Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The stocks we need to pay attention to are Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industries.</li>
<li>HHI's 4.54% lockup release should cause short-term volatility in the price. We need to consider a setup that builds up a short position right after the KOSPI 200 effective date.</li>
<li>Myoung Shin Industrial's KOSPI 200 passive flow effect will be less than initially expected. Then, we need to look at the timing of entering the short position after December 10th.</li>
</ul>


The stocks we need to pay attention to are Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industries.
HHI's 4.54% lockup release should cause short-term volatility in the price. We need to consider a setup that builds up a short position right after the KOSPI 200 effective date.
Myoung Shin Industrial's KOSPI 200 passive flow effect will be less than initially expected. Then, we need to look at the timing of entering the short position after December 10th.


KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Hyundai Heavy Industries & Myoung Shin Industrial

Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This post measures how far the rebalancing trading of passive funds is progressing at this point. This can be essential data for setting up positions close to the effective date.</li>
<li>For this purpose, each stock's net purchase data of Pension and Insurance were collected from November 25 to today (30th).</li>
<li>As we move closer to the effective date, we need to consider selecting those with the relatively slow progress of rebalancing trading among the regular rebalancing stocks.</li>
</ul>


This post measures how far the rebalancing trading of passive funds is progressing at this point. This can be essential data for setting up positions close to the effective date.
For this purpose, each stock's net purchase data of Pension and Insurance were collected from November 25 to today (30th).
As we move closer to the effective date, we need to consider selecting those with the relatively slow progress of rebalancing trading among the regular rebalancing stocks.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Trading Progress Checkup

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 rebalancing results are out - <strong>7 Additions: 4 (regular) + 2 (Fast Entry) + 1 (split) &amp; 7 Deletions: 6 (regular) + 1 (Fast Entry) </strong>
</li>
<li>The passive impact of all additions is pretty significant. In particular, <strong>Meritiz, SL, and Kakao Pay</strong> are relatively larger.</li>
<li>For the deletes, it is worth considering approaching these stocks as <strong>an equal-weighted basket</strong>. Since their share prices have not been significantly corrected recently.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 rebalancing results are out - 7 Additions: 4 (regular) + 2 (Fast Entry) + 1 (split) &amp; 7 Deletions: 6 (regular) + 1 (Fast Entry) 

The passive impact of all additions is pretty significant. In particular, Meritiz, SL, and Kakao Pay are relatively larger.
For the deletes, it is worth considering approaching these stocks as an equal-weighted basket. Since their share prices have not been significantly corrected recently.


7 Adds & 7 Deletes in KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Passive Impact & Trade Setups

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>There will be 6 additions and 7 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance that will be implemented on 9 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-heavy-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> are Fast Entry inclusions to the index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innocean-worldwide-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26925:1" rel="noopener">Innocean Worldwide (214320 KS)</a> is a deletion on liquidity.</li>
<li>Depending on the float used by KRX, there could be a sharp move higher on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> as passive trackers could buy up to 15% of real float.</li>
</ul>


There will be 6 additions and 7 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance that will be implemented on 9 December.

Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS) and Kakao Pay (377300 KS) are Fast Entry inclusions to the index, while Innocean Worldwide (214320 KS) is a deletion on liquidity.
Depending on the float used by KRX, there could be a sharp move higher on Kakao Pay (377300 KS) as passive trackers could buy up to 15% of real float.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Mostly Expected, Couple of Surprises

<h2>Rebalancing results</h2><p>The review period for the KOSPI 200 December rebalancing ended on October 29. Below are the results of applying the screening criteria based on the average daily market cap of the review period (May 3 to October 29).</p><section class="figure"><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/758/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-04+at+7.22.44+PM.png?1636068186" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239758"></figure></section><ul>
<li><strong>As a result of regular rebalancing, we can see four adds and four deletes.</strong></li>
<li><strong>In addition, Hyundai Heavy Industries and Kakao Pay are almost 100% likely to join the KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry. The joining date of both will be December 10, the same date as the regular rebalancing.</strong></li>
<li><strong>The stocks that will leave the KOSPI 200 for HHI and Kakao Pay will be Nexen Tire and Lotte Himart (the stocks with the lowest average daily market cap in the previous review period).</strong></li>
</ul>
<h2>Passive impact</h2>
<p>The following is a passive impact assuming KOSPI 200 tracking funds at ₩80T, including both local pensions and variable insurance index funds in addition to ETFs/index funds.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>Compared to the absolute size of the passive impact, Meritz Financial Group (add) and Nexen Tire (delete) are likely to face relatively large flow effects.</strong></p></div>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/760/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-04+at+7.29.44+PM.png?1636068621" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239760"></figure></section><p>Below is a passive impact that we can expect if only ₩20T of funds from local ETFs/index funds are applied. This can be seen as a size that will occur on the implementation date (at the close on December 9).</p>
<section class="figure"><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/764/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-04+at+7.36.10+PM.png?1636068984" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239764"></figure></section></section></section>

Rebalancing resultsThe review period for the KOSPI 200 December rebalancing ended on October 29. Below are the results of applying the screening criteria based on the average daily market cap of the review period (May 3 to October 29).
As a result of regular rebalancing, we can see four adds and four deletes.
In addition, Hyundai Heavy Industries and Kakao Pay are almost 100% likely to join the KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry. The joining date of both will be December 10, the same date as the regular rebalancing.
The stocks that will leave the KOSPI 200 for HHI and Kakao Pay will be Nexen Tire and Lotte Himart (the stocks with the lowest average daily market cap in the previous review period).

Passive impact
The following is a passive impact assuming KOSPI 200 tracking funds at ₩80T, including both local pensions and variable insurance index funds in addition to ETFs/index funds.
Compared to the absolute size of the passive impact, Meritz Financial Group (add) and Nexen Tire (delete) are likely to face relatively large flow effects.
Below is a passive impact that we can expect if only ₩20T of funds from local ETFs/index funds are applied. This can be seen as a size that will occur on the implementation date (at the close on December 9).


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Update After the Review Period Ended

South Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding company. The Company provides naval shipbuilding, industrial shipbuilding, crude oil tanker, bulk carrier, container carrier, and other related services. HD Hyundai Heavy Industries also offers offshore and engineering, engine and machinery, offshore, industrial, and marine plant services.

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)

KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Hyundai Heavy Industries & Myoung Shin Industrial

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KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Trading Progress Checkup

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7 Adds & 7 Deletes in KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Passive Impact & Trade Setups

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KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Mostly Expected, Couple of Surprises

There are 6 adds and 7 deletes for the KOSPI200 at the Dec rebalance. Most of the changes were expected, but there are a couple of surprises. Kakao...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Update After the Review Period Ended

This post is the latest update of the KOSPI 200 December rebalancing after the 6-month review period ended: rebalancing results, passive impact,...

Sanghyun Park

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