Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 18. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interests increases for HKEx, Nongfu Spring, and Baidu. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 18. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interests increases for HKEx, Nongfu Spring, and Baidu. 


HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for HKEx, Nongfu, Baidu

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$488bn and has been falling mainly as a result of a falling market. Short interest has increased substantially from end January.</li>
<li>From 31 January to 4 March, the largest shorts have been built on Tencent, China Merchants Bank, AIA Group Ltd, Alibaba, JD.com, Meituan, Xiaomi, JD Health and Xinyi Solar.</li>
<li>Over the same period, shorts have covered on COSCO Shipping Holdings, HKEX, Longfor Properties, China Construction Bank, Ping An Insurance, Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and HSBC Holdings.</li>
</ul>


Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$488bn and has been falling mainly as a result of a falling market. Short interest has increased substantially from end January.
From 31 January to 4 March, the largest shorts have been built on Tencent, China Merchants Bank, AIA Group Ltd, Alibaba, JD.com, Meituan, Xiaomi, JD Health and Xinyi Solar.
Over the same period, shorts have covered on COSCO Shipping Holdings, HKEX, Longfor Properties, China Construction Bank, Ping An Insurance, Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and HSBC Holdings.


Hong Kong: Where Have Shorts Increased & Decreased?

China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>LME Nickel future trading will be resumed on March 16 after its epic price surge before halting; the focus will be on safe reopen as more restrictions will be applied</li>
<li>The trading suspension benefits Chinese billionaire behind Nickel short position, who has secured bank lending in past few days. The angry parties are mainly hedge fund and financial investors. </li>
<li>We remain bullish on HKEX (388 HK) with the view that China economy will likely rebound in 2022, which will drive the rebound of IPO activities and trading volume. </li>
</ul>


LME Nickel future trading will be resumed on March 16 after its epic price surge before halting; the focus will be on safe reopen as more restrictions will be applied
The trading suspension benefits Chinese billionaire behind Nickel short position, who has secured bank lending in past few days. The angry parties are mainly hedge fund and financial investors. 
We remain bullish on HKEX (388 HK) with the view that China economy will likely rebound in 2022, which will drive the rebound of IPO activities and trading volume. 


HKEx (388.HK): Aftermath of Epic Short Squeeze of Nickel Future

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Norges Bank excludes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a> from its list due to poor labor practices/human rights issues.</li>
<li>Today's share price could be a telltale sign of the near-term prospect, down when the majority are up. </li>
<li>Will the other international shareholders follow suit on dumping the shares because of the human rights abuse? Potentially yes. </li>
</ul>


Norges Bank excludes Li Ning (2331 HK) from its list due to poor labor practices/human rights issues.
Today's share price could be a telltale sign of the near-term prospect, down when the majority are up. 
Will the other international shareholders follow suit on dumping the shares because of the human rights abuse? Potentially yes. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> is expected to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> tomorrow. Nearly 820m Class A shares are now held on the Hong Kong Share Register.</li>
<li>We do not expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> to get Fast Entry to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a>, though inclusion in the HSTECH could take place in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> is not likely to get Fast Entry to the HSCI. The stock is not eligible for Southbound Stock Connect as a Secondary Listing.</li>
</ul>



NIO Inc (9866 HK) is expected to list on the HKEX (388 HK) tomorrow. Nearly 820m Class A shares are now held on the Hong Kong Share Register.
We do not expect NIO Inc (9866 HK) to get Fast Entry to the HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX, though inclusion in the HSTECH could take place in June.

NIO Inc (9866 HK) is not likely to get Fast Entry to the HSCI. The stock is not eligible for Southbound Stock Connect as a Secondary Listing.


NIO (9866 HK) Secondary Listing: HSTECH Inclusion in June Likely

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for HKEx, Nongfu, Baidu

We highlight week on week short interests increases for HKEx, Nongfu Spring, and Baidu based on the latest HK SFC Short aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong: Where Have Shorts Increased & Decreased?

From 31 Jan to 4 March, most shorted stocks are Tencent, China Merchants Bank, AIA Group, Alibaba, JD.com, Meituan, Xiaomi, JD Health and Xinyi...

Brian Freitas

HKEx (388.HK): Aftermath of Epic Short Squeeze of Nickel Future

LME nickel future trading will be resumed trading after epic short squeeze. The trading halt benefits Chinese billionaire behind nickel short...

Roger Xie

Li Ning (2331): SWF Exclusion

Not much positivity can come out of being excluded because of poor labor practice especially when it comes from a large and influential sovereign...

Henry Soediarko

NIO (9866 HK) Secondary Listing: HSTECH Inclusion in June Likely

NIO is expected to list on the HKEX tomorrow as a Secondary Listing. We do not expect any passive inflows to the stock in the short-term. HSTECH...

Brian Freitas

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