Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.</li>
<li>After large creations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/market-vectors-vietnam-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:648:1" rel="noopener">Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US)</a> at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.
After large creations for Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US) at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>According to HSX, NVL and PDR are removed from the VN30 index basket; meanwhile, SSB and SHB will be replaced respectively in the next review.</li><li>Therefore, ETFs (E1VFVN30; FUEKIV30; FUESSV30; FUEMAV30) that are replicating the VN30 index will also have similar structural changes in their basket of component securities on the rebalancing date.</li><li>Specifically, we estimate that a total of 2.4mn shares of PDR and 8.7mn shares of NVL will be sold during the restructuring period, while 19.3mn shares of SHB and 11.5mn shares of SSB will be added. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

According to HSX, NVL and PDR are removed from the VN30 index basket; meanwhile, SSB and SHB will be replaced respectively in the next review.Therefore, ETFs (E1VFVN30; FUEKIV30; FUESSV30; FUEMAV30) that are replicating the VN30 index will also have similar structural changes in their basket of component securities on the rebalancing date.Specifically, we estimate that a total of 2.4mn shares of PDR and 8.7mn shares of NVL will be sold during the restructuring period, while 19.3mn shares of SHB and 11.5mn shares of SSB will be added. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.</li>
<li>We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.
In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.
We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.


MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

<ul><li>As a member of the Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group, PV Gas Company was founded in 1990, with the mission of extracting, shipping, processing, storing, and selling gas and gas products.</li><li>The company was listed on HOSE in May 2012.</li><li>PVGAS is the main supplier of dry gas to Vietnam's power facilities and fertilizer factories.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

As a member of the Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group, PV Gas Company was founded in 1990, with the mission of extracting, shipping, processing, storing, and selling gas and gas products.The company was listed on HOSE in May 2012.PVGAS is the main supplier of dry gas to Vietnam's power facilities and fertilizer factories.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market) - June 2023

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Rong Viet Securities

Rong Viet Securities

RongViet is proud to have a research team of experienced and trustworthy people whose works are at all time governed by the codes of objectivity, integrity and client's best interest.

Looking at relevant, up-to-date information from multiple perspectives with the support of intensive data and analyses, RongViet's research is effective, practical and widely used for investing purposes.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Although company directors had predicted correctly that the market would be negative at the end of the year, HPG still had a record loss due to macro policies that caused sudden stagnation in the real estate-construction sector, making steel prices and output drop rapidly.</li><li>The rather rigid inventory policy resulted in high inventory of raw materials in 2Q and 3Q causing a gross loss in 4Q.</li><li>Having economies of scale as the best advantage, HPG now has to suspend some of their blast furnaces due to sluggish demand.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Although company directors had predicted correctly that the market would be negative at the end of the year, HPG still had a record loss due to macro policies that caused sudden stagnation in the real estate-construction sector, making steel prices and output drop rapidly.The rather rigid inventory policy resulted in high inventory of raw materials in 2Q and 3Q causing a gross loss in 4Q.Having economies of scale as the best advantage, HPG now has to suspend some of their blast furnaces due to sluggish demand.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HPG ­- Domestic steel demand dictates profit recovery progress

Vietnam

Hoa Phat Group JSC is a multi-disciplinary manufacturing company. The Company manufactures a wide range of products, including steel, steel pipe, furniture, and refrigeration equipment.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN)

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and a one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive...

Brian Freitas

ETF VN30 Monitor in 3Q23

According to HSX, NVL and PDR are removed from the VN30 index basket; meanwhile, SSB and SHB will be replaced respectively in the next review.

Mirae Asset Securities

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market) - June 2023

As a member of the Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group, PV Gas Company was founded in 1990, with the mission of extracting, shipping, processing,...

Mirae Asset Securities

HPG - Domestic steel demand dictates profit recovery progress

Having economies of scale as the best advantage, HPG now has to suspend some of their blast furnaces due to sluggish demand.

Rong Viet Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and a one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive...

Brian Freitas

ETF VN30 Monitor in 3Q23

According to HSX, NVL and PDR are removed from the VN30 index basket; meanwhile, SSB and SHB will be replaced respectively in the next review.

Mirae Asset Securities

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market) - June 2023

As a member of the Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group, PV Gas Company was founded in 1990, with the mission of extracting, shipping, processing,...

Mirae Asset Securities

HPG ­- Domestic steel demand dictates profit recovery progress

Having economies of scale as the best advantage, HPG now has to suspend some of their blast furnaces due to sluggish demand.

Rong Viet Securities

HPG - Domestic steel demand dictates profit recovery progress