IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast (VFS US)</a>, a Vietnamese EV manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, completed its merger with Black Spade on 14 August. </li>
<li>Due to the low float, the shares have been on a wild ride, with the last close of US$6.56 materially below the high of US$82.35 per share.</li>
<li>VinFast remains an avoid due to related party-driven EV sales, declining customer traction, operating losses, cash burn, equity raise overhang and frothy valuation.  </li>
</ul>



Vinfast (VFS US), a Vietnamese EV manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), completed its merger with Black Spade on 14 August. 
Due to the low float, the shares have been on a wild ride, with the last close of US$6.56 materially below the high of US$82.35 per share.
VinFast remains an avoid due to related party-driven EV sales, declining customer traction, operating losses, cash burn, equity raise overhang and frothy valuation.  


2024 High Conviction: VinFast (VFS US) – Heading for Trouble

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Beijing Sinohytec   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-sinohytec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34068:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH)</a> (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing.</li>
<li>BSH provides fuel cell systems in China, focusing on the design, development and manufacture of fuel cell systems and stacks mainly for commercial vehicles, such as buses and trucks.</li>
<li>We looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing.
BSH provides fuel cell systems in China, focusing on the design, development and manufacture of fuel cell systems and stacks mainly for commercial vehicles, such as buses and trucks.
We looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations.


Beijing SinoHytec A/​H Listing - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.</li>
<li>With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.</li>
</ul>


STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
Unlike the other popular Chinese indices (CSI, SSE, ChiNext, etc.) that rebalance semiannually, the STAR 50 index has a quarterly rebalance cycle and the next rebalance will be in September.
With the reference period for the September 2024 STAR 50 index rebal event coming to an end, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs in this insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>One year after June 30, 2023, only 18% more of total battery capacities were added in US, below EU's 26% more added over the same period;</li>
<li>Chinese companies have largely shunned away from US investments, contributing only 8.7% of total. Most Chinese investments are in the mineral, instead of cell and package segments;</li>
<li>Envision/AESC alone contributed 2/3 of Chinese investments in US and is the only Chinese company investing in the cell segment.None invests in the package segment.</li>
</ul>


One year after June 30, 2023, only 18% more of total battery capacities were added in US, below EU's 26% more added over the same period;
Chinese companies have largely shunned away from US investments, contributing only 8.7% of total. Most Chinese investments are in the mineral, instead of cell and package segments;
Envision/AESC alone contributed 2/3 of Chinese investments in US and is the only Chinese company investing in the cell segment.None invests in the package segment.


US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

<ul>
<li>STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential ADDs and DELs for the STAR 50 index during the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We currently see two ADDs and two DELs for the STAR 50 index resulting in one-way flows of US$681mn.</li>
</ul>


STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential ADDs and DELs for the STAR 50 index during the September 2024 index rebal event.
We currently see two ADDs and two DELs for the STAR 50 index resulting in one-way flows of US$681mn.


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Two Changes; US$681mn One-Way; New Trade Ideas

China

Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufacture and markets lithium batteries. The Company mainly produces lithium ion batteries, power lithium battery sets, and other related products. Guoxuan High-Tech supplies its products for electric commercial vehicles, passenger cars, power stations, and other fields.

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Gotion High-tech (002074 CH)

2024 High Conviction: VinFast (VFS US) – Heading for Trouble

VinFast remains an avoid due to related party-driven EV sales, declining customer traction, operating losses, cash burn, equity raise overhang and...

Arun George

Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we'll talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

One of our expected ADDs Ninebot was only recently deleted from the STAR 50 index and there are some question marks over the re-inclusion of this...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

We view the US having a vigorous and healthy battery reshoring initiative. contributed by battery's relatively flat supply chain and the technology...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Two Changes; US$681mn One-Way; New Trade Ideas

Both the expected ADDs and DELs are expected to have high-impact. Over the next few weeks, the expected DELs could underperform their peers.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2024 High Conviction: VinFast (VFS US) – Heading for Trouble

VinFast remains an avoid due to related party-driven EV sales, declining customer traction, operating losses, cash burn, equity raise overhang and...

Arun George

Beijing SinoHytec A/​H Listing - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we'll talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Final Ranks; Some Question Marks over Ninebot Re-Inclusion

One of our expected ADDs Ninebot was only recently deleted from the STAR 50 index and there are some question marks over the re-inclusion of this...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

We view the US having a vigorous and healthy battery reshoring initiative. contributed by battery's relatively flat supply chain and the technology...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Sep 24: Two Changes; US$681mn One-Way; New Trade Ideas

Both the expected ADDs and DELs are expected to have high-impact. Over the next few weeks, the expected DELs could underperform their peers.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - Initial Thoughts on Valuation