European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally widened during July. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.5%; GBL, 39.1%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 6.6%; Investor B, 15%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 43.8%.</li>
<li>The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 19%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.</li>
<li>Interesting situations: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally widened during July. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.5%; GBL, 39.1%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 6.6%; Investor B, 15%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 43.8%.
The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 19%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.
Interesting situations: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: July’23 Report

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally widened during June. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47%; GBL, 40.1%; Heineken Holding, 16.1%; Industrivärden C, 7%; Investor B, 11.7%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 47.3%. </li>
<li>The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 19%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.</li>
<li>Of interest: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally widened during June. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47%; GBL, 40.1%; Heineken Holding, 16.1%; Industrivärden C, 7%; Investor B, 11.7%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 47.3%. 
The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 19%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.
Of interest: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: June’23 Report

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards </a> raised around US$117m in its India IPO in Dec 2022.</li>
<li>Sula Vineyards (SV) distributes wines under a bouquet of brands. In addition to its flagship brand “Sula,” popular brands include “RASA,” “Dindori”, “The source,” “Satori”, “Madera” &amp; “Dia”. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Sula Vineyards  raised around US$117m in its India IPO in Dec 2022.
Sula Vineyards (SV) distributes wines under a bouquet of brands. In addition to its flagship brand “Sula,” popular brands include “RASA,” “Dindori”, “The source,” “Satori”, “Madera” &amp; “Dia”. 
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Sula Vineyards IPO Lock-Up - Large Investor Could Look to Completely Exit

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
Australian tax-loss selling is a thing. Retail investors will take gains on things that run up in price, or get taken over, then look for losses.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-conch-venture-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19943:1" rel="noopener">China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd-094855ab-abec-4b71-956b-5bfc85e22fdd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:389:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH)</a> ratio is at an all-time low. The implied stub is re-testing its all-time low.</li>
<li>Historically, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon (7751 JP)</a>'s buybacks are aggressive. It may pay to observe market data to see when they are done. It may also pay to look at peer outperformance cycles. </li>
</ul>



Australian tax-loss selling is a thing. Retail investors will take gains on things that run up in price, or get taken over, then look for losses.
The China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK) / Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH) ratio is at an all-time low. The implied stub is re-testing its all-time low.
Historically, Canon (7751 JP)'s buybacks are aggressive. It may pay to observe market data to see when they are done. It may also pay to look at peer outperformance cycles. 


Last Week in Event SPACE:Tax-Loss Selling In Australia, China Conch/Anhui Conch, Canon, Rakuten

<ul>
<li>FEMSA has placed c.€3.3 billion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/heineken-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21117:1" rel="noopener">Heineken NV (HEIA NA)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/heineken-holding-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21118:1" rel="noopener">Heineken Holding NV (HEIO NA)</a> shares and tap €250 million of existing 2026 Exchangeable bonds. The placement removes a major overhang.</li>
<li>The holding structure (equivalence 1 HEIO NA ~ 1 HEIA NO) allows the Heineken family to control the second largest brewer worldwide, with just a 27.3% economic interest (post-FEMSA's placement).</li>
<li>The discount has tightened to 15.8%, still above the 10.4% average of the last ten years, and rather large considering such a simple structure.</li>
</ul>


FEMSA has placed c.€3.3 billion of Heineken NV (HEIA NA) and Heineken Holding NV (HEIO NA) shares and tap €250 million of existing 2026 Exchangeable bonds. The placement removes a major overhang.
The holding structure (equivalence 1 HEIO NA ~ 1 HEIA NO) allows the Heineken family to control the second largest brewer worldwide, with just a 27.3% economic interest (post-FEMSA's placement).
The discount has tightened to 15.8%, still above the 10.4% average of the last ten years, and rather large considering such a simple structure.


FEMSA's Exit from Heineken/Heineken Holding and Share Price Spread

Netherlands

Heineken NV produces and distributes beverages internationally. The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names.

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Heineken NV (HEIA NA)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: July’23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally widened during July. Interesting situations, in my view: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: June’23 Report

The discounts to Net Asset Value of covered holding companies in the European liquid universe have generally widened during June.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Sula Vineyards IPO Lock-Up - Large Investor Could Look to Completely Exit

Sula Vineyards raised around US$117m in its India IPO in Dec 2022. In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE:Tax-Loss Selling In Australia, China Conch/Anhui Conch, Canon, Rakuten

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Selected European HoldCos and DLC: July’23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally widened during July. Interesting situations, in my view: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: June’23 Report

The discounts to Net Asset Value of covered holding companies in the European liquid universe have generally widened during June.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Sula Vineyards IPO Lock-Up - Large Investor Could Look to Completely Exit

Sula Vineyards raised around US$117m in its India IPO in Dec 2022. In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE:Tax-Loss Selling In Australia, China Conch/Anhui Conch, Canon, Rakuten

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

FEMSA's Exit from Heineken/Heineken Holding and Share Price Spread

FEMSA has now divested its entire interest in the Heineken Group (in both HEIA and HEIO). The Heineken family has slightly increased its control in...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar