Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Hang Seng TECH Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A share pop a flash in the pan and still shows heavy price action as the bull wedge matures into late January.</li>
<li>HSI is meeting the fresh short target zone near 24,700 with a minor new low in store for late January.</li>
<li>HK tech is making strides to bottom as RSI divergence matures but still needs some final strokes for a higher conviction base.</li>
</ul>


A share pop a flash in the pan and still shows heavy price action as the bull wedge matures into late January.
HSI is meeting the fresh short target zone near 24,700 with a minor new low in store for late January.
HK tech is making strides to bottom as RSI divergence matures but still needs some final strokes for a higher conviction base.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest passive outflows as a result of capping will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> due to their weight exceeding 8% in all three indices.</li>
<li>There are large funding outflows (in terms of days of ADV to trade) on quite a few Hong Kong property stocks as well as stocks from the financials sector.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest passive outflows as a result of capping will be on Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) due to their weight exceeding 8% in all three indices.
There are large funding outflows (in terms of days of ADV to trade) on quite a few Hong Kong property stocks as well as stocks from the financials sector.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: December Rebalance Flows Post Capping

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 3 December.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 19 November to cap the stocks, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.50% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,208m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> is over 8 days of ADV and short covering could take the stock higher in the short-term versus its peers.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) replaces Evergrande (3333 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) after the close of trading on 3 December.
Using prices from the close on 19 November to cap the stocks, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.50% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,208m.
Short interest on Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) is over 8 days of ADV and short covering could take the stock higher in the short-term versus its peers.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: No Surprises Here as Evergrande Is Deleted

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> will be added to the HSI at the close on 3 December.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.05% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$10.1bn due to the inclusions, float changes and capping changes.</li>
<li>Currently at 64 members, Hang Seng Indexes is unlikely to reach its 80 index constituent target for the HSI by mid 2022 and the timeline is likely to be extended.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK), ENN Energy (2688 HK), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) and NetEase (9999 HK) will be added to the HSI at the close on 3 December.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.05% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$10.1bn due to the inclusions, float changes and capping changes.
Currently at 64 members, Hang Seng Indexes is unlikely to reach its 80 index constituent target for the HSI by mid 2022 and the timeline is likely to be extended.


HSI Index Rebalance: Tiptoeing to the 80 Index Member Target

HK tech index formed a dual bottom at 5,900 above our buy support at 5,600 with constructive price action building. We like buying weakness in October to challenge and clear the first hurdle at 6,900 (breakout pivot).Risk on momentum in the US and Asia is bleeding into unloved markets like Korea and HK. Our bet was to buy risk in mid October for a rally into November.MACD bull divergence stands out (when MACD does not confirm new index lows as selling pressure exhausts), warning of a short squeeze unfolding.Tuesday/Wednesday price action shows bullish characteristics to challenge the 6,900 pivot barrier. Target lies at 7,400/500 intermediate tough resistance.

HK tech index formed a dual bottom at 5,900 above our buy support at 5,600 with constructive price action building. We like buying weakness in October to challenge and clear the first hurdle at 6,900 (breakout pivot).Risk on momentum in the US and Asia is bleeding into unloved markets like Korea and HK. Our bet was to buy risk in mid October for a rally into November.MACD bull divergence stands out (when MACD does not confirm new index lows as selling pressure exhausts), warning of a short squeeze unfolding.Tuesday/Wednesday price action shows bullish characteristics to challenge the 6,900 pivot barrier. Target lies at 7,400/500 intermediate tough resistance.

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng TECH Index aims to represent the 30 largest technology companies listed in Hong Kong which have high business exposure to the Innovative Tech Themes.

Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX EQUITY)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: December Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The Dec rebalance of the HK indices will use today's closing prices to cap the stocks at 8%. Meituan and Tencent will see large outflows due to...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Rebalance: No Surprises Here as Evergrande Is Deleted

Innovent Bio will join the HSCEI after the close on 3 Dec while Evergrande will be deleted, no surprises. One-way turnover is 4.5% due to capping &...

Brian Freitas

HSI Index Rebalance: Tiptoeing to the 80 Index Member Target

CR Beer, ENN Energy, JD.com & Netease will join the HSI after the close on 3 Dec. Some were expected, some are surprises. Turnover is 5%+ & the...

Brian Freitas

HK Tech Risk-On Rotation

HK tech index formed a dual bottom at 5,900 above our buy support at 5,600 with constructive price action building. Buy weakness to challenge and...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A Share Fizzle - HK Tech Bullish Base

A share pop a flash in the pan and still shows heavy price action as the bull wedge matures into late January. HK tech is making strides to bottom...

Thomas Schroeder

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: December Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The Dec rebalance of the HK indices will use today's closing prices to cap the stocks at 8%. Meituan and Tencent will see large outflows due to...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Rebalance: No Surprises Here as Evergrande Is Deleted

Innovent Bio will join the HSCEI after the close on 3 Dec while Evergrande will be deleted, no surprises. One-way turnover is 4.5% due to capping &...

Brian Freitas

HSI Index Rebalance: Tiptoeing to the 80 Index Member Target

CR Beer, ENN Energy, JD.com & Netease will join the HSI after the close on 3 Dec. Some were expected, some are surprises. Turnover is 5%+ & the...

Brian Freitas

HK Tech Risk-On Rotation

HK tech index formed a dual bottom at 5,900 above our buy support at 5,600 with constructive price action building. Buy weakness to challenge and...

Thomas Schroeder