Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As highlighted in our prior notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has been able to maintain its ROA and ROE despite NIM compression post merger.</li>
<li>As the excess liquidity (related to the merger) recedes over the next 3-4 quarters, ROA and ROE should further normalize.</li>
<li>HDFCB has been able to clock 5%ish QoQ growth across deposits and loans, allaying growth concerns on a larger base post merger.</li>
</ul>


As highlighted in our prior notes, HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has been able to maintain its ROA and ROE despite NIM compression post merger.
As the excess liquidity (related to the merger) recedes over the next 3-4 quarters, ROA and ROE should further normalize.
HDFCB has been able to clock 5%ish QoQ growth across deposits and loans, allaying growth concerns on a larger base post merger.


HDFC Bank: Steady ROA Despite NIM Compression Post Merger

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.</li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.</li>
<li>We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.</li>
</ul>


Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.
We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.


[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Honasa Consumer  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honasa-consumer" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36117:1" rel="noopener">Honasa Consumer</a> is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Honasa Consumer is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and valuations.


Honasa Consumer IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honasa-consumer" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36117:1" rel="noopener">Honasa Consumer </a>(HC) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and valuations.


Honasa Consumer IPO - RHP Updates - Sales Strong, Slight Margin Improvement

India

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

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HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)

HDFC Bank: Steady ROA Despite NIM Compression Post Merger

HDFC Bank's growth and profitability trajectory remains intact despite the larger base post merger. At the current valuation, an investment in HDFC...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

Honasa Consumer IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

Honasa Consumer, a beauty and personal care company, is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Honasa Consumer IPO - RHP Updates - Sales Strong, Slight Margin Improvement

Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about updates from its recent filings.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HDFC Bank: Steady ROA Despite NIM Compression Post Merger

HDFC Bank's growth and profitability trajectory remains intact despite the larger base post merger. At the current valuation, an investment in HDFC...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

​Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

Honasa Consumer IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

Honasa Consumer, a beauty and personal care company, is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Honasa Consumer IPO - RHP Updates - Sales Strong, Slight Margin Improvement

Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about updates from its recent filings.

Sumeet Singh

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...