Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We'd better pay attention to trading for price gain by building a position 2-3 weeks towards ex-dividend and getting out of it before ex-dividend, which often provides higher returns.</li>
<li>For this, we should focus on high dividend yield stocks, which also feature a high borrow rate, but on a decreasing trend.</li>
<li>They are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-tnc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27749:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung TNC (298020)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24075:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai (267250)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnk-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:386:1" rel="noopener">BNK Financial (138930)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woori-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27995:1" rel="noopener">Woori Financial (316140)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dl-e-c-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31375:1" rel="noopener">DL E&amp;C (375500)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:718:1" rel="noopener">KB Financial (105560 KS)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdc-hyundai-development-co-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27397:1" rel="noopener">HDC Hyundai Development (294870)</a></strong>.        </li>
</ul>


We'd better pay attention to trading for price gain by building a position 2-3 weeks towards ex-dividend and getting out of it before ex-dividend, which often provides higher returns.
For this, we should focus on high dividend yield stocks, which also feature a high borrow rate, but on a decreasing trend.
They are Hyosung TNC (298020), HD Hyundai (267250), BNK Financial (138930), Woori Financial (316140), DL E&amp;C (375500), LX Semicon (108320), KB Financial (105560 KS), and HDC Hyundai Development (294870).        


Yearend Dividend Play on Korean Stocks with High Yield/Borrow Rate

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Oilbank Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Oilbank is getting ready to complete its IPO as early as June 2022, which would make it one of the largest IPOs in Korea this year.</li>
<li>Local media have mentioned that the value of Hyundai Oilbank could be as high as 10 trillion won post IPO. </li>
<li>Our NAV analysis suggests a base case valuation of 69,231 won per share for HD Hyundai (formerly Hyundai Heavy Industries Holdings), representing a 21% upside from current levels. </li>
</ul>


Hyundai Oilbank is getting ready to complete its IPO as early as June 2022, which would make it one of the largest IPOs in Korea this year.
Local media have mentioned that the value of Hyundai Oilbank could be as high as 10 trillion won post IPO. 
Our NAV analysis suggests a base case valuation of 69,231 won per share for HD Hyundai (formerly Hyundai Heavy Industries Holdings), representing a 21% upside from current levels. 


Hyundai Oilbank: Getting Ready for an IPO as Early as June 2022

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) was listed on Korea Exchange on 17th September, 2021. Its six month IPO lock-up will expire on 17th March, 2022.</li>
<li>Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) is a South Korean shipbuilder. The company is majority owned by Korea Shipbuilding &amp; Offshore Engineering (009540 KS) after the latter’s spin-off in 2019.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry, along with recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) was listed on Korea Exchange on 17th September, 2021. Its six month IPO lock-up will expire on 17th March, 2022.
Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) is a South Korean shipbuilder. The company is majority owned by Korea Shipbuilding &amp; Offshore Engineering (009540 KS) after the latter’s spin-off in 2019.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry, along with recent updates.


Hyundai Heavy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Insti Lock-Ups, Parent’s Shares Out of Lock-Up as Well

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Event-Driven

<p>Hyundai Heavy Industries' 15-trading day review period ended last Thursday, and the KRX officially announced that it would add Hyundai Heavy to the following KRX indexes. </p><div class="content-highlight"><ul>
<li>KRX 100 (equal-weighted):  Studio Dragon (25345) will be deleted.</li>
<li>KRX Sector (Machinery &amp; Equipment). No delete</li>
<li>The effective date for both indexes is December 10.</li>
</ul></div><p>As for KOSPI 200 Fast Entry, KRX said that Hyundai Heavy Industries' KOSPI 200 Fast Entry is currently under review. Its decision will be included in the notice of the December regular rebalancing results.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/235/523/original/2.png?1634401666" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="235523"></figure></section><p>Below is the average daily market cap of the KOSPI large-cap ordinary stocks during the 15-trading day review period from September 17 to October 14. Hyundai Heavy Industries ranks in 42nd place, making it eligible to join KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>The rule is straightforward. If Hyundai Heavy stays within the top 50 by the average daily market cap among the KOSPI ordinary stocks for 15 trading days from listing, it will join KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry. So, its Fast Entry should be seen as a done deal.</strong></p></div><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/235/524/original/1.png?1634402056" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="235524"></figure></section>

Hyundai Heavy Industries' 15-trading day review period ended last Thursday, and the KRX officially announced that it would add Hyundai Heavy to the following KRX indexes. 
KRX 100 (equal-weighted):  Studio Dragon (25345) will be deleted.
KRX Sector (Machinery &amp; Equipment). No delete
The effective date for both indexes is December 10.
As for KOSPI 200 Fast Entry, KRX said that Hyundai Heavy Industries' KOSPI 200 Fast Entry is currently under review. Its decision will be included in the notice of the December regular rebalancing results.Below is the average daily market cap of the KOSPI large-cap ordinary stocks during the 15-trading day review period from September 17 to October 14. Hyundai Heavy Industries ranks in 42nd place, making it eligible to join KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry.The rule is straightforward. If Hyundai Heavy stays within the top 50 by the average daily market cap among the KOSPI ordinary stocks for 15 trading days from listing, it will join KOSPI 200 through Fast Entry. So, its Fast Entry should be seen as a done deal.

KRX Made It Clear that Hyundai Heavy KOSPI 200 Fast Entry Inclusion Would Be December 10

<p>Hyundai Heavy Industries is up 14% on the previous trading day and today. Over the past five days, the share price has risen close to 19%.</p>
<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/232/778/original/2.png?1632968483" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="232778"></figure>
</section>
<div class="content-caption">(Source: Google Finance)</div>
<p>It seems that the leading cause is a mixture of passive trading for KOSPI 200 inclusion and also the trading aimed at this expectation.</p>
<p>In fact, among the top net buying stocks by local pension funds (National Pension Service accounts for about 80%) over the past month, Hyundai Heavy Industries ranks second only after Krafton. Local pension funds have recorded more than 150 billion won in net purchases in the past six trading days since Hyundai Heavy Industries went public.</p>
<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/232/779/original/1.png?1632968640" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="232779"></figure>
</section>
<div class="content-caption">(Source: KRX)</div>
<p>The market seems to be interpreting the purchase of Hyundai Heavy Industries by local pension funds as a preemptive response to the KOSPI 200 inclusion. Hyundai Heavy Industries' current market cap is ₩10.25T, ranking 41st among KOSPI common stocks. The KOSPI 200 Fast Entry is almost certain given the difference in market cap of about ₩2T from the 50th place.</p>

Hyundai Heavy Industries is up 14% on the previous trading day and today. Over the past five days, the share price has risen close to 19%.



(Source: Google Finance)
It seems that the leading cause is a mixture of passive trading for KOSPI 200 inclusion and also the trading aimed at this expectation.
In fact, among the top net buying stocks by local pension funds (National Pension Service accounts for about 80%) over the past month, Hyundai Heavy Industries ranks second only after Krafton. Local pension funds have recorded more than 150 billion won in net purchases in the past six trading days since Hyundai Heavy Industries went public.



(Source: KRX)
The market seems to be interpreting the purchase of Hyundai Heavy Industries by local pension funds as a preemptive response to the KOSPI 200 inclusion. Hyundai Heavy Industries' current market cap is ₩10.25T, ranking 41st among KOSPI common stocks. The KOSPI 200 Fast Entry is almost certain given the difference in market cap of about ₩2T from the 50th place.

Hyundai Heavy Industries: Passive Impact Timing Confusion

South Korea

GS Holdings is a holding company, which operates subsidiaries including GS Caltex Oil, GS Power, GS Home Shopping, GS Retail, and GS Sports.

S-Oil Corporation refines crude oil and sells petroleum and its related products.  The Company mainly focuses on petroleum refining, petrochemical, and lubricant business. S-Oil's major products are gasoline, bunker oil, kerosene, naphtha, lubricants, benzene, toluene, and xylene.

SK Gas Ltd imports, stores, and distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The Company supplies its products mainly to domestic market for household, the transportation industry, and petrochemical products manufacturers.

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

Hankook Shell Oil Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets lubricants, grease, and other petroleum products used for cars, vessels, industrial machinery, and cutting tools.  The Company exports its products to Southeast Asian countries, Russia, and China.  Hankook Shell is an affiliate of Royal Dutch Shell Group.

Heunggu Oil Co. Ltd. distributes petroleum products through its network of gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) stations.

Mi Chang Oil Industrial Co., Ltd. refines, produces, and distributes lubricants used in industrial machinery, ships, and automobiles.  The Company also produces rubber processing oil for rubber products manufacturing and insulating oil for electrical properties.

JC Chemical Co., Ltd, manufactures biofuels including biodisel and other byproducts derived from bioenergy source.

Keystone Global is in coal business selling its coal to steel producers. The Company also operates smartcard business which offers the smartcard with IC chips embedded.

Joong Ang Enervis Co., Ltd. distributes petroleum products.  The Company operates a network of gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) stations. Joong Ang Enervis' products include gasoline, kerosene, lubricating oil, and low sulfur diesel.

Scorpio Tankers Inc. operates as a shipping company. The Company provides seaborne transportation of crude oil and other petroleum products. Scorpio Tankers serves customers worldwide.

Golar LNG Limited is an independent owner and operator of liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) infrastructure including carriers, Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FSRUs) and Floating Liquefaction (FLNG) vessels.  Collectively these assets make Golar an integrated midstream LNG services provider supporting resource holders, gas producers and consumers.

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is an oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company produces petroleum products. Northern Oil and Gas is currently focused on the Rocky Mountain regions of the United States.

PBF Energy Inc. is an independent petroleum refiner and supplier. The Company offers unbranded transportation fuels, heating oil, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants and other petroleum products in the United States. PBF's finished products are sold through long-term offtake and supply agreements.

California Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company. The Company focuses on maximizing the value of land, mineral and technical resources for decarbonization by developing carbon capture and storage and other emissions reducing projects. California Resources serves customers in the State of California.

CNX Resources Corporation operates as a natural gas exploration and production company. The Company owns gas reserves that develop and produce natural gas, including methane and shale beds. CNX Resources serves natural gas industry in the United States.

Petronas Dagangan Berhad markets petroleum products and operates service stations domestically. Through its subsidiaries, the Company has operations in aviation fueling at Kuala Lumpur International Airport and bunkering facilities at West Port along with marketing and distributing lubricants.

Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd. operates underground coal mining, coal washing and processing. The company also provides ground transportation services.

Yangquan Coal Industry Group Co Ltd. produces, processes, and sells coal. The Company also generates electricity and heat. Yangquan Coal sells its products domestically and exports to other countries.

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited refines oil and produces petroleum and petrochemicals. The Company is a subsidiary of ONGC. Mangalore Refinery operates a refinery in Mangalore city that produces premium diesel and unleaded petrol of high octane.

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL IN)

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

Yearend Dividend Play on Korean Stocks with High Yield/Borrow Rate

This post discusses the yearend dividend play on Korean stocks with a high dividend yield and a high borrow rate on a decreasing trend.

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Oilbank: Getting Ready for an IPO as Early as June 2022

Hyundai Oilbank is getting ready to complete its IPO as early as June 2022, which would make it one of the largest IPOs in Korea this year.

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Heavy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Insti Lock-Ups, Parent’s Shares Out of Lock-Up as Well

Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) was listed on Korea Exchange on 17th September, 2021. Its six month IPO lock-up will expire on 17th March, 2022.

Sumeet Singh

KRX Made It Clear that Hyundai Heavy KOSPI 200 Fast Entry Inclusion Would Be December 10

The KRX made it clear in its official disclosure that the effective date of the Hyundai Heavy Industries' KOSPI 200 Fast Entry would be December 10.

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Heavy Industries: Passive Impact Timing Confusion

This post discusses the passive impact timing confusion for Hyundai Heavy Industries, which might have been a reason behind the recent price surge.

Sanghyun Park

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