Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.</li>
<li>Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> is the key underweight, whilst <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro </a>have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.</li>
</ul>


India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.
Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.

Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is the key underweight, whilst Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) and Larsen &amp; Toubro have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.


Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) Q3FY22 performance stood above our expectations and beat our estimate on all fronts.</li><li>The company reported revenues of Rs 22,331 Cr, up 8.1% QoQ and 15.7% YoY.</li><li>We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 24x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,600/share, indicating an upside of 20% from CMP.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) Q3FY22 performance stood above our expectations and beat our estimate on all fronts.The company reported revenues of Rs 22,331 Cr, up 8.1% QoQ and 15.7% YoY.We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 24x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,600/share, indicating an upside of 20% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: Stellar Performance; Outlook Continues To Be Robust

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<p>HCLT delivered an exceptionally strong revenue growth of 7.6% QoQ CC in 3QFY22, 310bp above our estimate, led by its troubled Products and Platforms (P&amp;P, +24.5% QoQ) vertical, which did exceptionally well despite benefitting from seasonality and deal spill over from 2QFY22 (600bp impact). Its Services verticals (IT Services/ER&amp;D up 4.7%/8.3% QoQ CC) continued to clock strong growth and was ahead of our estimate. HCLT reported strong new deal TCV of USD2.1b (flat QoQ, +64% YoY).</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

HCLT delivered an exceptionally strong revenue growth of 7.6% QoQ CC in 3QFY22, 310bp above our estimate, led by its troubled Products and Platforms (P&amp;P, +24.5% QoQ) vertical, which did exceptionally well despite benefitting from seasonality and deal spill over from 2QFY22 (600bp impact). Its Services verticals (IT Services/ER&amp;D up 4.7%/8.3% QoQ CC) continued to clock strong growth and was ahead of our estimate. HCLT reported strong new deal TCV of USD2.1b (flat QoQ, +64% YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth acceleration to compensate for margin hit

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<p>We maintain our BUY rating with a target price of INR 1,485, valuing the HCLT stock at 22x Mar-24E EPS, factoring in +13/14% CAGRs in revenue/EPS over FY21-24E HCL Technologies: We maintain BUY on HCL Tech (HCLT), supported by strong growth in services (+5.3% QoQ CC) and recovery in P&amp;P (+24.5% QoQ CC). The services growth was led by ER&amp;D but the ~200 bps decline in margin was higher than peers. Key attributes that support our growth outlook are: (1) growth momentum in ER&amp;D services (+8.3 QoQ CC), supported by digital engineering and IoT services; (2) robust TCV of USD 2.14bn (+64% YoY growth), led by eight large deals in services and product; and (3) strong fresher hiring, which will continue in FY23E.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We maintain our BUY rating with a target price of INR 1,485, valuing the HCLT stock at 22x Mar-24E EPS, factoring in +13/14% CAGRs in revenue/EPS over FY21-24E HCL Technologies: We maintain BUY on HCL Tech (HCLT), supported by strong growth in services (+5.3% QoQ CC) and recovery in P&amp;P (+24.5% QoQ CC). The services growth was led by ER&amp;D but the ~200 bps decline in margin was higher than peers. Key attributes that support our growth outlook are: (1) growth momentum in ER&amp;D services (+8.3 QoQ CC), supported by digital engineering and IoT services; (2) robust TCV of USD 2.14bn (+64% YoY growth), led by eight large deals in services and product; and (3) strong fresher hiring, which will continue in FY23E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<p>We expect the robust performance in HCL's Services business, especially the ER&amp;D vertical, to continue as the demand environment remains favorable. We also draw comfort from improving management commentary on continued growth momentum in the IT Services business. Sustainable demand momentum for Cloud and Digital Engineering benefits HCLT, given its large presence within IMS and ER&amp;D and continued investments in capabilities.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We expect the robust performance in HCL's Services business, especially the ER&amp;D vertical, to continue as the demand environment remains favorable. We also draw comfort from improving management commentary on continued growth momentum in the IT Services business. Sustainable demand momentum for Cloud and Digital Engineering benefits HCLT, given its large presence within IMS and ER&amp;D and continued investments in capabilities.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Services strength to cushion any Product softness

India

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HCL Technologies (HCLT IN)

Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

India moves to the largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers. Current underweight the highest on record.

Steven Holden

HCL Technologies: Stellar Performance; Outlook Continues To Be Robust

We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign a 24x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,600/share, indicating...

Axis Direct

Growth acceleration to compensate for margin hit

HCLT delivered an exceptionally strong revenue growth of 7.6% QoQ CC in 3QFY22, 310bp above our estimate, led by its troubled Products and...

Motilal Oswal

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies

We maintain our BUY rating with a target price of INR 1,485, valuing the HCLT stock at 22x Mar-24E EPS, factoring in +13/14% CAGRs in revenue/EPS...

HDFC Securities

Services strength to cushion any Product softness

We expect the robust performance in HCL's Services business, especially the ER&D vertical, to continue as the demand environment remains favorable....

Motilal Oswal

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)