Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><strong><span class="s1"><em>What will President Xi do With Solidified Power in his Second Term?</em></span></strong></p><ul class="ul1">
<li class="li2"><span class="s1">At the 19th National Congress expected to be held in mid-October we expect that President Xi will solidify his power for his second 5-year term.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>This important leadership transition event happens twice a decade and is a key development for investors exposed to China.</span></li>
<li class="li2"><span class="s1">Investors should be prepared for a firmer set of policies focused on societal control and economic reorganization.</span></li>
<li class="li2">
<span class="s1">We expect an accelerated transition from older</span>…</li>
</ul>

What will President Xi do With Solidified Power in his Second Term?
At the 19th National Congress expected to be held in mid-October we expect that President Xi will solidify his power for his second 5-year term.  This important leadership transition event happens twice a decade and is a key development for investors exposed to China.
Investors should be prepared for a firmer set of policies focused on societal control and economic reorganization.

We expect an accelerated transition from older…


Heading into the 19th National Congress - What Policies Do China Investors Need to Be Prepared For?

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p>We have made a case for reducing long exposure and transitioning into a net short position in late July into early August and now see further evidence of a bear setup and a risk-off cycle into at least September</p><p><strong>Risk components - </strong></p><p>VIX bull flag upside breakout. We went long the VIX at 8.90 and last week called for the bull flag to break higher resulting in the spike to the 16-17 area. In our macro product we outlined trimming at 16 and look to add back to volatility later this week ahead of a…</p>

We have made a case for reducing long exposure and transitioning into a net short position in late July into early August and now see further evidence of a bear setup and a risk-off cycle into at least SeptemberRisk components - VIX bull flag upside breakout. We went long the VIX at 8.90 and last week called for the bull flag to break higher resulting in the spike to the 16-17 area. In our macro product we outlined trimming at 16 and look to add back to volatility later this week ahead of a…

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

<p>In a nutshell... INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reached</p><p>INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reached the target (Russell) while EU (Dax, Eurostoxx, CAC, FTSE) bounced above their supports. - Asia moved in sideways with some markets also testing/below intermediate trend targets/resistances…</p>

In a nutshell... INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reachedINDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reached the target (Russell) while EU (Dax, Eurostoxx, CAC, FTSE) bounced above their supports. - Asia moved in sideways with some markets also testing/below intermediate trend targets/resistances…

BBSP Weekly Macro - Markets Correct as Expected

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

<div>
<strong>Chartonics flash </strong>Thursday 13 July 2017</div><div><strong>Korea and H shares</strong></div><p>Korea and H share gaps upward get us closer to our sell targets but before we delve into these charts we wanted to drive home our call for US tech to stage (and lead) the final July upside drive.</p><div>NDX did bottom above 5,550 near price and retracement support and shows a clean a-b-c corrective structure that calls for new highs. 5,815 is the level to clear to reach for 6,000. In this drive we will be looking for maturing signs of divergence as…</div>


Chartonics flash Thursday 13 July 2017Korea and H sharesKorea and H share gaps upward get us closer to our sell targets but before we delve into these charts we wanted to drive home our call for US tech to stage (and lead) the final July upside drive.NDX did bottom above 5,550 near price and retracement support and shows a clean a-b-c corrective structure that calls for new highs. 5,815 is the level to clear to reach for 6,000. In this drive we will be looking for maturing signs of divergence as…

Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd H / Technical Analysis

<div>
<strong>Chartonics webast </strong>Thursday 25 May 2017</div><div><strong>S&amp;P breakout</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/9lBoYsBVsm" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/9lBoYsBVsm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1495775930297000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGa2xIfULMPj5SrNnAXfslOuvfnww">https://www.screencast.com/t/9lBoYsBVsm</a> </strong>8:36 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/026/697/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1495689949" data-smartkarma-image-id="26697"></figure><div class="content-caption">S&amp;P and China rally webcast</div>
<p>S&amp;P clearing 2,400 reinstates our base case to 2,460 by the end of June.</p>
</div><div>Our hedges in banks and transports need to be covered but have been underperforming as weak pairs. IYT (-0.77%) and KRE (-.27%) will be squaring up. We recently added utilities (XLU) which is up 1.87%. We envision a more positive materials share run and will be adding XLB…</div>


Chartonics webast Thursday 25 May 2017S&amp;P breakoutTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/9lBoYsBVsm 8:36 min.
S&amp;P and China rally webcast
S&amp;P clearing 2,400 reinstates our base case to 2,460 by the end of June.
Our hedges in banks and transports need to be covered but have been underperforming as weak pairs. IYT (-0.77%) and KRE (-.27%) will be squaring up. We recently added utilities (XLU) which is up 1.87%. We envision a more positive materials share run and will be adding XLB…

China Material Plays Bringing up the Rear

China

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index comprised of H-Shares listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and included in the Hang Seng Mainland Composite Index. The base value of this index is 2000 as of Jan 3, 2000. This index replaced the old HSCE index on Oct. 3, 2001.

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

Heading into the 19th National Congress - What Policies Do China Investors Need to Be Prepared For?

What will President Xi do With Solidified Power in his Second Term? At the 19th National Congress expected to be held in mid-October we expect that...

David Riedel

Equity Decline Just Kicking Off

We have made a case for reducing long exposure and transitioning into a net short position in late July into early August and now see further...

Thomas Schroeder

BBSP Weekly Macro - Markets Correct as Expected

In a nutshell... INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and...

BBSP Asia

Korea and H Shares Targeted Drive

Chartonics flash Thursday 13 July 2017Korea and H sharesKorea and H share gaps upward get us closer to our sell targets but before we delve into...

Thomas Schroeder

China Material Plays Bringing up the Rear

Chartonics webast Thursday 25 May 2017S&P breakoutTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/9lBoYsBVsm 8:36 min. S&P...

Thomas Schroeder