Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Topsports International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The China equity markets have continued to trade lower with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> outperforming other mainland indices as the National Team continues to pump money into ETFs tracking the index.</li>
<li>We currently estimate selling of around US$1.39bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland and in Hong Kong. There could be fewer deletions depending on the review date chosen.</li>
<li>The potential deletes have dropped a lot since the start of the calendar year with big underperformance versus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


The China equity markets have continued to trade lower with the CSI 300 Index outperforming other mainland indices as the National Team continues to pump money into ETFs tracking the index.
We currently estimate selling of around US$1.39bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland and in Hong Kong. There could be fewer deletions depending on the review date chosen.
The potential deletes have dropped a lot since the start of the calendar year with big underperformance versus the HSCEI Index, CSI 300 Index and CSI Smallcap 500 Index.


China: Passive Selling Expected Later This Month

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shiyue Daotian Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shiyue-daotian" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39796:1" rel="noopener">Shiyue Daotian (1892269D CH)</a> is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>Shiyue Daotian is a pantry staple food company in China, providing consumers with pre-packaged premium rice, whole grain, bean, and dried food products. </li>
<li>Shiyue Daotian’s largest revenue contributor is its rice products segment. However, the company experienced declining ASPs over the track record period while production and sales volume growth fell.</li>
</ul>



Shiyue Daotian (1892269D CH) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. 
Shiyue Daotian is a pantry staple food company in China, providing consumers with pre-packaged premium rice, whole grain, bean, and dried food products. 
Shiyue Daotian’s largest revenue contributor is its rice products segment. However, the company experienced declining ASPs over the track record period while production and sales volume growth fell.


Shiyue Daotian Pre-IPO - Looks Good at First Sight, but Not Great if One Digs Deeper

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Aquila Acquisition Corporation / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SPACs - remember them? US offerings in 2021 topped ~US$150bn, falling to US$13bn in 2022. Singapore joined the bandwagon in January 2022  and Hong Kong two months later.</li>
<li>That Hong Kong stock is <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aquila-acquisition-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35435:1" rel="noopener">Aquila Acquisition Corporation (7836 HK)</a></strong>, and it recently announced a merger with <strong>ZG Group</strong>, a Chinese steel trading website.</li>
<li>That's positive. Less positive is how de-SPACed shares tend to trade in the US. </li>
</ul>


SPACs - remember them? US offerings in 2021 topped ~US$150bn, falling to US$13bn in 2022. Singapore joined the bandwagon in January 2022  and Hong Kong two months later.
That Hong Kong stock is Aquila Acquisition Corporation (7836 HK), and it recently announced a merger with ZG Group, a Chinese steel trading website.
That's positive. Less positive is how de-SPACed shares tend to trade in the US. 


<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the SSE180 Index that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.</li>
<li>The impact on the stocks is small but this is not a widely tracked index, so there could still be opportunities for some high risk/reward basket trades.</li>
<li>With Northbound Stock Connect eligibility no longer drawing on the SSE180 Index constituents, the index could lose relevance over time.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the SSE180 Index that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.
The impact on the stocks is small but this is not a widely tracked index, so there could still be opportunities for some high risk/reward basket trades.
With Northbound Stock Connect eligibility no longer drawing on the SSE180 Index constituents, the index could lose relevance over time.


SSE180 Index Rebalance: Small Impact but Not Widely Tracked

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headlines­</h2><ul>
<li>In 2016, off-trade sales of bottled water increase by 8% in volume terms and 11% in current value terms, to reach 42.1 billion litres and CNY137.9 billion, respectively</li>
<li>Retail channel development drives volume and value sales growth</li>
<li>Current value sales of bottled water increase by 6% on-trade in 2016 compared with 11% off-trade</li>
<li>Shenzhen C’est Bon Food &amp; Beverage Co Ltd replaces Nongfu Spring Co Ltd and ranks as number one player in bottled water in 2016 with an off-trade value share of 9%</li>
<li>…</li>
</ul>

Headlines­
In 2016, off-trade sales of bottled water increase by 8% in volume terms and 11% in current value terms, to reach 42.1 billion litres and CNY137.9 billion, respectively
Retail channel development drives volume and value sales growth
Current value sales of bottled water increase by 6% on-trade in 2016 compared with 11% off-trade
Shenzhen C’est Bon Food &amp; Beverage Co Ltd replaces Nongfu Spring Co Ltd and ranks as number one player in bottled water in 2016 with an off-trade value share of 9%
…


China

Heilongjiang Agriculture Co., Ltd. plants, processes, and sells rice, soybean, wheat, corn, and other grain products.  The Company also produces fertilizers and sells paper products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Heilongjiang Agriculture A (600598 CH)

China: Passive Selling Expected Later This Month

We currently estimate passive selling of around US$1.39bn across 74 stocks listed in China and HK. The potential deletes have underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Shiyue Daotian Pre-IPO - Looks Good at First Sight, but Not Great if One Digs Deeper

Shiyue Daotian has opened the books for its HK IPO of up to HKD844m (US$108m). The deal is scheduled to price on October 5 and the shares will...

Ethan Aw

Aquila Acquisition: The De-SPACed Arb

The gross spread to the redemption price is 4.8%. I'd be redeeming. Shares are beyond illiquid. Unless shares were to dip here, on some volume,...

David Blennerhassett

SSE180 Index Rebalance: Small Impact but Not Widely Tracked

There are 18 changes for the SSE180 Index in June. The index is not widely tracked and there could be opportunities for long/short basket trades...

Brian Freitas

Sector Capsule: Bottled Water in China

Headlines In 2016, off-trade sales of bottled water increase by 8% in volume terms and 11% in current value terms, to reach 42.1 billion litres...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China: Passive Selling Expected Later This Month

We currently estimate passive selling of around US$1.39bn across 74 stocks listed in China and HK. The potential deletes have underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Shiyue Daotian Pre-IPO - Looks Good at First Sight, but Not Great if One Digs Deeper

Shiyue Daotian has opened the books for its HK IPO of up to HKD844m (US$108m). The deal is scheduled to price on October 5 and the shares will...

Ethan Aw

Aquila Acquisition: The De-SPACed Arb

The gross spread to the redemption price is 4.8%. I'd be redeeming. Shares are beyond illiquid. Unless shares were to dip here, on some volume,...

David Blennerhassett

SSE180 Index Rebalance: Small Impact but Not Widely Tracked

There are 18 changes for the SSE180 Index in June. The index is not widely tracked and there could be opportunities for long/short basket trades...

Brian Freitas

Sector Capsule: Bottled Water in China

Headlines­ In 2016, off-trade sales of bottled water increase by 8% in volume terms and 11% in current value terms, to reach 42.1 billion litres...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Headlines In 2016, off-trade sales of bottled water increase by 8% in volume terms and 11% in current value terms, to reach 42.1 billion litres...