Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The power outage warning in Japan on March 22 highlights the precarious nature of energy security in Japan.  </li>
<li>The electricity supply issues come at a time when Japan grapples with high oil prices, Russian imports and still idled nuclear capacity. </li>
<li>The public attitude towards nuclear restarts is turning more positive. The primary beneficiaries will be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13613:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7797:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> </li>
</ul>


The power outage warning in Japan on March 22 highlights the precarious nature of energy security in Japan.  
The electricity supply issues come at a time when Japan grapples with high oil prices, Russian imports and still idled nuclear capacity. 
The public attitude towards nuclear restarts is turning more positive. The primary beneficiaries will be Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) , Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) , and Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) 


Is Japan Falling Back in Love with Nuclear Energy?

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hitachi is evacuating more than 7,000 GlobalLogic employees from Ukraine to other countries, but IT workers are mobile and these may have more work due to cyber attacks.</li>
<li>Hitachi Construction Machinery and other Hitachi Group divisions do some business in Ukraine, but we expect the impact of the crisis to be manageable and temporary.</li>
<li>Hitachi Ltd shares are down 25% since November and the P/E ratio is near the bottom of its historical range. </li>
</ul>


Hitachi is evacuating more than 7,000 GlobalLogic employees from Ukraine to other countries, but IT workers are mobile and these may have more work due to cyber attacks.
Hitachi Construction Machinery and other Hitachi Group divisions do some business in Ukraine, but we expect the impact of the crisis to be manageable and temporary.
Hitachi Ltd shares are down 25% since November and the P/E ratio is near the bottom of its historical range. 


Hitachi Ltd. (6501 JP): Assessing Exposure to Ukraine - Buy into the Sell-Off

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hitachi is, as the media fuss suggests, in the last stages of its re-formation after ridding itself of nearly two-dozen listed subs over the last decade-plus.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-transport-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2395:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Transport System (9086)</a> is the last major sub/affiliate without a new home. Hitachi owns just under 40%. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26070:1" rel="noopener">SG Holdings (9143 JP)</a> owns just under 10%. Both want to sell.</li>
<li>It is not clear HTS wants to be taken private, but there could be an interesting financial engineering solution to suit the sellers. </li>
</ul>


Hitachi is, as the media fuss suggests, in the last stages of its re-formation after ridding itself of nearly two-dozen listed subs over the last decade-plus.

Hitachi Transport System (9086) is the last major sub/affiliate without a new home. Hitachi owns just under 40%. SG Holdings (9143 JP) owns just under 10%. Both want to sell.
It is not clear HTS wants to be taken private, but there could be an interesting financial engineering solution to suit the sellers. 


Hitachi Transport System (9086) - Not a Clear Outcome But Interesting Possibilities

Hitachi Construction Machinery / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Thursday we saw news of a Hitachi sale of half its stake in HCM. Friday the stock traded down hard. Friday night saw news that underwhelmed further. </li>
<li>The deal is big, but it is basically a deal to get Hitachi out as parent. There is no Capital Alliance and there is no Strategic Alliance yet. </li>
<li>There simply is not much there, there yet. And the stock is less liquid than it looks, and that won't get better any time soon.</li>
</ul>


On Thursday we saw news of a Hitachi sale of half its stake in HCM. Friday the stock traded down hard. Friday night saw news that underwhelmed further. 
The deal is big, but it is basically a deal to get Hitachi out as parent. There is no Capital Alliance and there is no Strategic Alliance yet. 
There simply is not much there, there yet. And the stock is less liquid than it looks, and that won't get better any time soon.


Hitachi Construction Machinery Deal To Change "Parent" - There's Not Much There There

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> backs Blackstone's revised Offer of A$13.10/share in cash, from A$12.50 previously, and up from A$11.85/share initially.  </li>
<li>The endgame approaches for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> Unification trade. S&amp;P announced the S&amp;P/ASX upweight would be one-shot, as expected. Regulatory approvals are in. SARB has set BHP SJ as "domestic."</li>
<li>The Offeror slashes the Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job (JOBS US)</a> by 27.6%, however, it's not clear how the new deal terms sidestep the regulator nor justify a reduction. </li>
</ul>



Crown Resorts (CWN AU) backs Blackstone's revised Offer of A$13.10/share in cash, from A$12.50 previously, and up from A$11.85/share initially.  
The endgame approaches for the BHP (BHP AU) Unification trade. S&amp;P announced the S&amp;P/ASX upweight would be one-shot, as expected. Regulatory approvals are in. SARB has set BHP SJ as "domestic."
The Offeror slashes the Offer price for 51 Job (JOBS US) by 27.6%, however, it's not clear how the new deal terms sidestep the regulator nor justify a reduction. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP Group, Crown Resorts, 51job, Hitachi, Razer Inc

Japan

Hitachi, Ltd. manufactures communications and electronic equipment, heavy electrical and industrial machinery, and consumer electronics.  The Company's diverse product line ranges from nuclear power systems to kitchen appliances. Hitachi also operates subsidiaries in the wire and cable, metal, and chemical industries.

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Hitachi Ltd Adr (HTHIY US)

Is Japan Falling Back in Love with Nuclear Energy?

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Mark Chadwick

Hitachi Ltd. (6501 JP): Assessing Exposure to Ukraine - Buy into the Sell-Off

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Scott Foster

Hitachi Transport System (9086) - Not a Clear Outcome But Interesting Possibilities

Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP) is for sale, but may not be for sale in the way many event investors want. Hitachi wants to get rid of it "as...

Travis Lundy

Hitachi Construction Machinery Deal To Change "Parent" - There's Not Much There There

The Hitachi deal to sell a 26% stake in Hitachi Construction Machinery to Itochu and Japan Industrial Partners is deceptive. It is just a trade...

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Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP Group, Crown Resorts, 51job, Hitachi, Razer Inc

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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