China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The bailout of Chinese billionaire's nickel short position has received overwhelm backlash over LME's credibility and China's interference on global market. Nickel future trading continued to be choppy. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> first 3-month average daily turnover is down 35% year-over-year due to pandemic outbreak in HK and lower IPO activities, but March trading activities have rebounded from February. </li>
<li>HKEx revealed New Digital Assets Marketplace "Diamond" in its corporate day in March, which will feature atomic settlement, multi-asset trading, use of Smart Contracts and cloud-based infrastructure.</li>
</ul>


The bailout of Chinese billionaire's nickel short position has received overwhelm backlash over LME's credibility and China's interference on global market. Nickel future trading continued to be choppy. 

HKEX (388 HK) first 3-month average daily turnover is down 35% year-over-year due to pandemic outbreak in HK and lower IPO activities, but March trading activities have rebounded from February. 
HKEx revealed New Digital Assets Marketplace "Diamond" in its corporate day in March, which will feature atomic settlement, multi-asset trading, use of Smart Contracts and cloud-based infrastructure.


HKEx (388.HK): Nickel Short Squeeze Saga Backlash over LME Credibility

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.</li>
<li>On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under HFCAA, which set the clock ticking for their delisting.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.</li>
</ul>


On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.
On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under HFCAA, which set the clock ticking for their delisting.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> passes the velocity test and could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Given the low trading volumes and the large assets tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a>, passive trackers will need to buy around 10 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers need to sell around 7 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>. Given implementation is two months away, sell the stock on rallies. </li>
</ul>



NIO Inc (9866 HK) passes the velocity test and could replace ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) in the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Given the low trading volumes and the large assets tracking the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX), passive trackers will need to buy around 10 days of ADV on NIO. 
Passive trackers need to sell around 7 days of ADV on ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK). Given implementation is two months away, sell the stock on rallies. 


Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hong Kong health expert downplays city’s Covid fatality rate</li><li>Shanghai offers support for importing Covid drugs and vaccines as it battles outbreak</li><li>Distressed Chinese developer Sunac sweetens proposed bond extension plan</li></ul>

Hong Kong health expert downplays city’s Covid fatality rateShanghai offers support for importing Covid drugs and vaccines as it battles outbreakDistressed Chinese developer Sunac sweetens proposed bond extension plan

CX Daily: China’s Battle to Stabilize Its Economy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> in-specie dividend settled on 25 March. That has increased the number of CCASS shares and the Hong Kong free float.</li>
<li>Given the large trading volumes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> on 25 March and 28 March, we expect most of the forced selling from the ADR allotment is done.</li>
<li>There will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> from active investors and the overhang from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> holding. Buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in June could help a bit.</li>
</ul>



JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares from the Tencent (700 HK) in-specie dividend settled on 25 March. That has increased the number of CCASS shares and the Hong Kong free float.
Given the large trading volumes in JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) on 25 March and 28 March, we expect most of the forced selling from the ADR allotment is done.
There will be selling in JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) from active investors and the overhang from the Prosus (PRX NA) holding. Buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in June could help a bit.


JD.com (9618 HK): Passive Hang Seng Buying in June

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

HKEx (388.HK): Nickel Short Squeeze Saga Backlash over LME Credibility

The bailout of Chinese billionaire's nickel short position has received overwhelm backlash over LME's credibility. We expect China economy to...

Roger Xie

China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning with CSRC Showing Signs of a Compromise

On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

NIO (9866) could replace ASM Pacific (522) in the HSTECH at the June rebal. Passive trackers will need to buy 10 days of ADV on NIO while selling 7...

Brian Freitas

CX Daily: China’s Battle to Stabilize Its Economy

Hong Kong health expert downplays city’s Covid fatality rate; Shanghai offers support for importing Covid drugs and vaccines as it battles outbreak

Caixin Global

JD.com (9618 HK): Passive Hang Seng Buying in June

JD.com stock from Tencent's in-specie div has settled. The increase in CCASS shares & free float will bring in buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers in...

Brian Freitas

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