HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. </li>
<li>More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.
We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. 
More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> revealed that domestic sales are performing well in the "Double-11" festival and overseas sales have outperformed peers in Black Friday.</li>
<li>The high-end brand Casarte has maintained good market shares in refrigerators, drum washing machines and air-conditioners. Overseas market also saw positive upgrade demand. </li>
<li>Its digitalisation strategy has enhanced customers' shopping experience and increased repurchases. HSH has also achieved improvements in overall efficiency through such efforts.</li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) revealed that domestic sales are performing well in the "Double-11" festival and overseas sales have outperformed peers in Black Friday.
The high-end brand Casarte has maintained good market shares in refrigerators, drum washing machines and air-conditioners. Overseas market also saw positive upgrade demand. 
Its digitalisation strategy has enhanced customers' shopping experience and increased repurchases. HSH has also achieved improvements in overall efficiency through such efforts.


Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Updates from Management

<ul>
<li>Besides as nationalistic consumption play, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> also offers attractive investment theses with bright growth prospects. Despite share price rebound, valuations are still not yet reflecting fundamentals.</li>
<li>The surge in demand for refrigerators and freezers during the pandemic-led lockdowns has boosted HSH's business in 4M22 while it will also reap benefits from Rmb depreciation.</li>
<li>The government's support of healthy development of residential real estate market will be positive towards smart home appliance demand which HSH is set to gain from its leadership position. </li>
</ul>


Besides as nationalistic consumption play, Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) also offers attractive investment theses with bright growth prospects. Despite share price rebound, valuations are still not yet reflecting fundamentals.
The surge in demand for refrigerators and freezers during the pandemic-led lockdowns has boosted HSH's business in 4M22 while it will also reap benefits from Rmb depreciation.
The government's support of healthy development of residential real estate market will be positive towards smart home appliance demand which HSH is set to gain from its leadership position. 


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>More policy measures will be rolled out by the Chinese government to support domestic consumption in 2022; and the growing nationalistic trend will benefit leading domestic brands. </li>
<li>Within the consumer discretionary sector, we identify <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> as the prime beneficiaries of this trend.</li>
<li>All of them are leaders in their respective sub-segment, have exemplary competitive edges against foreign players and are investing heavily in technology and distribution to solidify their moats. </li>
</ul>


More policy measures will be rolled out by the Chinese government to support domestic consumption in 2022; and the growing nationalistic trend will benefit leading domestic brands. 
Within the consumer discretionary sector, we identify Anta Sports Products (2020 HK), Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) as the prime beneficiaries of this trend.
All of them are leaders in their respective sub-segment, have exemplary competitive edges against foreign players and are investing heavily in technology and distribution to solidify their moats. 


China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s major shareholders proposed to privatise at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium to the pre-suspension price. This is the same as we calculated using the 3-year average P/B. </li>
<li>At such a price, it will sit at 7.6x PER for FY25F, a level that it only touched briefly 3 times in the last two years. </li>
<li>This PER is at a 25-30% discount to the sector and justified by its smaller size and lesser diversification. All in all, the proposed price looks fair and reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK)'s major shareholders proposed to privatise at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium to the pre-suspension price. This is the same as we calculated using the 3-year average P/B. 
At such a price, it will sit at 7.6x PER for FY25F, a level that it only touched briefly 3 times in the last two years. 
This PER is at a 25-30% discount to the sector and justified by its smaller size and lesser diversification. All in all, the proposed price looks fair and reasonable.


Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

China

Hangzhou Robam Appliances Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells household electrical kitchen appliances. The Company's major products include range hoods, gas stoves, disinfection cabinets, electric pressure cookers, induction cookers, electric kettles and food processing machines.

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Hangzhou Robam Appliances A (002508 CH)

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Updates from Management

Sales have performed well in "Double-11" festival and Black Friday. Overseas markets have seen positive upgrade demand and digitalisation has...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Smart Moves

Haier Smart Home has seen good refrigerators/freezers sales amid the lockdowns and it will also benefit from Rmb depreciation and the government's...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

We identify Anta Sports, Bosideng and Haier Smart Home as the beneficiaries of rising nationalistic trend of China's consumer discretionary sector...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

​Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Updates from Management

Sales have performed well in "Double-11" festival and Black Friday. Overseas markets have seen positive upgrade demand and digitalisation has...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Smart Moves

Haier Smart Home has seen good refrigerators/freezers sales amid the lockdowns and it will also benefit from Rmb depreciation and the government's...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

We identify Anta Sports, Bosideng and Haier Smart Home as the beneficiaries of rising nationalistic trend of China's consumer discretionary sector...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

​Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...