartonics weekly</strong><p>Monday 19 December 2016 <em>Condensed holiday update</em></p>
<div><strong>Bullish undertone as EM's slump</strong></div>
<p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/EbbUh7IuW1a" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/EbbUh7IuW1a&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1482205039215000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFNTBGM2hbh7Tagsd2srd1mreEpzA">https://www.screencast.com/t/EbbUh7IuW1a</a> </strong>10:25 min.</p>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/922/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1482118884" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17922"></figure><div class="content-caption">Equity webcast</div>
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<div>Primary equity drivers remain USD strength and rising US treasury yields, both chart structures display further near-term upside. We remain very bullish the USD but aware that a pause will be needed near ahead of reaching DXY 107.</div>
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<strong>T-note yield and inflation</strong> - Immediate objective for the March contract lies at…</div>
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Chartonics weeklyMonday 19 December 2016 Condensed holiday update
Bullish undertone as EM's slump
To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/EbbUh7IuW1a 10:25 min.

Equity webcast

Primary equity drivers remain USD strength and rising US treasury yields, both chart structures display further near-term upside. We remain very bullish the USD but aware that a pause will be needed near ahead of reaching DXY 107.

T-note yield and inflation - Immediate objective for the March contract lies at…


<p><strong>Equity hedge bets were taken off on December 7-8 </strong>after the S&amp;P powered above 2,016/20 projection opening the way for continued strength. US sector bets are on fire (financials, transports and energy) with the former extended. Rotation into tech and healthcare recommended. Expect sector breadth to expand. Europe joining the party.</p><p>Game plan going forward is to protect any draw down via short hedges and build on long positions on dips for a bullish January and March (Feb most likely will get a correction).</p><p>Eurostoxx 50 registered a bullish breakout above the 3,100 pivot/action point, initiating a long from 3,150. Bullish triangulation supports a power move higher. Near term perform sleeper coming to life.</p><p><strong>T-note yield</strong> relief from 2.45%/124.40 turn levels short lived with resistance at 125.99. 2017 target is 2.95-3.0%.</p><p>Gold protective long not worth holding but is in a basing process.</p><p>DXY due to push higher ahead of the Fed with a sell the fact bias for a pullback/rest. We see pundits pricing in two more rate hikes rather quickly as inflation expectations ratchet higher.</p><p><strong>EEM </strong>– Short hedge at 35 covered at 36.20. Brazil and Turkey short covered at breakeven levels. Bullish S&amp;P bias is pulling up the underperformers. Bullish USD to induce increasing headwinds for EM’s. EEM 37 is the fresh fade zone.</p><p><strong>Japan</strong> – Nikkei 17,000 long. Bank long sold at 195 (+17%) with 1/3 protective hedge short. USD/JPY 102.70 long with ST projection at 115.84/ 116.50 pullback level at 111.20/110. We remain very bullish Japan to 23,000.</p><p><strong>Asia longs </strong>– Small India Nifty long from 7,752. Big H share 9,200 long. Long Catcher, Ping An, Angang Steel, Tencent (re set long near 185-182) and Anhui Conch cement. <strong>Nikkei and H shares remain top long bets</strong>.  USD long vs MYR, SGD, KRW, TWD (ZAR and TRY).</p><p><strong>Asia shorts</strong> – SHK 108 pair short. STI short from 5,870 SL at 2,940. Taiwan protective short average at 9,145. Thai SET50 925 short. Malaysia short from 1,628. Small Nifty short from 8,220 covered at 8,200 and will look to re set at 8,340.</p><p><strong>Cycles –</strong> Buying opportunities unfolding sooner than expected ahead of a bullish January. Fed hike to induce a USD spike and fade on the fact. December 26 and 29 are big cycle dates.</p>

Equity hedge bets were taken off on December 7-8 after the S&amp;P powered above 2,016/20 projection opening the way for continued strength. US sector bets are on fire (financials, transports and energy) with the former extended. Rotation into tech and healthcare recommended. Expect sector breadth to expand. Europe joining the party.Game plan going forward is to protect any draw down via short hedges and build on long positions on dips for a bullish January and March (Feb most likely will get a correction).Eurostoxx 50 registered a bullish breakout above the 3,100 pivot/action point, initiating a long from 3,150. Bullish triangulation supports a power move higher. Near term perform sleeper coming to life.T-note yield relief from 2.45%/124.40 turn levels short lived with resistance at 125.99. 2017 target is 2.95-3.0%.Gold protective long not worth holding but is in a basing process.DXY due to push higher ahead of the Fed with a sell the fact bias for a pullback/rest. We see pundits pricing in two more rate hikes rather quickly as inflation expectations ratchet higher.EEM – Short hedge at 35 covered at 36.20. Brazil and Turkey short covered at breakeven levels. Bullish S&amp;P bias is pulling up the underperformers. Bullish USD to induce increasing headwinds for EM’s. EEM 37 is the fresh fade zone.Japan – Nikkei 17,000 long. Bank long sold at 195 (+17%) with 1/3 protective hedge short. USD/JPY 102.70 long with ST projection at 115.84/ 116.50 pullback level at 111.20/110. We remain very bullish Japan to 23,000.Asia longs – Small India Nifty long from 7,752. Big H share 9,200 long. Long Catcher, Ping An, Angang Steel, Tencent (re set long near 185-182) and Anhui Conch cement. Nikkei and H shares remain top long bets.  USD long vs MYR, SGD, KRW, TWD (ZAR and TRY).Asia shorts – SHK 108 pair short. STI short from 5,870 SL at 2,940. Taiwan protective short average at 9,145. Thai SET50 925 short. Malaysia short from 1,628. Small Nifty short from 8,220 covered at 8,200 and will look to re set at 8,340.Cycles – Buying opportunities unfolding sooner than expected ahead of a bullish January. Fed hike to induce a USD spike and fade on the fact. December 26 and 29 are big cycle dates.

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

Bullish Undertone as EM's Slump

Chartonics weeklyMonday 19 December 2016 Condensed holiday update Bullish undertone as EM's slump To view click on this...

Thomas Schroeder

Bulls Expanding Rally Breadth

Equity hedge bets were taken off on December 7-8 after the S&P powered above 2,016/20 projection opening the way for continued strength. US...

Thomas Schroeder