Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In this one-minute animation (below) we illustrate the dynamics of the house price growth in China across 100 major cities on a monthly basis between June 2011 and June 2016, based on index data from SouFun CREIS. Looking at individual cities or even districts demonstrates how large the spread of performance can be across cities, even within one tier.The size-changing 'bubbles' capture monthly year-on-year changes in house prices at the city level, the size of the 'bubbles' reflects the growth…

In this one-minute animation (below) we illustrate the dynamics of the house price growth in China across 100 major cities on a monthly basis between June 2011 and June 2016, based on index data from SouFun CREIS. Looking at individual cities or even districts demonstrates how large the spread of performance can be across cities, even within one tier.The size-changing 'bubbles' capture monthly year-on-year changes in house prices at the city level, the size of the 'bubbles' reflects the growth…

China Property - What's Really Happened To The House Prices Over The Past 6 Years?

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

With China devaluing the RMB, PPI remains firmly negative though the decline has slowed.. This negative trend in PPI will inevitably have a damaging impact on the corporate sector which already is highly leveraged and is a major contributor towards NPLs which have become a headache for Chinese banks.The PPI for June has turned out to be -2.6%, though above the previous month but still signifying a deflationary environment. The major slump has been witnessed by the investment and fixed asset…

With China devaluing the RMB, PPI remains firmly negative though the decline has slowed.. This negative trend in PPI will inevitably have a damaging impact on the corporate sector which already is highly leveraged and is a major contributor towards NPLs which have become a headache for Chinese banks.The PPI for June has turned out to be -2.6%, though above the previous month but still signifying a deflationary environment. The major slump has been witnessed by the investment and fixed asset…

New data shows that in June average house prices in 100 major cities rose by 11.2% year-on-year, according to the latest data from SouFun-CREIS released this morning (detailed data update attached). This compares with 10.3% in May, and June was the 11th consecutive month of year-on-year price growth. Shenzhen recorded the strongest year-on-year increase of 52%, though decelerating vs previous month. On a sequential month-on-month basis, prices rose fastest in Nanjing and Xiamen. Of the 100 major…

New data shows that in June average house prices in 100 major cities rose by 11.2% year-on-year, according to the latest data from SouFun-CREIS released this morning (detailed data update attached). This compares with 10.3% in May, and June was the 11th consecutive month of year-on-year price growth. Shenzhen recorded the strongest year-on-year increase of 52%, though decelerating vs previous month. On a sequential month-on-month basis, prices rose fastest in Nanjing and Xiamen. Of the 100 major…

China Property Data Update - House Prices Rise 11.2% Y/Y In June Vs 10.3% In May

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for April 2016.

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for April 2016.

CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities in China - June 2016

For all the concern focused on the Chinese economy, financial markets, and credit, the RMB dominates them all.  If a hard landing or crisis like scenario were to take place, it would undoubtedly involve significant devaluation.Aware of this dynamic the PBOC has been working to control both the price and the flow of the CNY, CNH, and the accompanying assorted derivatives resulting in clear market distortions, some of which we have covered here.  The impact of official intervention, though we…

For all the concern focused on the Chinese economy, financial markets, and credit, the RMB dominates them all.  If a hard landing or crisis like scenario were to take place, it would undoubtedly involve significant devaluation.Aware of this dynamic the PBOC has been working to control both the price and the flow of the CNY, CNH, and the accompanying assorted derivatives resulting in clear market distortions, some of which we have covered here.  The impact of official intervention, though we…

RMB Report: Near Term Stability, Long Term Depreciation

China

Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd. operates real estate businesses. The Company provides housing renovation, housing loans, real estate brokerage, property management, and other services. Guangzhou R&F Properties also operates hotel management.

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Guangzhou R&F Properties (2777 HK)

China Property - What's Really Happened To The House Prices Over The Past 6 Years?

In this one-minute animation (below) we illustrate the dynamics of the house price growth in China across 100 major cities on a monthly basis...

Robert Ciemniak

A Look at PPI and CPI Data From China

With China devaluing the RMB, PPI remains firmly negative though the decline has slowed.. This negative trend in PPI will inevitably have a...

Christopher Balding

China Property Data Update - House Prices Rise 11.2% Y/Y In June Vs 10.3% In May

New data shows that in June average house prices in 100 major cities rose by 11.2% year-on-year, according to the latest data from SouFun-CREIS...

Robert Ciemniak

CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities in China - June 2016

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor...

Robert Ciemniak

RMB Report: Near Term Stability, Long Term Depreciation

For all the concern focused on the Chinese economy, financial markets, and credit, the RMB dominates them all. If a hard landing or crisis like...

Christopher Balding

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)