Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>As of Sep 21, it operated 598 stores across 136 cities spread across 30 states and union territories in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO. 
As of Sep 21, it operated 598 stores across 136 cities spread across 30 states and union territories in India.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations.


Metro Brands IPO - Don't See Any Reason to Pay a Premium

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, raised around US$260m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.</li>
</ul>


PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, raised around US$260m in its Indonesian IPO.
It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. 
In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.


Cisarua Mountain Dairy  (Cimory) IPO Trading - Appears to Be Nearly Fully Priced

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h3>About The Narrative</h3>
<p>Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. </p>
<p>The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-unilever-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13828:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16903:1" rel="noopener">Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-wellness-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4353:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN)</a> </p>
<p>We have separated the quotes to highlight<em><strong> Business Performance, Operating Environment, Commodity Inflation and Margins, Competition, Pricing, Direct to Consumer / E-commerce, Channel and GTM and Outlook.</strong></em></p>

About The Narrative
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) / Marico Ltd (MRCO IN) / Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) / Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) / Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN) 
We have separated the quotes to highlight Business Performance, Operating Environment, Commodity Inflation and Margins, Competition, Pricing, Direct to Consumer / E-commerce, Channel and GTM and Outlook.

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Staples -  Hindustan Unilever, Marico, Dabur, Britannia, Zydus Well

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.</p></div><div>
<p>The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.</p>
<p>With 6 days to go in the review period, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> as a high probability index addition. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.</p>
<p>There is a (slim) possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.</p>
<p>Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a>. If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.</p>
<p>In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>, while selling either 8.8 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> or 13 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a>.</p>
</div>

The S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.
The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.
With 6 days to go in the review period, we see Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) as a high probability index addition. Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.
There is a (slim) possibility of Nestle India (NEST IN) being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN). If Nestle India (NEST IN) is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.
In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN), while selling either 8.8 days on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) or 13 days on Nestle India (NEST IN).


Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Equity Capital Markets

<p>We continue our focus on the coverage of IPO bound start-ups and next is none other than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN)</a>. However, Nykaa stands apart from the rest since it is the one of those rare finds that have a positive profitability and this is why it looks promising in nature. Another differentiating aspect is that Nykaa operates as an omni-channel entity, having as many as 73 physical stores across the country. (However, most of the revenue is generated online).</p><p>Nykaa was founded only in 2012 and has gained a strong foothold in the beauty and personal care (BPC) space especially in the last few years. According to RedSeer, the company is the largest Specialty BPC platform in India in terms of value of products sold in F21. The company manages its BPC predominantly through inventory model, not to forget that it also has its own brands which it outsources the manufacturing. Nykaa has also started the ball rolling in the fashion territory in 2018, for which it mostly acts as a market place for its consumers and vendors.</p><p>Nykaa has a strong operational characteristics, there is hardly any doubt; however, one needs to look beyond it to get a more comprehensive view of the financials and governance. There are a few concerns on the accounting front that should not be overlooked. We also find stains on the governance, primarily related to remuneration of MD. Further, there were several small risk factors which were disclosed, that had acted as a resistance force in the past.</p>

We continue our focus on the coverage of IPO bound start-ups and next is none other than FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN). However, Nykaa stands apart from the rest since it is the one of those rare finds that have a positive profitability and this is why it looks promising in nature. Another differentiating aspect is that Nykaa operates as an omni-channel entity, having as many as 73 physical stores across the country. (However, most of the revenue is generated online).Nykaa was founded only in 2012 and has gained a strong foothold in the beauty and personal care (BPC) space especially in the last few years. According to RedSeer, the company is the largest Specialty BPC platform in India in terms of value of products sold in F21. The company manages its BPC predominantly through inventory model, not to forget that it also has its own brands which it outsources the manufacturing. Nykaa has also started the ball rolling in the fashion territory in 2018, for which it mostly acts as a market place for its consumers and vendors.Nykaa has a strong operational characteristics, there is hardly any doubt; however, one needs to look beyond it to get a more comprehensive view of the financials and governance. There are a few concerns on the accounting front that should not be overlooked. We also find stains on the governance, primarily related to remuneration of MD. Further, there were several small risk factors which were disclosed, that had acted as a resistance force in the past.

India

Hindustan Unilever Limited manufactures and distributes consumer products. The Company offers soap, detergent, personal care products and processed food, ice creams, cooking oils, and other related products. Hindustan Unilever serves customers worldwide.

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Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)

Metro Brands IPO - Don't See Any Reason to Pay a Premium

Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Cisarua Mountain Dairy (Cimory) IPO Trading - Appears to Be Nearly Fully Priced

PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, raised around US$260m in its Indonesian IPO. In this we will talk about...

Sumeet Singh

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Staples - Hindustan Unilever, Marico, Dabur, Britannia, Zydus Well

The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Hindustan Unilever / Marico / Dabur / Britannia / Zydus Wellness

Pranav Bhavsar

Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

Near the end of the review period, we see Wipro as a high probability add. Bajaj Auto could be deleted as the lowest ranked constituent, but Nestle...

Brian Freitas

Nykaa IPO: Not Perfectly Elegant

Nykaa has a strong operational characteristics, there is hardly any doubt, but concerns on the accounting front that should not be overlooked,...

Nitin Mangal

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