Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Foreign shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has dropped to 59% and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:559:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US)</a> premium to the local line has dropped to 7%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has underperformed its peers and the local indices on expectations of lower NIMs and higher NPAs.</li>
<li>There will be passive buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> in December and March. Further passive buying will require foreign room to increase above 25% which will first require foreign investor selling.</li>
</ul>


Foreign shareholding in HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has dropped to 59% and the HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US) premium to the local line has dropped to 7%.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has underperformed its peers and the local indices on expectations of lower NIMs and higher NPAs.
There will be passive buying in HDFC Bank in December and March. Further passive buying will require foreign room to increase above 25% which will first require foreign investor selling.


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Increasing Foreign Room & Decreasing ADR Premium

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

IDFC First Bank Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN)</a> is looking to raise up to INR30bn (US$361m) via a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP). </li>
<li>The deal is a relatively small one to digest at 6.3 days of three month ADV and 4.9% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN) is looking to raise up to INR30bn (US$361m) via a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP). 
The deal is a relatively small one to digest at 6.3 days of three month ADV and 4.9% dilution.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


IDFC First Bank QIP - Well Flagged but Valuations Appear Lofty

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/r-r-kabel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39810:1" rel="noopener">R R Kabel (2333180Z IN)</a> raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th Sep 2023.</li>
<li>R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th Sep 2023.
R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.


R R Kabel IPO Trading - Average Subscription Rates but Strong Insti Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/r-r-kabel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39810:1" rel="noopener">R R Kabel (2333180Z IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$238m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$238m in its India IPO.
R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


R R Kabel IPO - Peer Comp & Thoughts on Valuation - Fifth in Market Share but First in Sales Growth

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, things are getting busy again with multiple deals live across the region, whic his a refreshing change from the slow start in the first half.</li>
<li>There were only a few placement this week, but what the lacked in volume they made up for in size. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, things are getting busy again with multiple deals live across the region, whic his a refreshing change from the slow start in the first half.
There were only a few placement this week, but what the lacked in volume they made up for in size. 


ECM Weekly (10th Sep 2023) - ARM, VNG, Tuhu, Integral, Doosan, Orora, JFE, RR Kabel, Samhi Hotel

India

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

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HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US)

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Increasing Foreign Room & Decreasing ADR Premium

Foreign investors have sold HDFCB post merger leading to foreign room crossing 20%. The ADR premium has dropped to 7% and could drop further. There...

Brian Freitas

IDFC First Bank QIP - Well Flagged but Valuations Appear Lofty

IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN) is looking to raise up to INR30bn (US$361m) via a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP). In this note, we...

Ethan Aw

R R Kabel IPO Trading - Average Subscription Rates but Strong Insti Demand

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th...

Ethan Aw

ECM Weekly (10th Sep 2023) - ARM, VNG, Tuhu, Integral, Doosan, Orora, JFE, RR Kabel, Samhi Hotel

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Increasing Foreign Room & Decreasing ADR Premium

Foreign investors have sold HDFCB post merger leading to foreign room crossing 20%. The ADR premium has dropped to 7% and could drop further. There...

Brian Freitas

IDFC First Bank QIP - Well Flagged but Valuations Appear Lofty

IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN) is looking to raise up to INR30bn (US$361m) via a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP). In this note, we...

Ethan Aw

R R Kabel IPO Trading - Average Subscription Rates but Strong Insti Demand

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th...

Ethan Aw

R R Kabel IPO - Peer Comp & Thoughts on Valuation - Fifth in Market Share but First in Sales Growth

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$238m in its India IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our...

Ethan Aw

ECM Weekly (10th Sep 2023) - ARM, VNG, Tuhu, Integral, Doosan, Orora, JFE, RR Kabel, Samhi Hotel

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh