Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, raised around US$260m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.</li>
</ul>


PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, raised around US$260m in its Indonesian IPO.
It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. 
In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.


Cisarua Mountain Dairy  (Cimory) IPO Trading - Appears to Be Nearly Fully Priced

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h3>About The Narrative</h3>
<p>Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. </p>
<p>The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-unilever-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13828:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16903:1" rel="noopener">Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-wellness-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4353:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN)</a> </p>
<p>We have separated the quotes to highlight<em><strong> Business Performance, Operating Environment, Commodity Inflation and Margins, Competition, Pricing, Direct to Consumer / E-commerce, Channel and GTM and Outlook.</strong></em></p>

About The Narrative
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) / Marico Ltd (MRCO IN) / Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) / Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) / Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN) 
We have separated the quotes to highlight Business Performance, Operating Environment, Commodity Inflation and Margins, Competition, Pricing, Direct to Consumer / E-commerce, Channel and GTM and Outlook.

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Staples -  Hindustan Unilever, Marico, Dabur, Britannia, Zydus Well

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.</p></div><div>
<p>The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.</p>
<p>With 6 days to go in the review period, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> as a high probability index addition. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.</p>
<p>There is a (slim) possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.</p>
<p>Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a>. If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.</p>
<p>In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>, while selling either 8.8 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> or 13 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a>.</p>
</div>

The S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.
The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.
With 6 days to go in the review period, we see Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) as a high probability index addition. Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.
There is a (slim) possibility of Nestle India (NEST IN) being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN). If Nestle India (NEST IN) is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.
In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN), while selling either 8.8 days on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) or 13 days on Nestle India (NEST IN).


Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>However, over the medium term we believe, HUVR has the right growth matrix like 1) broad based portfolio straddling across price-value matrix, 2) focus on cost savings 3) GSK-CH integration led tailwinds, 4) execution prowess vs peers and 5) strong data analytics capabilities. We maintain BUY rating</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

However, over the medium term we believe, HUVR has the right growth matrix like 1) broad based portfolio straddling across price-value matrix, 2) focus on cost savings 3) GSK-CH integration led tailwinds, 4) execution prowess vs peers and 5) strong data analytics capabilities. We maintain BUY ratingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever: Cautious Commentary On Rural Growth And Margins

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

<p>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

India

Hindustan Unilever Limited manufactures and distributes consumer products. The Company offers soap, detergent, personal care products and processed food, ice creams, cooking oils, and other related products. Hindustan Unilever serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)

Cisarua Mountain Dairy (Cimory) IPO Trading - Appears to Be Nearly Fully Priced

PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, raised around US$260m in its Indonesian IPO. In this we will talk about...

Sumeet Singh

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Staples - Hindustan Unilever, Marico, Dabur, Britannia, Zydus Well

The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Hindustan Unilever / Marico / Dabur / Britannia / Zydus Wellness

Pranav Bhavsar

Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

Near the end of the review period, we see Wipro as a high probability add. Bajaj Auto could be deleted as the lowest ranked constituent, but Nestle...

Brian Freitas

Hindustan Unilever: Cautious Commentary On Rural Growth And Margins

However, over the medium term we believe, HUVR has the right growth matrix like 1) broad based portfolio straddling across price-value matrix, 2)...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)