Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.</li>
<li>Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.</li>
<li>Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.
Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.
Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

<ul>
<li>Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.</li>
<li>Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.</li>
<li>Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.</li>
</ul>


Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.
Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.
Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.


Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai's Zhengzhou problems appear to be easing; Nevertheless, the company is expanding in India and Vietnam regardless.</li>
<li>We believe the company's EV platform business and EV milestones will drive the shares in 2023E.</li>
<li>We have developed a financial model for Hon Hai and are establishing a 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 55% above current levels. This is higher than the Street.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai's Zhengzhou problems appear to be easing; Nevertheless, the company is expanding in India and Vietnam regardless.
We believe the company's EV platform business and EV milestones will drive the shares in 2023E.
We have developed a financial model for Hon Hai and are establishing a 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 55% above current levels. This is higher than the Street.


Hon Hai: EV Growth Will Come Into Focus in 2023E, Can Hit NT$155 Per Share

<ul>
<li>While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.</li>
<li>China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.</li>
<li>TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.</li>
</ul>


While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.
China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.
TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

Price Gauge
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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Apple shares have fallen most recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai Lines, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Apple shares have fallen most recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai: EV Growth Will Come Into Focus in 2023E, Can Hit NT$155 Per Share

We have developed a financial model for Hon Hai and are establishing a 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 55% above current levels. This is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Taiwan Cement, Yang Ming Marine, Wiwynn, Chna Steel

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wan Hai Lines, Hon Hai, Realtek, Kinsus, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM