HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As one of the few CXOs in the industry that has layout of the whole industry chain, Pharmaron carries many expectations. But it cannot compete with WuXi AppTec so far.</li>
<li>If Pharmaron could make breakthrough either in its CMC services (improving gross profit margin and scale) or the CGT services, the Company’s outlook and valuation logic would improve greatly.</li>
<li>The valuation of Pharmaron should be lower than WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics, but higher than Asymchem, Tigermed and Joinn. Considering the macro uncertainties, short-term trades are advised.</li>
</ul>


As one of the few CXOs in the industry that has layout of the whole industry chain, Pharmaron carries many expectations. But it cannot compete with WuXi AppTec so far.
If Pharmaron could make breakthrough either in its CMC services (improving gross profit margin and scale) or the CGT services, the Company’s outlook and valuation logic would improve greatly.
The valuation of Pharmaron should be lower than WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics, but higher than Asymchem, Tigermed and Joinn. Considering the macro uncertainties, short-term trades are advised.


Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) 2022/2021Q1 Results- Expectations Coexist with Concerns

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite solid growth in 2021, if seen from prior years, the revenue YoY growth rate and net profit YoY growth rate showed a state of divergence, which is “interesting”.</li>
<li>Since half of Tigermed’s net profits were from investment income,it’s not logical to apply the valuation methods of traditional CXO to Tigermed. Its CRO and investment should be valued separately.</li>
<li>The poor IPO sentiment, risk of recession and the domestic healthcare rational return would make investors reconsider if Tigermed’s “CRO + PE/VC business model” would be a safe play.</li>
</ul>


Despite solid growth in 2021, if seen from prior years, the revenue YoY growth rate and net profit YoY growth rate showed a state of divergence, which is “interesting”.
Since half of Tigermed’s net profits were from investment income,it’s not logical to apply the valuation methods of traditional CXO to Tigermed. Its CRO and investment should be valued separately.
The poor IPO sentiment, risk of recession and the domestic healthcare rational return would make investors reconsider if Tigermed’s “CRO + PE/VC business model” would be a safe play.


Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (3347.HK/300347.CH) - The Business Model May Not Be a Safe Play

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>The average A/H premium changed by -0.9ppt week on week to 118.3%. </li>
<li>Biggest decline in A/H premium appeared in the Communication Services and Consumer Staples sector while the biggest increase was from the Real Estate sector</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week.
The average A/H premium changed by -0.9ppt week on week to 118.3%. 
Biggest decline in A/H premium appeared in the Communication Services and Consumer Staples sector while the biggest increase was from the Real Estate sector


A/H Premium Weekly: Decline in Com Service and Consumer Staple Offset by Real Estate

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week. </li>
<li>Top three sectors in terms of A/H premium increase were consumer stable, utilities and industrials.</li>
<li>Six industrial names appeared in the top 10 stocks with week-on-week A/H increases. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week. 
Top three sectors in terms of A/H premium increase were consumer stable, utilities and industrials.
Six industrial names appeared in the top 10 stocks with week-on-week A/H increases. 


A/H Premium Weekly: Industrials Led Premium Increase

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 134 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Consumer discretionary, consumer staple and health care sectors lower the overall A/H premium. </li>
<li>Real estate and industrials sectors are the only two sectors with WoW A/H premium increases.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 134 stocks over the last week.
Consumer discretionary, consumer staple and health care sectors lower the overall A/H premium. 
Real estate and industrials sectors are the only two sectors with WoW A/H premium increases.


A/H Premium Weekly: Consumer and Health Care Lowered A/H Premium

China

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting Co.,Ltd. provides professional clinical research services for domestic and foreign pharmaceutical and health-related research and development. The Company's main services include clinical trial technology services, data management, and statistical analysis. Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting offers services worldwide.

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Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting C (3347 HK)

Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) 2022/2021Q1 Results- Expectations Coexist with Concerns

We analyzed Pharmaron's performance in 2021 & 2022Q1.Expectations coexist with concerns. Its outlook/valuation logic would improve greatly if it...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (3347.HK/300347.CH) - The Business Model May Not Be a Safe Play

Tigermed’s high growth and high valuation are inseparable from continuous M&As and investment. However, uncertain macro environment and risk of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A/H Premium Weekly: Decline in Com Service and Consumer Staple Offset by Real Estate

Biggest decline in A/H premium appeared in the Communication Services and Consumer Staples sector while the biggest increase was from the Real...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Weekly: Industrials Led Premium Increase

Top three sectors in terms of A/H premium increase were consumer stable, utilities and industrials. Six industrial names appeared in the top 10 A/H...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Weekly: Consumer and Health Care Lowered A/H Premium

We highlight that the consumer discretionary, consumer staple and health care sectors are the biggest driver for lower A/H premium WoW.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)