Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearly two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see nine potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The potential adds are dominated by the Materials sector while the potential deletions are mainly from the Consumer Discretionary sector.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.14-12 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.1-30 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


Nearly two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see nine potential changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
The potential adds are dominated by the Materials sector while the potential deletions are mainly from the Consumer Discretionary sector.
The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.14-12 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.1-30 days of ADV.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Increasing Number of Changes in December

<ul>
<li>There were a couple of ad hoc rebalances in Korea last week for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a>. </li>
<li>Coming Friday will mark the end of the review period for the next rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, LQ45, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP</a> as well as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50</a> June implementation.</li>
<li>With Japan indices moving higher, the largest inflows went into ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> and other local/global indices.</li>
</ul>


There were a couple of ad hoc rebalances in Korea last week for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) and KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY). 
Coming Friday will mark the end of the review period for the next rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, LQ45, PCOMP as well as the SET50 June implementation.
With Japan indices moving higher, the largest inflows went into ETFs tracking the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and other local/global indices.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, KOSPI2, New Deal, SET50, MOG Digitech, Syngenta IPO

<ul>
<li>Just over a quarter of the way through the review period, we see six changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close adds at the current time and a move higher can take them into inclusion zone leading to more deletions.</li>
<li>While there is little to no short interest on the potential inclusions, short interest on the potential deletions ranges from 4.3-12.2 days of ADV and 0.5-3.5% of free float.</li>
</ul>


Just over a quarter of the way through the review period, we see six changes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There are a few stocks that are close adds at the current time and a move higher can take them into inclusion zone leading to more deletions.
While there is little to no short interest on the potential inclusions, short interest on the potential deletions ranges from 4.3-12.2 days of ADV and 0.5-3.5% of free float.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: A Busy December Rebalance

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

After the market today, it was reported in Hankyung Business Daily that the Hyundai Dept Store Group is in the process of trying to <a href="https://finance.naver.com/item/news_read.nhn?article_id=0004348853&amp;office_id=015&amp;code=052260&amp;sm=title_entity_id.basic" target="_blank" rel="noopener">acquire a 27.9%</a> controlling stake in SK Bioland (052260 KS) from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS)</a>. An exact purchase price for the SK Bioland stake has not yet been determined. SK Bioland is a leading provider of cosmetics raw materials in Korea. The four key companies involved in this deal (Hyundai Dept Store, Handsome, SK Bioland, and SKC) have yet to formally announce the key terms of this M&amp;A deal. Over the years, in cases like this (where the key companies have yet to formally announce the M&amp;A terms but a major newspaper leaks the M&amp;A deal), the M&amp;A deals get completed roughly 60-80% of the time.Which Company Has the Most to Gain? Among the four companies mentioned in this insight, (SK Bioland, SKC, Hyundai Dept Store, and Handsome), it would appear SKC has the most to gain from this deal at current prices, especially if the deal involves an attractive management premium. Although SK Bioland's stake is up for sale, the sharp appreciation of its share is a bit concerning, especially in terms of the downside risk.

After the market today, it was reported in Hankyung Business Daily that the Hyundai Dept Store Group is in the process of trying to acquire a 27.9% controlling stake in SK Bioland (052260 KS) from SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS). An exact purchase price for the SK Bioland stake has not yet been determined. SK Bioland is a leading provider of cosmetics raw materials in Korea. The four key companies involved in this deal (Hyundai Dept Store, Handsome, SK Bioland, and SKC) have yet to formally announce the key terms of this M&amp;A deal. Over the years, in cases like this (where the key companies have yet to formally announce the M&amp;A terms but a major newspaper leaks the M&amp;A deal), the M&amp;A deals get completed roughly 60-80% of the time.Which Company Has the Most to Gain? Among the four companies mentioned in this insight, (SK Bioland, SKC, Hyundai Dept Store, and Handsome), it would appear SKC has the most to gain from this deal at current prices, especially if the deal involves an attractive management premium. Although SK Bioland's stake is up for sale, the sharp appreciation of its share is a bit concerning, especially in terms of the downside risk. 

Korea M&A Spotlight: SKC to Sell Its 27.9% Stake of SK Bioland to Hyundai Dept Store Group?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

On February 23rd, the Korean government announced numerous domestic consumption boosting measures. Among them included a discount of 30-50% on KTX (high speed rail in Korea) if the tickets are purchased 25 days in advance. This discount on high speed rail is effective starting August. This annoucement is likely to negatively impact the domestic low cost airlines such as Jeju Airlines as well as major airlines such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1896" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1896:1">Asiana Airlines (020560 KS)</a> since there will likely be more people that will…

On February 23rd, the Korean government announced numerous domestic consumption boosting measures. Among them included a discount of 30-50% on KTX (high speed rail in Korea) if the tickets are purchased 25 days in advance. This discount on high speed rail is effective starting August. This annoucement is likely to negatively impact the domestic low cost airlines such as Jeju Airlines as well as major airlines such as Asiana Airlines (020560 KS) since there will likely be more people that will…

Korean Govt Measures To Invigorate Domestic Consumption

South Korea

Handsome Co., Ltd. manufactures and retails women's and men's apparel, furs, and accessories.  The Company provides its products to domestic department stores.

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Handsome Co Ltd (020000 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Increasing Number of Changes in December

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Brian Freitas

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This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: A Busy December Rebalance

We currently see 6 changes for the KOSPI200 in December. The potential adds (mostly Materials) have been running up while the potential deletes...

Brian Freitas

Korea M&A Spotlight: SKC to Sell Its 27.9% Stake of SK Bioland to Hyundai Dept Store Group?

After the market today, it was reported in Hankyung Business Daily that the Hyundai Dept Store Group is in the process of trying to acquire a 27.9%...

Douglas Kim

Korean Govt Measures To Invigorate Domestic Consumption

On February 23rd, the Korean government announced numerous domestic consumption boosting measures. Among them included a discount of 30-50% on KTX...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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