Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Hungary: Faster earnings growth should drive GDP higher in coming months. Mexico: Expected to raise rates 50bps next Thursday in the wake of inflation reported this week at 5.3% (the highest rate in 8 years).  This is a critical positive development for the Peso. Saudi Arabia: Has the most to lose from lower prices as this complicates attempts to diversify their economy.  Iran is less concerned as they are just coming off of sanctions and any revenue they get is better than before.  Iraq would…

Hungary: Faster earnings growth should drive GDP higher in coming months. Mexico: Expected to raise rates 50bps next Thursday in the wake of inflation reported this week at 5.3% (the highest rate in 8 years).  This is a critical positive development for the Peso. Saudi Arabia: Has the most to lose from lower prices as this complicates attempts to diversify their economy.  Iran is less concerned as they are just coming off of sanctions and any revenue they get is better than before.  Iraq would…

Who Wins and Who Loses from Oil Under $50? Hint: Invest in Asia

Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thierrybros.com

Interesting article in the Financial Time (FT) on stock exchanges fighting for Saudi Aramco IPO <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/41af604e-0315-11e7-ace0-1ce02ef0def9" target="_blank">https://www.ft.com/content/41af604e-0315-11e7-ace0-1ce02ef0def9 </a>with the following conclusion "Saudi Aramco will initially list as much as 5% of the company and investors and analysts have questioned the size of Riyadh’s $2tn valuation. But even if it reaches just half that target it would still raise $50bn — twice as much as Alibaba’s record IPO in 2014."Back in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/saudi-aramco-value-tn-maybe-not" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8177">Saudi Aramco Value: $tn? Maybe Not!</a> my…

Interesting article in the Financial Time (FT) on stock exchanges fighting for Saudi Aramco IPO https://www.ft.com/content/41af604e-0315-11e7-ace0-1ce02ef0def9 with the following conclusion "Saudi Aramco will initially list as much as 5% of the company and investors and analysts have questioned the size of Riyadh’s $2tn valuation. But even if it reaches just half that target it would still raise $50bn — twice as much as Alibaba’s record IPO in 2014."Back in Saudi Aramco Value: $tn? Maybe Not! my…

New York and London Battle for Saudi Aramco IPO

Investing in high growth Asian frontier economies., Asia Frontier Capital

Scott Osheroff

Investing in high growth Asian frontier economies.

Asia Frontier Capital

Asia Frontier Capital Ltd. is a pioneering fund management company based in Hong Kong that specializes in investing in high growth Asian frontier economies by managing the AFC Asia Frontier Fund , AFC Iraq Fund and the AFC Vietnam Fund.

The AFC Asia Frontier Fund invests in public equities of Asian frontier countries that are seeing increasing consumption due to favorable demographic trends, rising incomes and high GDP growth. The fund invests in listed equities of companies that have their principal business activities in Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, Iraq, Laos, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nepal, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. The AFC Asia Frontier Fund is positioned to take advantage of the continuing economic shifts in these countries and offers high returns combined with significant diversification opportunities. This fund is directed by the founder and CEO of Asia Frontier Capital, Thomas Hugger, who has been investing in frontier markets across Asia and Africa for more than 20 years.

The AFC Iraq Fund was launched on the 26th June 2015 and aims to achieve long-term capital appreciation for investors by capturing value and growth potential in the post conflict high-growth & resource rich Iraq market. The fund emphasises long term investment horizon to truly capture the opportunity in Iraq. The fund's investable universe consists of locally listed companies that have their principal business activities in Iraq as well as foreign listed companies that have the majority of the business in Iraq as a whole including the prosperous Kurdish Region of Iraq (KRI). The AFC Iraq Fund offers access to investments in post conflict recovery potential of Iraq, including the KRI, and/or stability in its territory. The AFC Iraq Fund is managed by Asia Frontier Capital (Iraq) Limited, Cayman Islands under the executive leadership team of Thomas Hugger (CEO & Fund Manager) and Ahmed Tabaqchali (CIO) who have more than 47 years of investment experience as well as an extensive background covering global, emerging, frontier and MENA markets.

The AFC Vietnam Fund invests exclusively in listed Vietnamese equities to capture value in growth companies with a focus on the small to medium size companies. This market segment offers a unique investment opportunity as the valuation gap between large- and small-cap stocks in Vietnam is presently much wider than in comparable neighboring markets and the valuations are significantly depressed versus their regional peers. The fund adopts a fundamental-quantitative approach and employs an in-house earnings model to identify attractive companies where we see high growth opportunities. In conjunction with targeting the maximum upside potential the portfolio has been structured to mitigate corporate government and liquidity risks. The fund invests in a diversified portfolio of 70-90 attractively valued companies to carefully control concentration risk.  This approach allows the fund to sell, or buy, positions without having a significant market impact. The fund is directed under the executive leadership of Thomas Hugger and Andreas Vogelsanger who have more than 50 years combined experience managing investments in frontier markets, Asia and around the world.

For more information about the fund, management team and investment strategy please contact us at info@asiafrontiercapital.com.

In line with our process of being on the ground in the countries we invest in, Scott Osheroff, Analyst at Asia Frontier Capital, traveled to Laos to visit portfolio companies and other companies on our shortlist. The photos in this article are all by AFC.

In line with our process of being on the ground in the countries we invest in, Scott Osheroff, Analyst at Asia Frontier Capital, traveled to Laos to visit portfolio companies and other companies on our shortlist. The photos in this article are all by AFC.

Asia Frontier Capital Travel Report: Laos

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

The positive 2016 profit alerts from China’s coal companies are within expectations, with profit rebounds driven by higher coal prices. The benchmark Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index, or BSPI, closed at CNY 593 per tonne on Dec. 28, up 60% year over year. While the peak heating season should keep prices elevated over the next few months, we think coal prices will start to decline by the end of the first quarter of 2017 to be around 15%-20% below where they are now. We think the coal price gains are largely reflected in the current share prices, and anticipate limited upside boosts following a more subdued long-term view.We maintain fair value estimates for narrow-moat <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/382" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a> of HKD 16.40, and no-moat <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/383" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:383:1">China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/384" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1">Yanzhou Coal Mining Co H (1171 HK)</a> of HKD 3.30 and HKD 4.30, respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results due out in March, pending more details.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

The positive 2016 profit alerts from China’s coal companies are within expectations, with profit rebounds driven by higher coal prices. The benchmark Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index, or BSPI, closed at CNY 593 per tonne on Dec. 28, up 60% year over year. While the peak heating season should keep prices elevated over the next few months, we think coal prices will start to decline by the end of the first quarter of 2017 to be around 15%-20% below where they are now. We think the coal price gains are largely reflected in the current share prices, and anticipate limited upside boosts following a more subdued long-term view.We maintain fair value estimates for narrow-moat China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) of HKD 16.40, and no-moat China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK) and Yanzhou Coal Mining Co H (1171 HK) of HKD 3.30 and HKD 4.30, respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results due out in March, pending more details.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

Surging Coal Prices Drove Positive 2016 Profit Alerts for Coal Companies

In Saudi Arabia, the Saud family wants to launch an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for 5% of Saudi Aramco, the biggest worldwide oil company (10,1mb/d of oil produced in 2015) for more than $100bn while implementing the 0,5mb/d production cut agreed at the 30 November 2016 OPEC meeting. Could this opaque company be valued trillions of dollars as Saudi Arabia tells the Press? Maybe not!Or could after 39 years, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/811" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1">Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US)</a>, via the IPO process, re-enter Saudi Aramco capital? Saudi…

In Saudi Arabia, the Saud family wants to launch an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for 5% of Saudi Aramco, the biggest worldwide oil company (10,1mb/d of oil produced in 2015) for more than $100bn while implementing the 0,5mb/d production cut agreed at the 30 November 2016 OPEC meeting. Could this opaque company be valued trillions of dollars as Saudi Arabia tells the Press? Maybe not!Or could after 39 years, Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US), via the IPO process, re-enter Saudi Aramco capital? Saudi…

China

Guanghui Energy Co., Ltd. is principally engaged in energy development, automotive services and real estate property leasing. The Company is in the business of coal mining and related coal chemical manufacturing. The Company is also engaged in the processing and distributing of granite materials and trading of general merchandise such as plastic doors and windows.

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Guanghui Energy Co Ltd A (600256 CH)

Who Wins and Who Loses from Oil Under $50? Hint: Invest in Asia

Hungary: Faster earnings growth should drive GDP higher in coming months.Mexico: Expected to raise rates 50bps next Thursday in the wake of...

David Riedel

New York and London Battle for Saudi Aramco IPO

Interesting article in the Financial Time (FT) on stock exchanges fighting for Saudi Aramco IPO...

Thierry Bros, PhD

Asia Frontier Capital Travel Report: Laos

In line with our process of being on the ground in the countries we invest in, Scott Osheroff, Analyst at Asia Frontier Capital, traveled to Laos...

Asia Frontier Capital

Surging Coal Prices Drove Positive 2016 Profit Alerts for Coal Companies

The positive 2016 profit alerts from China’s coal companies are within expectations, with profit rebounds driven by higher coal prices. The...

Morningstar, Inc.

Saudi Aramco Value: $tn? Maybe Not!

In Saudi Arabia, the Saud family wants to launch an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for 5% of Saudi Aramco, the biggest worldwide oil company...

Thierry Bros, PhD

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