Research on International Stock Ideas, Value Punks

Value Punks

Research on International Stock Ideas

Value Punks’ mission is to deliver institutional-grade research on international stock ideas in a digestible, reader-friendly format.

At Value Punks, we blend our background in traditional value-investing with an openness to embrace a constantly and rapidly evolving investment and business landscape.

Institutional-Grade Research

Equity Bottom-Up

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HDFC Bank is India’s largest private bank. The stock has been a tremendous compounder. Despite having always looked ‘expensive’, it has rewarded shareholders with a CAGR of 21.4% over the last 20 years (in USD). HDFC Bank is an option on India’s GDP growth and financialization.   
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We find that the most important factor one needs to possess to own any stock, but especially a banking business in an emerging market trading for premium to book value, is conviction. With this in mind, we’ll explain why we believe HDFC is a rock-solid banking business by deconstructing the key elements of a bank business model. 
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We acknowledge that a bank can be a bit of a black box, which is why it’s important for investors to have confidence in not only a bank’s business, but also its culture and management. HDFC Bank has a strong track record of navigating economic cycles through prudent risk management. 
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HDFC Bank is India’s largest private bank. The stock has been a tremendous compounder. Despite having always looked ‘expensive’, it has rewarded shareholders with a CAGR of 21.4% over the last 20 years (in USD). HDFC Bank is an option on India’s GDP growth and financialization.   


We find that the most important factor one needs to possess to own any stock, but especially a banking business in an emerging market trading for premium to book value, is conviction. With this in mind, we’ll explain why we believe HDFC is a rock-solid banking business by deconstructing the key elements of a bank business model. 




We acknowledge that a bank can be a bit of a black box, which is why it’s important for investors to have confidence in not only a bank’s business, but also its culture and management. HDFC Bank has a strong track record of navigating economic cycles through prudent risk management. 



Actionable Insights, Assured Alpha, ANTYA Investments

ANTYA Investments

Actionable Insights, Assured Alpha

Investing That Empowers You

ANTYA Investments Inc., regulated by the Ontario Securities Commission, is registered to provide wealth management services in Canada. ANTYA manages institutional, and high net-worth client portfolios on a discretionary basis. Our investment philosophy embraces a Core-Satellite approach.  The core of the portfolio is chosen from a group of fifteen asset classes. A few stock specific asymmetrical investment opportunities comprise the satellite segment. ANTYA invests only in global, large capitalization, and investment grade companies.  

Macroeconomics

Since the publication of our January 2018 report, the  spread between one-year Indian G-SEC and the U.S. Treasury has declined approximately 50bps. After accounting for currency depreciation and transaction costs, a U.S.$ investor generated zero return in the Indian debt market during the first four months of the current year.  We estimate that prospectively foreign investors in Indian debt markets ....

Since the publication of our January 2018 report, the  spread between one-year Indian G-SEC and the U.S. Treasury has declined approximately 50bps. After accounting for currency depreciation and transaction costs, a U.S.$ investor generated zero return in the Indian debt market during the first four months of the current year.  We estimate that prospectively foreign investors in Indian debt markets ....

India: The Indian Rupee – Next Stop INR 70/USD, G-SEC 10-Year Yield – 8%

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Reserve Bank of India upheld the status-quo by maintaining the liquidity adjustment facility rate at 6%. However, the vote was not unanimous, with one member on the committee voting for an increase to 6.25%. The tone of the monetary policy statement is cautious, and given tightening global credit conditions, if rates stay put the INR will depreciate putting additional pressure on already heightened inflation expectations. If rates rise it could dampen economic growth. Given that the central bank's primary job is inflation targeting first and the rest later, we advise erring on the side of caution.

The Reserve Bank of India upheld the status-quo by maintaining the liquidity adjustment facility rate at 6%. However, the vote was not unanimous, with one member on the committee voting for an increase to 6.25%. The tone of the monetary policy statement is cautious, and given tightening global credit conditions, if rates stay put the INR will depreciate putting additional pressure on already heightened inflation expectations. If rates rise it could dampen economic growth. Given that the central bank's primary job is inflation targeting first and the rest later, we advise erring on the side of caution.

The Reserve Bank of India–Between a Rock and a Hard Place, Higher Yields & Higher NPAs Forthcoming?

India

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

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HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US)

Deep Dive: HDFC Bank (HDB US)

We are kicking off with our first deep dive post this year on HDFC Bank - India’s largest private bank. In this post, we provide a contextual...

Value Punks

India: The Indian Rupee – Next Stop INR 70/USD, G-SEC 10-Year Yield – 8%

Since the publication of our January 2018 report, the spread between one-year Indian G-SEC and the U.S. Treasury has declined approximately 50bps....

ANTYA Investments

The Reserve Bank of India–Between a Rock and a Hard Place, Higher Yields & Higher NPAs Forthcoming?

The Reserve Bank of India upheld the status-quo by maintaining the liquidity adjustment facility rate at 6%. However, the vote was not unanimous,...

ANTYA Investments

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Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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