Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>On 3 March, the South Korean romance drama "Something in the Rain" was streamed on a Chinese online platform iQiyi. </li>
<li>This was the first time in five years that a Korean TV show has been approved by the Chinese government to be formally allowed to be shown in China.</li>
<li>In addition, there has been numerous media news flow in the past week regarding China pivoting away from its zero-COVID policy.</li>
</ul>


On 3 March, the South Korean romance drama "Something in the Rain" was streamed on a Chinese online platform iQiyi. 
This was the first time in five years that a Korean TV show has been approved by the Chinese government to be formally allowed to be shown in China.
In addition, there has been numerous media news flow in the past week regarding China pivoting away from its zero-COVID policy.


China Pivots from Zero-COVID Policy & End of China's Ban on Korean Culture?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hong Kong cases top 55,000, but Lam rules out full lockdown</li><li>Wounded Chinese citizen in Ukraine ‘out of danger,’ ministry says</li><li>GDP target, budget deficit, housing controls: What to watch for at China’s ‘Two Sessions’</li></ul>

Hong Kong cases top 55,000, but Lam rules out full lockdownWounded Chinese citizen in Ukraine ‘out of danger,’ ministry saysGDP target, budget deficit, housing controls: What to watch for at China’s ‘Two Sessions’

CX Daily: Hong Kong Cases Top 55,000, but Lam Rules Out Full Lockdown

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

Yum China Holdings  / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Yum China opened 563 stores in the fourth quarter and 1,806 stores in all 2021, bringing its total store count to 11,788 at the end of last year</li>
<li>While the brisk rate of new store openings helped Yum China achieve revenue growth in Q4 2021, the persistent weakness in SSSG and restaurant margins are causes of concern</li>
<li>Investors should monitor whether store expansion is accompanied by a corresponding decline in key operating metrics. If so, there could be parallels with Haidilao</li>
</ul>


Yum China opened 563 stores in the fourth quarter and 1,806 stores in all 2021, bringing its total store count to 11,788 at the end of last year
While the brisk rate of new store openings helped Yum China achieve revenue growth in Q4 2021, the persistent weakness in SSSG and restaurant margins are causes of concern
Investors should monitor whether store expansion is accompanied by a corresponding decline in key operating metrics. If so, there could be parallels with Haidilao


Yum China (YUMC US) - Store Expansion Edged Revenue Growth

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

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Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

China Pivots from Zero-COVID Policy & End of China's Ban on Korean Culture?

On 3 March, the South Korean romance drama "Something in the Rain" was streamed on a Chinese online platform iQiyi. In addition, China appears to...

Douglas Kim

CX Daily: Hong Kong Cases Top 55,000, but Lam Rules Out Full Lockdown

Hong Kong cases top 55,000, but Lam rules out full lockdown. Wounded Chinese citizen in Ukraine ‘out of danger,’ ministry says

Caixin Global

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yum China (YUMC US) - Store Expansion Edged Revenue Growth

Yum China's brisk rate of new store openings helped it achieve revenue growth in Q4 2021. However, the weakness in SSSG and restaurant margins are...

Jason Yap, CFA

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

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