Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors. There have been 7 months of southbound inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly flows for Li Auto, Kuaishou, HKEx, Xpeng. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors. There have been 7 months of southbound inflows.
We highlight monthly flows for Li Auto, Kuaishou, HKEx, Xpeng. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (June): Li Auto, Kuaishou, HKEx, Xpeng

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Four departments jointly issued “opinions” emphasis on the training/construction of TCM talents, which has great significance of TCM development in China. We advise investors not to underestimate this policy.</li>
<li>The COVID-19, policy risks (VBP/centralized procurement/DRGs) and public hospitals expansion have significantly intensified private hospitals' pressure for survival, which will eventually be reflected in the financial statements.</li>
<li>The deal between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK) </a>and F-star Therapeutics with aggregate consideration of approximately US$161 million indicated that the industry clearing of biotech in China is far from completed.</li>
</ul>


Four departments jointly issued “opinions” emphasis on the training/construction of TCM talents, which has great significance of TCM development in China. We advise investors not to underestimate this policy.
The COVID-19, policy risks (VBP/centralized procurement/DRGs) and public hospitals expansion have significantly intensified private hospitals' pressure for survival, which will eventually be reflected in the financial statements.
The deal between Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK) and F-star Therapeutics with aggregate consideration of approximately US$161 million indicated that the industry clearing of biotech in China is far from completed.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.1)- TCM New Policy, Private Hospitals Survival Pressure, Sino Biopharm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Through perfect partnership system, Gushengtang locks in the scarce TCM physicians, and then quickly establishes/merges offline medical institutions to occupy the market. Such development mode works well so far.</li>
<li>The challenges are the risks of losing talents to competitors and the weak sales of healthcare products leading to lower profitability. </li>
<li>Gushengtang is in an industry that receives government encouragement/preferential policies. The 2022 revenue growth forecast could fall back to about 25% considering the pandemic/lockdown. The EPS could narrowly turn positive.</li>
</ul>


Through perfect partnership system, Gushengtang locks in the scarce TCM physicians, and then quickly establishes/merges offline medical institutions to occupy the market. Such development mode works well so far.
The challenges are the risks of losing talents to competitors and the weak sales of healthcare products leading to lower profitability. 
Gushengtang is in an industry that receives government encouragement/preferential policies. The 2022 revenue growth forecast could fall back to about 25% considering the pandemic/lockdown. The EPS could narrowly turn positive.


Gushengtang (2273.HK) - The Development Momentum Is Good, but There Are Also Challenges

<ul>
<li>The recent outbreak and lockdown measures in Shanghai are radically changing China's healthcare market landscape. The complexity of the Chinese market will be further exacerbated by COVID-19.</li>
<li>We analyzed the impact on medical insurance fund, hospital operations, pharmaceutical and medical device companies, digital healthcare platforms, drug R&amp;D progress, supply chain, IVD companies, and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) sector.</li>
<li>The pandemic in Shanghai will have a far-reaching impact on China's future development.This is not just a battle over COVID-19,but the future of RMB and the fortune/destiny of a nation</li>
</ul>


The recent outbreak and lockdown measures in Shanghai are radically changing China's healthcare market landscape. The complexity of the Chinese market will be further exacerbated by COVID-19.
We analyzed the impact on medical insurance fund, hospital operations, pharmaceutical and medical device companies, digital healthcare platforms, drug R&amp;D progress, supply chain, IVD companies, and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) sector.
The pandemic in Shanghai will have a far-reaching impact on China's future development.This is not just a battle over COVID-19,but the future of RMB and the fortune/destiny of a nation


The Impact of COVID-19 and Shanghai Lockdown on China Healthcare

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

China

Gushengtang Holdings Limted operates as a TCM (Traditional Chinese medicine) healthcare service provider. The Company operates offline medical institutions and online healthcare platforms and provides TCM healthcare services and products. Gushengtang conducts businesses in China.

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Gushengtang (2273 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (June): Li Auto, Kuaishou, HKEx, Xpeng

We highlight the 7th month of consecutive inflows from mainland to HK and individual stocks with top inflows: Li Auto, Kuaishou, HKEx, Xpeng.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (July.1)- TCM New Policy, Private Hospitals Survival Pressure, Sino Biopharm

New policy about TCM talent will have great significance of TCM development.Private hospitals' survival pressure will be reflected in financial...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang