HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

LANTIAN Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The industry in which LANTIAN operates has basically bid farewell to the era of high-speed growth. The baby diaper products market is nearing saturation, with limited future growth potential.</li>
<li>The economy baby diaper products market is the last segment to bring alpha. However, it’s not easy for LANTIAN to break through considering strong international big names and local brands.</li>
<li>Profit margin of LANTIAN is low. If this is the characteristic of this industry, then baby diaper products isn’t a profitable business.Investors could have other options to achieve higher returns.</li>
</ul>


The industry in which LANTIAN operates has basically bid farewell to the era of high-speed growth. The baby diaper products market is nearing saturation, with limited future growth potential.
The economy baby diaper products market is the last segment to bring alpha. However, it’s not easy for LANTIAN to break through considering strong international big names and local brands.
Profit margin of LANTIAN is low. If this is the characteristic of this industry, then baby diaper products isn’t a profitable business.Investors could have other options to achieve higher returns.


Pre-IPO LANTIAN Group Holdings - The Industry Is Saturated, with Weak Profitability

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PRC regulatory approvals were satisfied on the 4th March for the Tanoto family's HK$23.50 pre-conditional Offer for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a></strong>. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0308/2024030800055.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Circular</a> has been dispatched, and the Offer is now open for acceptances.</li>
<li>With a 50% minimum acceptance condition and irrevocables of 72.624% (plus Tanoto's 7.69% direct stake), this should turn unconditional on or before the 19th March</li>
</ul>


PRC regulatory approvals were satisfied on the 4th March for the Tanoto family's HK$23.50 pre-conditional Offer for Vinda International (3331 HK). 
The Circular has been dispatched, and the Offer is now open for acceptances.
With a 50% minimum acceptance condition and irrevocables of 72.624% (plus Tanoto's 7.69% direct stake), this should turn unconditional on or before the 19th March


<ul>
<li>On the 15 December 2023, the Tanoto family <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1215/2023121500055.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">emerged</a> with a HK$23.50 pre-conditional Offer for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda (3331 HK)</a></strong>. PRC regulatory approval to one side, this Offer was a done deal.</li>
<li>Those regulatory approvals have now been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0304/2024030402230.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">satisfied</a>. The Composite Doc will be dispatched on or before the 11th March, at which time the Offer will be open for acceptances. </li>
<li>With a 50% minimum acceptance condition and irrevocables of 72.624% (plus Tanoto's 7.69% direct stake), this should turn unconditional on or before the 20th March</li>
</ul>


On the 15 December 2023, the Tanoto family emerged with a HK$23.50 pre-conditional Offer for Vinda (3331 HK). PRC regulatory approval to one side, this Offer was a done deal.
Those regulatory approvals have now been satisfied. The Composite Doc will be dispatched on or before the 11th March, at which time the Offer will be open for acceptances. 
With a 50% minimum acceptance condition and irrevocables of 72.624% (plus Tanoto's 7.69% direct stake), this should turn unconditional on or before the 20th March


Vinda (3331 HK): That's A Wrap As Pre-Cons Done

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a> has announced the pre-condition for Sukanto Tanoto’s HK$23.50 voluntary offer is satisfied. The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. </li>
<li>The offeror has received irrevocables from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essity-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28203:1" rel="noopener">Essity (ESSITYB SS)</a> and Mr Li, representing 72.62% of outstanding shares, which satisfies the 50% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>Including irrevocables, the offeror currently represents 80.31% of outstanding shares. The offeror intends to exercise compulsory acquisition rights. The tight 0.4% gross spread reflects a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Vinda International (3331 HK) has announced the pre-condition for Sukanto Tanoto’s HK$23.50 voluntary offer is satisfied. The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. 
The offeror has received irrevocables from Essity (ESSITYB SS) and Mr Li, representing 72.62% of outstanding shares, which satisfies the 50% minimum acceptance condition.
Including irrevocables, the offeror currently represents 80.31% of outstanding shares. The offeror intends to exercise compulsory acquisition rights. The tight 0.4% gross spread reflects a done deal. 


Vinda International (3331 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>At 82 index constituents currently, we expect the index committee to progress towards reaching 100 constituents. We are (highly) unlikely to reach the target this calendar year though.</li>
<li>We highlight nine stocks that have a decent chance at being added to the index over the next couple of rebalances. All companies are profitable and meet inclusion requirements.</li>
<li>The market consultation on proposed changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to more inclusions from the Information Technology sector from the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


At 82 index constituents currently, we expect the index committee to progress towards reaching 100 constituents. We are (highly) unlikely to reach the target this calendar year though.
We highlight nine stocks that have a decent chance at being added to the index over the next couple of rebalances. All companies are profitable and meet inclusion requirements.
The market consultation on proposed changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to more inclusions from the Information Technology sector from the June rebalance.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

China

Hengan International Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells personal hygiene products such as sanitary napkins and disposable baby diapers in China.  The Company's products are sold under the Anerle brand name.

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Hengan International Group (1044 HK)

Pre-IPO LANTIAN Group Holdings - The Industry Is Saturated, with Weak Profitability

The growth of industry in which LANTIAN operates is almost stagnant, with fierce competition/low profitability. LANTIAN's may soon hit a growth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Vinda (3331 HK): Offer Now Open

Trading super tight at a gross/annualised spread of 0.4%/8.1%. Not a lot to see and do here for both arbitrageurs and long-onlies. I still believe ...

David Blennerhassett

Vinda (3331 HK): That's A Wrap As Pre-Cons Done

Trading super tight at a gross/annualised spread of 0.4%/5.7%. Not a lot to see and do here for both arbitrageurs and long-onlies. I think Hengan...

David Blennerhassett

Vinda International (3331 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. Irrevocables ensure the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition. The...

Arun George

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for March

The announcement of the inclusions to the HSI at the March rebalance will be made post market close today. Most stocks are trading lower which is...

Brian Freitas

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