Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC reduced capex guidance to the bottom of its guidance range but maintained revenue expectations and still expects substantial growth in 2024E.</li>
<li>Dell, HP, and Qualcomm comments signal an AI-Driven PC refresh cycle ahead and 2024E PC Growth. Windows 11 upgrades could be accelerated as new PC AI applications roll out.</li>
<li>Hon Hai reported that it gained market share globally in 2022, and that it has 40% global market share for servers. Hon Hai's AI servers expected to experience triple-digit growth.</li>
</ul>


TSMC reduced capex guidance to the bottom of its guidance range but maintained revenue expectations and still expects substantial growth in 2024E.
Dell, HP, and Qualcomm comments signal an AI-Driven PC refresh cycle ahead and 2024E PC Growth. Windows 11 upgrades could be accelerated as new PC AI applications roll out.
Hon Hai reported that it gained market share globally in 2022, and that it has 40% global market share for servers. Hon Hai's AI servers expected to experience triple-digit growth.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cuts Capex; Hon Hai AI Servers in Demand; ASE Winning TSMC Orders

<ul>
<li>China bans Micron chips for critical information infrastructure -- Taiwanese firms could benefit by straddling both sides of the trade tensions.</li>
<li>TSMC rallies as U.S. and Japan advance incentives for TSMC and Taiwanese firms.</li>
<li>Nvida earnings this week -- We'll see if the AI leader can keep the market excited about AI's brave new world.</li>
</ul>


China bans Micron chips for critical information infrastructure -- Taiwanese firms could benefit by straddling both sides of the trade tensions.
TSMC rallies as U.S. and Japan advance incentives for TSMC and Taiwanese firms.
Nvida earnings this week -- We'll see if the AI leader can keep the market excited about AI's brave new world.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: China Micron Restrictions; Taiwan Benefit From 'Chip Tensions'; Nvidia Earnings

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week is relatively in terms of earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.</li>
<li>Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.</li>
<li>Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.</li>
</ul>


This week is relatively in terms of earnings. Applied Materials (AMAT US) will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.
Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.
Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

<ul>
<li>Since we released our piece suggesting closing our original Long Asustek vs. Short Acer, and reversing to Long ACER vs. Short Asustek, this new trade has earned a 6.9% spread.</li>
<li>Given the latest performance between the two shares and the latest results from Asustek, we believe one can now close out Long Acer/Short Asustek... and reverse the trade again.</li>
<li>Hence we now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.</li>
</ul>


Since we released our piece suggesting closing our original Long Asustek vs. Short Acer, and reversing to Long ACER vs. Short Asustek, this new trade has earned a 6.9% spread.
Given the latest performance between the two shares and the latest results from Asustek, we believe one can now close out Long Acer/Short Asustek... and reverse the trade again.
Hence we now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.


Long Acer Vs. Short Asustek: 6.9% Performance in One Week, Can REVERSE the Trade Again

<ul>
<li>In our view, Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E ahead of expected growth in 2024E-2025E.</li>
<li>The company has maintained its 2025E 10% gross margin target and highlighted how its EV business expansion is continuing.</li>
<li>While Consumer Electronics revenue is expected to fall this year, PC Products is expected to grow given the company believes the PC market has bottomed. Stay Long Hon Hai.</li>
</ul>


In our view, Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E ahead of expected growth in 2024E-2025E.
The company has maintained its 2025E 10% gross margin target and highlighted how its EV business expansion is continuing.
While Consumer Electronics revenue is expected to fall this year, PC Products is expected to grow given the company believes the PC market has bottomed. Stay Long Hon Hai.


Hon Hai Sees Computing Products Rebound, PC Market Bottomed; EV Expanding

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cuts Capex; Hon Hai AI Servers in Demand; ASE Winning TSMC Orders

Hon Hai reported that it gained market share globally in 2022, and that it has 40% global market share for servers. Hon Hai's AI servers expected...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: China Micron Restrictions; Taiwan Benefit From 'Chip Tensions'; Nvidia Earnings

Nvida earnings this week -- We'll see if the AI leader can keep the market excited about AI's brave new world. Mediatek a potential future winnner...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers. WiWynn shares crashed post results despite...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Long Acer Vs. Short Asustek: 6.9% Performance in One Week, Can REVERSE the Trade Again

We are closing out the previous trade and now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai Sees Computing Products Rebound, PC Market Bottomed; EV Expanding

Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E... ahead of expected strong profit growth in 2024E-2025E. Computing Products will show relative...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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