IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>’s shares declined by -8% on <a href="https://di.hkex.com.hk/di/NSForm2.aspx?fn=CS20220829E00231&amp;amp;sa2=ns&amp;amp;sid=2508&amp;amp;sd=30/08/2021&amp;amp;ed=30/08/2022&amp;amp;sa1=cl&amp;amp;scsd=30/08/2021&amp;amp;sced=30/08/2022&amp;amp;sc=01211&amp;amp;src=Main&amp;amp;lang=EN&amp;amp;tk=ds" target="_blank" rel="noopener">disclosure</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> trimmed its stake from 20.04% to 19.92% of outstanding H Shares. </li>
<li>Berkshire will likely follow its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. Buffet stated that the PetroChina exit was “a decision based on valuation.”</li>
<li>Berkshire will apply the same investment discipline to the BYD stake. While the shares are trading at a discount to historical multiples, the Berkshire stake is an overhang.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK)’s shares declined by -8% on disclosure that Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) trimmed its stake from 20.04% to 19.92% of outstanding H Shares. 
Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina (857 HK) playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. Buffet stated that the PetroChina exit was “a decision based on valuation.”
Berkshire will apply the same investment discipline to the BYD stake. While the shares are trading at a discount to historical multiples, the Berkshire stake is an overhang.


Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium of 142 A/H stocks are 116.5%, increased by 3.0ppt over last week.</li>
<li>The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by Real Estate, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight A/H premium changes of Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Copper, Angang Steel, Maanshan Iron, BBMG, Alcoa, Zoomlion, Cansino, Holly Futures, and ABC. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium of 142 A/H stocks are 116.5%, increased by 3.0ppt over last week.
The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by Real Estate, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors.
We highlight A/H premium changes of Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Copper, Angang Steel, Maanshan Iron, BBMG, Alcoa, Zoomlion, Cansino, Holly Futures, and ABC. 


A-H Premium Weekly: Tianqi Lithium at New Low Post H-Share IPO

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>China and Indonesia leaders vow to deepen relations</li><li>Analysis: Dutch carmaker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stellantis-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:798" rel="noopener">Stellantis NV (STLA US)</a> and state-owned <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> go their own ways</li><li>Weeks after Hong Kong offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673" rel="noopener">Miniso (MNSO US)</a> shares tank on short-seller attack</li></ul>

China and Indonesia leaders vow to deepen relationsAnalysis: Dutch carmaker Stellantis NV (STLA US) and state-owned Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) go their own waysWeeks after Hong Kong offering, Miniso (MNSO US) shares tank on short-seller attack

CX Daily: Weeks After Hong Kong Offering, Miniso Shares Tank on Short-Seller Attack

<ul>
<li>The increase of 225.2 million CCASS shares deposited with Citibank matches <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a>’s stake. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> closed -12% down on speculation of a selldown.   </li>
<li>The H Share recently touched all-time highs and trades at a significant premium to historical multiples. BYD has a recent history of a selldown by a substantial shareholder (Himalaya Capital).</li>
<li>Berkshire has made a 33x gain on its BYD investment, excluding dividends. Taking money off the table would align with Berkshire’s value investing mandate.</li>
</ul>


The increase of 225.2 million CCASS shares deposited with Citibank matches Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)’s stake. BYD (1211 HK) closed -12% down on speculation of a selldown.   
The H Share recently touched all-time highs and trades at a significant premium to historical multiples. BYD has a recent history of a selldown by a substantial shareholder (Himalaya Capital).
Berkshire has made a 33x gain on its BYD investment, excluding dividends. Taking money off the table would align with Berkshire’s value investing mandate.


BYD’s Shares Tumble Awaiting Berkshire's Next Move

<ul><li>In Depth: Local and national interests clash in China’s new green power market</li><li>China sees rebound in travel, leisure sectors as Covid-19 lockdowns end</li><li>China to ban over 1 million ‘fake’ foreign stock investors</li></ul>

In Depth: Local and national interests clash in China’s new green power marketChina sees rebound in travel, leisure sectors as Covid-19 lockdowns endChina to ban over 1 million ‘fake’ foreign stock investors

CX Daily: Local and National Interests Clash in China’s New Green Power Market

China

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Lifan Industry (Group) Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells motorcycles, cars and gasoline engines. The Company's major products include motorcycles, motorcycle engines, passenger cars, passenger car engines, gasoline engines and other terminal products such as generator sets, water pumps and lawn mowers.

Jiangling Motors Corp. Ltd. manufactures and sells vehicles and related components.  The Company's main products include JMC series trucks and pickups, and Transit series commercial buses.

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells automotive products, provides consulting, automotive testing and evaluation services. The Company's main products include dump trucks, concrete mixer trucks, and sanitation trucks.

China Automotive Engg Rsrch Inst (601965 CH)

Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles and parts. The Company produces light trucks, medium trucks, heavy trucks, passenger cars, and engine parts. Beiqi Foton Motor also conducts automotive wholesale businesses domestically and internationally.

China Jialing Industrial Co., Ltd. Group manufactures and sells motorcycles and related engines.

China Jialing Industrial Co Ltd (Group) (600877 CH)

Dongfeng Automobile Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, castings, and related spare parts.

Tianjin FAW Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cars, gasoline engines, internal combustion engines, and other automobile parts.

Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co, Ltd. (000927 CH)

MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION develops and manufactures passenger cars and its related parts.  The Company has production facilities in Japan, the US, and Thailand.  Mitsubishi Motors Corp provides vehicle-related financing and leasing service through its subsidiary.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles.  The Company's products include heavyweight touring, custom, and performance motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, and general merchandise.  Harley-Davidson also provides motorcycle floor planning and parts and accessories financing to its North American and European dealers.

Yadea Group is a leading electric two wheeler brand in China. The company produces electric bikes and scooters.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS manufactures cars and automobile parts under license from Fiat.  The Group also imports Alfa Romeo and Fiat cars for domestic market and provides financing services.

Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes minibuses and sedans in the People's Republic of China.  The Company also manufactures and trades automotive components.

China Motor Corporation manufactures and markets trucks, vans, cars, and related parts and accessories.  The Company also has joint venture operations with Mitsubishi.

Sanyang Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles, motorcycles, and parts. The Company also provides related technical and consulting services.

Thor Industries, Inc. produces and sells a wide range of recreation vehicles.  The Company markets its products through independent dealers located throughout the United States and Canada.  Thor's products are sold under the Airstream Classic, Dutchmen, Skamper, Infinity, Four Winds, Citation, Signature, and other names.

Yulon Motor Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells motor vehicles and parts. The Company produces automobiles and trucks in a joint venture with Nissan Motor Company and operates dealerships throughout Taiwan.

Mazda Motor Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, trucks, auto parts, and its accessories.  The Company operates its business worldwide.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. While the valuation is undemanding, the...

Arun George

CX Daily: Weeks After Hong Kong Offering, Miniso Shares Tank on Short-Seller Attack

China and Indonesia leaders vow to deepen relations; Former Everbright executive under anti-graft probe; Shanghai neighborhoods returned to...

Caixin Global

BYD’s Shares Tumble Awaiting Berkshire's Next Move

H Share declined -12% on speculation of selldown by Berkshire. With a 33x gain on its BYD investment, taking money off the table would align with...

Arun George

CX Daily: Local and National Interests Clash in China’s New Green Power Market

In Depth: Local and national interests clash in China’s new green power market. China sees rebound in travel, leisure sectors as Covid-19 lockdowns...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. While the valuation is undemanding, the...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly: Tianqi Lithium at New Low Post H-Share IPO

The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt wow with stock highlight for Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Weeks After Hong Kong Offering, Miniso Shares Tank on Short-Seller Attack

China and Indonesia leaders vow to deepen relations; Former Everbright executive under anti-graft probe; Shanghai neighborhoods returned to...

Caixin Global

BYD’s Shares Tumble Awaiting Berkshire's Next Move

H Share declined -12% on speculation of selldown by Berkshire. With a 33x gain on its BYD investment, taking money off the table would align with...

Arun George

CX Daily: Local and National Interests Clash in China’s New Green Power Market

In Depth: Local and national interests clash in China’s new green power market. China sees rebound in travel, leisure sectors as Covid-19 lockdowns...

Caixin Global