CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Improving asset turnover, strong sales momentum, and slow asset growth relative to its sector</li><li>Signed MoU for fully integrated transpacific JV between Korean Air and Delta Air Lines (DAL US) to expand network and benefit from the upcoming winter Olympic games in PyeongChang in 2018</li><li>The IPO of leading low-cost carrier Jin Air Co. Ltd. toward the end of the year would inject cash into the company</li><li>Trades below Asian Transportation at 17CE* 0.9x PB, offers much better ROE, associate loss from Hanjin Shipping’s bankruptcy should be priced in</li><li>Risks: Fuel price rises, surprise losses from Hanjin Shipping’s bankruptcy, growing losses from associates</li></ul>* Consensus Estimates

Improving asset turnover, strong sales momentum, and slow asset growth relative to its sectorSigned MoU for fully integrated transpacific JV between Korean Air and Delta Air Lines (DAL US) to expand network and benefit from the upcoming winter Olympic games in PyeongChang in 2018The IPO of leading low-cost carrier Jin Air Co. Ltd. toward the end of the year would inject cash into the companyTrades below Asian Transportation at 17CE* 0.9x PB, offers much better ROE, associate loss from Hanjin Shipping’s bankruptcy should be priced inRisks: Fuel price rises, surprise losses from Hanjin Shipping’s bankruptcy, growing losses from associates* Consensus Estimates

Hanjin (180640 KS): The Sky Is the Limit for This Transport Titan

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thoresen Thai Agencies / Equity Bottom-Up

Hanjin Shipping, the largest Korean shipper and 7th largest in the world, has filed for bankruptcy last month, creating a great deal of confusion for authorities and customers worldwide. The Thai media has said that the global supply glut is so great that even Hanjin's removal alone is unlikely to benefit any of the Thai shippers, though our friends at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/356" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:356">Drewry Maritime Equity Research</a>  said that this may not be 100% true. In the short term, customers may have to scramble to find replacement…

Hanjin Shipping, the largest Korean shipper and 7th largest in the world, has filed for bankruptcy last month, creating a great deal of confusion for authorities and customers worldwide. The Thai media has said that the global supply glut is so great that even Hanjin's removal alone is unlikely to benefit any of the Thai shippers, though our friends at Drewry Maritime Equity Research  said that this may not be 100% true. In the short term, customers may have to scramble to find replacement…

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<blockquote>
“Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not homeopathy, it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.”
―Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)
</blockquote>This morning, Hanjin Shipping Co. said it will apply for court receivership after lenders decided to halt all support. We have been highlighting these risks from 2013 and in our last update on troubled container shipping company, we had highlighted the…


“Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not homeopathy, it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.”
―Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)
This morning, Hanjin Shipping Co. said it will apply for court receivership after lenders decided to halt all support. We have been highlighting these risks from 2013 and in our last update on troubled container shipping company, we had highlighted the…

Hanjin Shipping(117930 KS) - Borrowed Time Comes to an End

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

The four major construction stocks in Korea <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4292" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4292">Hyundai Engineering &amp; Const</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/7699" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7699">Hyundai Development Co Engg &amp; Cnstn</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15916" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15916">Gs Engineering &amp; Construct</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12333" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12333">Daewoo Engineering &amp; Constr</a> share prices are on average down 10% from 13 April 2016 (in the same period KOSPI was up 0.3%) , post the election of the National Assembly members in Korea. We gave out a warning on 17 April 206 on these four Korean construction stocks <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/warning-on-korean-construction-stocks-ruling-saenuri-party-is-crushed-in-national-assembly-election" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:3422">Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly</a>…

The four major construction stocks in Korea Hyundai Engineering &amp; Const, Hyundai Development Co Engg &amp; Cnstn, Gs Engineering &amp; Construct, and Daewoo Engineering &amp; Constr share prices are on average down 10% from 13 April 2016 (in the same period KOSPI was up 0.3%) , post the election of the National Assembly members in Korea. We gave out a warning on 17 April 206 on these four Korean construction stocks Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly…

Close Out the Shorts on Korean Construction Stocks?

This is a follow-up to the warning on the Korean construction stocks which we issued more than a month ago. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/warning-on-korean-construction-stocks-ruling-saenuri-party-is-crushed-in-national-assembly-election" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:3422">Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly Election</a> We gave a strong warning on the four major construction stocks and they are down on average 7.2% from the end of the National Assembly Elections in Korea (about 5 weeks ago) to today, under performing KOSPI which is down 1.7% during the same period.  We continue to be bearish on the Korean…

This is a follow-up to the warning on the Korean construction stocks which we issued more than a month ago. Warning on Korean Construction Stocks: Ruling Saenuri Party Is Crushed in National Assembly Election We gave a strong warning on the four major construction stocks and they are down on average 7.2% from the end of the National Assembly Elections in Korea (about 5 weeks ago) to today, under performing KOSPI which is down 1.7% during the same period.  We continue to be bearish on the Korean…

Korean Construction Stocks - Household Debt Is the Achilles Heel

South Korea

KCTC provides inland transportation services, such as container and freight forwarding, bonded warehouses, and stevedoring services.  The Company also provides and manages logistics services.

Hansol Logistics Co., Ltd. provides domestic and international logistic services including loading and unloading, storing, and forwarding services. The Company also operates an Internet-based shopping mall.

SG&G Corp. is operating holding company. The company engages in logistics business, automobile parts manufacturing, electronic lottery business, and exporting apparel and textile through its subsidiaries.

Sebang Co., Ltd. provides inland transportation services specializing in carrying containers and bulk cargos.  The Company also offers stevedoring services along with container storage services in the local ports.  Sebang also operates construction business and manufactures battery parts including separators and containers.

Air Busan Co., Ltd. operates as an airline company. The Company offers international and domestic flight, hotel, and car booking services. Air busan also provides reissuance of ticket, baggage, airport, and in flight services. Air busan offers services worldwide.

Korea Airport Service Co., Ltd. provides integrated aviation support services including ground handling support, aircraft maintenance and overhaul, air cargo operations, and other airport related services in the airports of South Korea. The Company also supplies fuel to aircrafts, and operates mining business and mineral water supply business.

KSS LINE LTD provides marine transportation services.  The Company mainly transports items such as gas and chemical products.  KSS LINE provides worldwide gas product transportation, Far East and South East Asia area for chemical product shipping.

Eusu Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company, which operates marine transportation services such as container service, bulk service, terminal service, and ship lease.

Dongbang Transport Logistics Co., Ltd. provides stevedoring, forwarding, and container storage services at the local ports in South Korea.  The Company also offers inland and marine transportation services.

Dongbang Transport & Logistics (004140 KS)

RedcapTour Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells a variety of software, especially for a line of Internet kiosks.  The Company's products include database construction, search engine tools, and multimedia software.  Media Solution also provides touch screens, which is a touch-sensitive pad that enable user to navigate on the surface of monitors.

GD Express Carrier Bhd offers package delivery services.  The Company delivers parcels by truck throughout Malaysia.

Southern Airports Services Joint Stock Company provides airport services. The Company manages airport, booking, parking, transportation, duty-free, business lounges, food and beverage, sleep zone, and other support services. Southern Airports Services serves passengers in Vietnam.

South Logistics JSC is a logistics, transport, and warehousing services company.

Tasco Berhad provides logistics services. The Company offers supply, warehousing, and haulage services to airports and automobile manufacturers. The Company also provides land transportation services.

Chuo Warehouse Co., Ltd., based in Kyoto prefecture, is a warehouse operator specializing in storage of synthetic textiles.  The Company handles imported cargo and operates its business in the Tokai and Tokyo areas as well.

Gati Corporation Limited supplies cargo distribution and logistics support services throughout India.   The Group has some 1,300 remote locations through 340 branches.

Snowman Logistics Limited provides integrated temperature controlled logistics services in India. The company offers warehousing solutions that cover ambient, chilled, frozen, and blast products.

Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Company Limited delivers supply chain management services. The Company provides integrated supply chain solutions, logistics customs clearance, procurement fulfillment, and distribution fulfillment. Prolto is predominately engaged in the IT service field side of supply chain management.

Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd. operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, conducts supply chain logistics and supply chain executive trade businesses. Shanghai Ace Investment & Development provides services to customers in phosphorus chemical and non-ferrous metals industries.

Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd provides logistics and expressway-related services. The Company offers services including planning, procurement, and logistics management of construction materials, operates expressway service zones, and development of toll collection facilities.

Guangdong Yueyun Transportation (3399 HK)

Hanjin Transportation Co., Ltd. provides integrated transportation and logistics services.  The Company operates truck transportation, stevedoring, coastal shipping, passenger buses, and international freight services.

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Hanjin Transportation Co (002320 KS)

Hanjin (180640 KS): The Sky Is the Limit for This Transport Titan

Improving asset turnover, strong sales momentum, and slow assetgrowth relative to its sector Signed MoU for fully integrated transpacific JV...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Thai-Tanic: TTA Vs Hanjin

Hanjin Shipping, the largest Korean shipper and 7th largest in the world, has filed for bankruptcy last month, creating a great deal of confusion...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Hanjin Shipping(117930 KS) - Borrowed Time Comes to an End

“Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not homeopathy, it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Close Out the Shorts on Korean Construction Stocks?

The four major construction stocks in Korea Hyundai Engineering & Const, Hyundai Development Co Engg & Cnstn, Gs Engineering &...

Douglas Kim

Korean Construction Stocks - Household Debt Is the Achilles Heel

This is a follow-up to the warning on the Korean construction stocks which we issued more than a month ago. Warning on Korean Construction Stocks:...

Douglas Kim

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