Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36929:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW US)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a> replaced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> last week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> stops trading this week and should be replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> CDIs in the ASX indices.</li>
<li>Another week of ETF outflows for China with the largest outflows from trackers benchmarked to the CSI 1000 Index.</li>
</ul>



Light &amp; Wonder (LNW US)/ Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU) replaced United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) last week.

Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) stops trading this week and should be replaced by Newmont Mining (NEM US) CDIs in the ASX indices.
Another week of ETF outflows for China with the largest outflows from trackers benchmarked to the CSI 1000 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, Liontown, J&T Express, JP/IN Positioning, IndusInd Bank

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 17 October.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> is expected to stop trading after the close on 3 November and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Resources (BOE AU)</a> is best placed to be the replacement.</li>
<li>There are stocks that are close on the heels of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Resources (BOE AU)</a> and will compete for a place. Two of those could be added at the December rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU) will replace United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 17 October.

Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) is expected to stop trading after the close on 3 November and Boss Resources (BOE AU) is best placed to be the replacement.
There are stocks that are close on the heels of Boss Resources (BOE AU) and will compete for a place. Two of those could be added at the December rebalance.


S&P/ASX200 Index Ad Hoc Rebalance Preview: Replacement for Invocare (IVC)

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be up to five ASX 200 changes including the intra-review changes that could potentially be triggered by M&amp;A events.</li>
<li>There are also couple of possibly large reverse funding flow scenarios involving <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2023 Rebalance.
There could be up to five ASX 200 changes including the intra-review changes that could potentially be triggered by M&amp;A events.
There are also couple of possibly large reverse funding flow scenarios involving Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) and Allkem Ltd (AKE AU).


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 23: 5 ASX 200 Changes and Other Large Potential Flow Events (NCM, AKE)

<ul>
<li>There are 4 trading days to go in the review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX indices. Announcement is on 2 September with implementation on 16 September.</li>
<li>There could be 6 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, increasing to 8 if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU)</a> continues to be halted and if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK)</a> is privatised.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month. Short interest has increased on a few potential deletes. There will be pre-positions built up.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 trading days to go in the review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX indices. Announcement is on 2 September with implementation on 16 September.
There could be 6 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), increasing to 8 if AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU) continues to be halted and if Link Administration (LNK) is privatised.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month. Short interest has increased on a few potential deletes. There will be pre-positions built up.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

<ul>
<li>With the Reference Period for the September 2022 Rebalance nearing its end, we take a final look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/firefinch-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16094:1" rel="noopener">Firefinch Ltd (FFX AU)</a> are both members of the ASX Index family and are currently suspended from trading. There could be index consequences here.</li>
<li>Based on current data, I expect 7 ADDs/DELs for the ASX 200 Index and 22 ADDs and 18 DELs for the ASX 300 Index.</li>
</ul>


With the Reference Period for the September 2022 Rebalance nearing its end, we take a final look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20.

AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU) and Firefinch Ltd (FFX AU) are both members of the ASX Index family and are currently suspended from trading. There could be index consequences here.
Based on current data, I expect 7 ADDs/DELs for the ASX 200 Index and 22 ADDs and 18 DELs for the ASX 300 Index.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

Australia

OFX Group Limited provides online international payment services. The Company offers single and recurring transfer, foreign exchange, and other related services. OFX Group serves clients worldwide.

ClearView Wealth Limited of Australia operates as a diversified financial services company that specializes in life insurance, wealth management, and financial advice solutions. The Group partners with financial advisers to help more Australians grow and protect their wealth and achieve their financial goals.

Omni Bridgeway Limited provides investment management services. The Company offers claims securitization, litigation, funding, legal recovery, trading, and other related solutions. Omni Bridgeway serves customer worldwide.

Resimac Group Ltd provides non-bank originator and mortgage management services. The Company offers home finance solutions. Resimac Group serves customers in Australia.

Kina Securities Limited provides banking and diversified financial services. The Company offers share brokerage, fund administration, investment management services, asset financing, and provision of personal and commercial loans, money market operations and corporate advice. Kina Securities operates in Papua New Guinea.

Gowing Bros. Ltd is an investment company incorporated in Australia. The objective of the Company is to generate income and long term capital appreciation. The Company invests in long term assets including Australian shares and investment grade property, with a small portion of funds to managed private equity and property development investments.

Pioneer Credit Limited is a financial services provider. The Company specializes in acquiring and servicing retail debt portfolios. Pioneer Credit serves customers in Australia.

ASF Group Limited provides the sale of real estate development projects, the provision of real estate consultancy services and the marketing of sub-licenses of the PRD Nationwide brand name in the Chinese market.

Earlypay Ltd provides commercial financing services. The Company offers credit solutions and accounts receivable financing services. Earlypay serves customers in Australia.

Yellow Brick Road Holdings Ltd. provides financial advice along with a full range of financial services.The Company's services include home loans, insurance, investment strategies, accounting and taxation, self managed superannuation fund establishment and administration, estate planning, business structuring and succession planning.

Goldis Bhd. is an investment company with private equity investments in Malaysia and China. The Company focuses on life sciences, water/wastewater treatment, information communications technology (ICT) and organic aquaculture.

Freddie Mac is a stockholder-owned corporation chartered by Congress in 1970 to create a continuous flow of funds to mortgage lenders.  Freddie purchases single-family and multi-family residential mortgages and mortgage-related securities, which it finances primarily by issuing mortgage pass through securities and debt instruments in the capital markets.

Inversiones La Construccion SA operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, primarily manages pension funds as well as invests in security, health, education, development and other businesses throughout Chile.

Haitong Unitrust International Leasing Co.,Ltd. offers financial leasing services. The Company provides industrial equipment leasing, commercial equipment leasing, medical equipment leasing, and other services. Haitong Unitrust International Leasing also provides its services to Hong Kong, Switzerland, Ireland, South Korea, Philippines, and other countries and regions.

Haitong UniTrust International Leasing (1905 HK)

Pacific Century Regional Developments Limited operates in the holding of investments and development of infrastructure and properties.

Pacific Century Regional Developments (PAC SP)

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. provides loans and security lending services for collateral.  The Company mainly offers its services to securities firms who are the member of the Tokyo, Sapporo, and Fukuoka Stock Exchanges. Japan Securities Finance also provides trust banking, real estate brokerage, information processing, transfer agent, and securities maintenance.

Tiptree Financial Inc. is a diversified holding company which conducts its operations through its operating subsidiary. The Company's primary focus is on four sectors of financial services: insurance and insurance services, specialty finance (including corporate, consumer and tax-exempt credit), asset management and real estate.

Yeahka Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a payment-based technology platform. The Company offers products for POS payment and QR code aggregation, as well as provides merchant, financial, and artificial intelligence services. Yeahka Technology serves merchants and consumers in China. 

eGuarantee, Inc. offers guarantee services for accounts and note receivables arising from business and financial service transactions. The Company analyzes the credit risk of receivables and loans. eGuarantee also provides consulting services for credit risk and credit management.

HAGL JSC is a diversified company with its primary operations being real estate development. The Company is also involved in forestry and mineral sectors as well as in rubber plantation and latex processing.

Helia Group Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides mortgage insurance to residential mortgage lenders. Helia Group serves customers in Australia.

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Helia Group (HLI AU)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, Liontown, J&T Express, JP/IN Positioning, IndusInd Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX200 Index Ad Hoc Rebalance Preview: Replacement for Invocare (IVC)

LNW replaces UMG in the ASX200 tomorrow. BOE could replace IVC at the close on 3 Nov. There could be more ad hoc changes in Nov/early Dec. That...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 23: 5 ASX 200 Changes and Other Large Potential Flow Events (NCM, AKE)

Boss Resources, Emerald Resources, Codan, Judo Capital, and Helia Group are currently the highest-ranked ASX 200 potential ADDs. I expect these...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

There are a LOT of potential changes to the S&P/ASX indices as we near the end of the review period. The potential adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

The ASX 200 ADDs have underperformed the ASX 200 DELs in the last 3 months. Over the next couple of weeks, the ADDs could outperform the DELs

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, Liontown, J&T Express, JP/IN Positioning, IndusInd Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX200 Index Ad Hoc Rebalance Preview: Replacement for Invocare (IVC)

LNW replaces UMG in the ASX200 tomorrow. BOE could replace IVC at the close on 3 Nov. There could be more ad hoc changes in Nov/early Dec. That...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 23: 5 ASX 200 Changes and Other Large Potential Flow Events (NCM, AKE)

Boss Resources, Emerald Resources, Codan, Judo Capital, and Helia Group are currently the highest-ranked ASX 200 potential ADDs. I expect these...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

There are a LOT of potential changes to the S&P/ASX indices as we near the end of the review period. The potential adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

The ASX 200 ADDs have underperformed the ASX 200 DELs in the last 3 months. Over the next couple of weeks, the ADDs could outperform the DELs

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises