Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 19 February, KKR sold 2 million shares (4.49%) stake in HD Hyundai Marine Solution at 147,500 won (9.3% discount to the previous day's closing price), representing 295 billion won.</li>
<li>Therefore, we would argue that these major shipbuilding shares in Korea (such as HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and Hanwha Ocean) could face more difficult headwinds in the coming months. </li>
<li>KKR's timing of its block deal sale of HD Hyundai Marine Solution also reflects its attempt to partially sell its shares while the stock price is still at lofty levels. </li>
</ul>


On 19 February, KKR sold 2 million shares (4.49%) stake in HD Hyundai Marine Solution at 147,500 won (9.3% discount to the previous day's closing price), representing 295 billion won.
Therefore, we would argue that these major shipbuilding shares in Korea (such as HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and Hanwha Ocean) could face more difficult headwinds in the coming months. 
KKR's timing of its block deal sale of HD Hyundai Marine Solution also reflects its attempt to partially sell its shares while the stock price is still at lofty levels. 


Recent Block Deal Sale on HD Hyundai Marine Solution and Headwinds on Korean Shipbuilding Sector

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a> is looking to raise around US$160m via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> .</li>
<li>KKR had come out of its IPO linked lockup in Nov 2024 and had earlier tried to launch a deal in Dec 2024. Hence, the selldown is very well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



KKR &amp; Co (KKR US) is looking to raise around US$160m via selling some of its stake in HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) .
KKR had come out of its IPO linked lockup in Nov 2024 and had earlier tried to launch a deal in Dec 2024. Hence, the selldown is very well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


HD Hyundai Marine Placement - Very Well Flagged but Overhang Remains

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-cns-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35945:1" rel="noopener">LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS)</a> listing could increase that number.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.</li>
</ul>


Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> was listed in Korea on 9th May 2024 after raising US$540m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 7th Nov 2024.</li>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) was listed in Korea on 9th May 2024 after raising US$540m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 7th Nov 2024.
HD Hyundai Marine Solution is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


HD Hyundai Marine US$1.18bn Lockup Expiry - KKR Might Be Tempted to Book Gains

<ul>
<li>We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 56 stocks in Korea in November 2024, among which six are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 56 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in November and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in November are HD Hyundai Marine Solution, Asicland, and Daemyung Energy. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 56 stocks in Korea in November 2024, among which six are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.
These 56 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in November and could underperform relative to the market. 
The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in November are HD Hyundai Marine Solution, Asicland, and Daemyung Energy. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 56 Companies in Korea in November 2024

South Korea

HD Hyundai Marine Solution Co., Ltd. operates as a engineering service company. The Company provides maintenance and other related services. HD Hyundai Marine Solution also offers ecological friendly solution development, smart solution utilizing information and communications technology, and power plant services.

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HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)

Recent Block Deal Sale on HD Hyundai Marine Solution and Headwinds on Korean Shipbuilding Sector

KKR's timing of its block deal sale of HD Hyundai Marine Solution reflects its attempt to partially sell its shares while the stock price is still...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine Placement - Very Well Flagged but Overhang Remains

KKR & Co (KKR US) is looking to raise around US$160m via selling some of its stake in HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) . In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

There could be 6 changes for the KOSPI200 in June. The LG CNS listing tomorrow could increase that number. The forecast adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

HD Hyundai Marine US$1.18bn Lockup Expiry - KKR Might Be Tempted to Book Gains

KKR is selling around 4% of HD Hyundai Marine's stock to raise US$160m. The selldown comes right after the PE comes out of its six-month IPO...

Clarence Chu

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 56 Companies in Korea in November 2024

We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 56 stocks in Korea in November 2024, among which six are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

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